俄罗斯第一任总统鲍里斯·叶利钦的幕僚长预测，俄罗斯总统弗拉基米尔·普京不想在本届任期结束后继续掌权，他将于2024年卸任。
瓦连京·尤马舍夫是叶利钦执政末期的高级助手。星期五，他在位于俄罗斯东部叶卡捷琳堡的叶利钦中心谈到了叶利钦和他的继任者普京，莫斯科时报报道。
尤马舍夫——他娶了伊尔斯汀的一个女儿——也扮演了一个普京的无偿顾问十八年来。两位总统是亲密的盟友，普京上任后的第一个行动是签署豁免令，免除对叶利钦可能提出的任何刑事指控。
普京执政20年——无论是作为总统还是总理——他的名字已经几乎成为现代俄罗斯的同义词。但这位67岁的俄罗斯政治舞台和沙皇式的控制让他没有明确的继任者，也没有离开克里姆林宫的明确道路。
普京的总统任期将于2024年结束，国家宪法规定的任期限制将要求他下台。
然而，许多观察家认为他可能试图规避限制抓住权力。
他以前做过。2008年，任期限制迫使普京下台成为总理，并为德米特里·梅德韦杰夫成为总统让路。
但是普京仍然统治着俄罗斯，梅德韦杰夫总统只是名义上的。梅德韦杰夫尽职尽责地拒绝参加2012年的连任竞选，而是在普京恢复总统任期后重返总理岗位。下面Statista图表显示了普京执政时期。
这张信息图显示了俄罗斯总统弗拉基米尔·普京统治俄罗斯的时期。
但是尤马舍夫周五暗示普京已经受够了当总统，解释说他“99%肯定他会说他将在2024年离开”
尤马舍夫补充说:“他准备在1997年和1998年离开。”。“他的任务是在第一届和第二届任期内任职，但后来又出现了新的任务，他决定在2008年成为总理。毫无疑问，他肯定不想掌权19年。”
尤马舍夫还阐明了普京的崛起，以及叶利钦如何将这位前克格勃特工视为其民主计划的继承者。尤马舍夫说，叶利钦认为普京是“一个将继续俄罗斯开始的自由和市场改革的人”。
叶利钦“看到了一个有骨气的人，他能在复杂的情况下做出正确的决定，”他补充说。与此同时，普京的低调意味着他还没有树敌。
尤马舍夫解释说:“他不为人知的事实是帮助他赢得选举的一大优势。”。"每个人都在普京身上看到了自己的东西。"
这篇文章已经更新为包含一个信息图。
2019年11月23日，俄罗斯总统弗拉基米尔·普京在俄罗斯莫斯科举行的统一俄罗斯党大会上讲话。
BORIS YELTSIN'S FORMER CHIEF OF STAFF '99 PERCENT CERTAIN' VLADIMIR PUTIN WILL NOT BE RUSSIA'S PRESIDENT IN FIVE YEARS
Russian President Vladimir Putin does not want to stay in power beyond the end of his current term and will have stepped down by 2024, the chief of staff to Russia's first President Boris Yeltsin has predicted.
Valentin Yumashev was a senior aide to Yeltsin in the waning years of the latter's time in office. On Friday, he spoke about Yeltsin and his successor Putin at the Yeltsin Center in Yekaterinburg in eatsern Russia, The Moscow Times reported.
Yumashev—who is married to one of Yelstin's daughters—has also acted as an unpaid adviser to Putin for 18 years. The two presidents were close allies, and Putin's first act upon taking office was to sign an immunity order for any criminal charges that might be levelled at Yeltsin.
Putin has been in power—either as president or prime minister—for 20 years, his name having become near-synonymous with modern Russia. But the 67 year old's dominance of Russia's political scene and Tsarist style of control has left him no clear successor and no clear way out of the Kremlin.
Putin's presidential term will come to an end in 2024, and term limits set out in the national constitution will require him to step down.
Many observers have, however, suggested he may attempt to circumvent the restrictions and hang on to power.
He's done it before. In 2008, term limits forced Putin to step down to become prime minister and make way for Dmitry Medvedev to become president.
But Putin still ruled Russia, with Medvedev president only in name. Medvedev dutifully declined to stand for re-election in 2012, instead returning to his prime ministerial post under a restored Putin presidency. The below Statista graphic shows Putin's time in power.
This infographic shows Russian President Vladimir Putin's time ruling Russia.
But Yumashev suggested Friday that Putin has had enough of being president, explaining he is "99 percent certain that he'll say he will leave in 2024."
"He was ready to leave both in 1997 and 1998," Yumashev added. "His task was to serve out the first and then the second term, but then new tasks arose and he decided to become prime minister in 2008. He certainly didn't want to stay in power for 19 years, I have no doubt."
Yumashev also shed light on Putin's rise to power, and how Yeltsin came to see the former KGB agent as a successor to his democratic project. Yeltsin saw Putin as "someone who would continue his liberal and market reforms that Russia embarked on," Yumashev said.
Yeltsin "saw a person with a backbone who could make the right decisions in a complicated situation," he added. Meanwhile, Putin's low profile meant he had yet made few enemies.
"The fact that he was unknown was a huge plus that helped him win the election," Yumashev explained. "Everyone saw something of their own in Putin."
This article has been updated to include an infographic.
Russian President Vladimir Putin talks during the congress of the United Russia Party on November 23, 2019 in Moscow, Russia.
