参议员卡马拉·哈里斯周二结束了她的2020年竞选，留下了一个值得注意的后续行动。
尽管民意调查显示，作为一名具有法律和秩序倾向的进步民主党人，她占据了一条截然不同的道路，但这也表明，她的支持者不可能如此容易地被定型，这就引出了一个问题:他们接下来会追随哪个候选人？
答案是:中间派的领先者和毫不掩饰的进步者。
A早上咨询周一公布的民调显示，前副总统乔·拜登和参议员伊丽莎白·沃伦可能是哈里斯辍学的主要受益者。拜登赢得了22%哈里斯支持者的第二选择，沃伦赢得了21%哈里斯支持者的第二选择。
10月初进行的另一项早间咨询民意调查也发现了类似的趋势，沃伦得到了哈里斯的支持。28%的人将沃伦列为他们的第二选择。拜登明显比沃伦更中间派，是第二大受益者，获得哈里斯20%的支持者。
对我的支持者来说，我今天暂停竞选是非常遗憾的，也是非常感激的。
但我想跟你说清楚:我将每天都为这场运动的内容而战。为人民伸张正义。所有的人。
卡马拉·哈里斯2019年12月3日
佛蒙特州参议员伯尼·桑德斯可能是沃伦最直接的竞争对手，他将只获得12%的哈里斯选民的支持，这一比例与最近的民调相似。
皮尤研究中心早先的一项调查支持沃伦-拜登的分裂。这项在7月底和8月初进行的调查发现，31%的哈里斯选民会选择沃伦作为他们第二喜欢的候选人。拜登赢得了哈里斯选民的第二高份额，为24%。
这份报告也揭示了哈里斯竞选未能成功的原因，以及她的支持者将致力于民主党初选的可能性。在调查中，哈里斯选民第二大可能说他们对“几个候选人”感到兴奋78%的人这样说，而只有22%的哈里斯选民说他们完全对她感到兴奋。
沃伦是该问题中唯一一个获得更多未表态选民的候选人。对于哈里斯、桑德斯、沃伦或拜登以外的候选人的支持者，未表态者的平均比例为68%，比哈里斯支持者的相应比例低10个百分点。
昆尼皮亚克大学民意测验分析师蒂姆·马洛伊说:“缺钱是缺乏选举能力的结果，民主党人正在寻找一个在这个时候能够当选的人。”新闻周刊。“她六月份的失业率是20%，最近下降到了3%。最终，民主党人最想找的是能打败特朗普的人。”
哈里斯在第一次民主党辩论中与拜登病毒式对抗后，在二月初和七月获得了两次明显的民众支持。11月底，她设法保持了一位数的微弱优势，勉强领先于科技企业家杨安泽。
尽管哈里斯可能一直处于前五名，但她在竞选中的地位似乎站不住脚，原因有几个——融资主管——尽管她是迄今为止唯一有资格参加12月民主党辩论的有色人种。她在民主党内只有51%的支持率，23%的支持率不佳。只有两位候选人——国会女议员图西·加巴德和前市长迈克尔·布隆伯格——被认为更不受欢迎，迄今为止他们都没有资格参加12月的辩论。
她的竞选活动无法吸引持续的民主党选民，再加上筹款方面的挑战，导致周二决定停止运作。
“对我的支持者来说，我非常遗憾——也非常感激——今天暂停竞选，”她周二在推特上宣布。“但我想跟你说清楚:我将每天都为这场运动的内容而战。为人民伸张正义。所有的人。”
WITH KAMALA HARRIS OUT OF PRESIDENTIAL RACE, SUPPORTERS MAY MOVE TO WARREN, BIDEN, POLLING SUGGESTS
enator Kamala Harris ended her 2020 campaign Tuesday, leaving a noteworthy following up for grabs.
While polling indicates that she occupied a distinct lane as a progressive Democrat with a law-and-order disposition, it also showed that her supporters cannot be typecast so easily, begging the question: Which candidate will they follow next?
The answer: a centrist front-runner and an unabashed progressive.
A Morning Consult poll released Monday found that former Vice President Joe Biden and Senator Elizabeth Warren could be the chief beneficiaries of Harris dropping out. Biden earned the second-choice designation with 22 percent of Harris supporters, while Warren was the second choice, with 21 percent of Harris supporters.
Another Morning Consult poll conducted in early October noted similar trends, with Warren receiving a plurality of Harris's support. Twenty-eight percent named Warren as their second choice. Biden, a markedly more centrist candidate than Warren, was the second-largest beneficiary, receiving 20 percent of Harris's supporters.
To my supporters, it is with deep regret—but also with deep gratitude—that I am suspending my campaign today.
But I want to be clear with you: I will keep fighting every day for what this campaign has been about. Justice for the People. All the people.https://t.co/92Hk7DHHbR
— Kamala Harris (@KamalaHarris) December 3, 2019
Senator Bernie Sanders of Vermont, perhaps Warren's most direct competitor, would receive the support of just 12 percent of Harris voters, a similar share as in the recent poll.
An earlier Pew Research Center survey backs the Warren-Biden split. Conducted in late July and early August, the survey found that 31 percent of Harris voters would choose Warren as their second-favorite candidate. Biden earned the next-highest share of Harris voters, at 24 percent.
That report also shed light onto why the Harris campaign failed to take off and how likely it is her supporters will commit themselves to the Democratic primary race. In the survey, Harris voters were the second-most likely to say that they are excited about "several candidates." Seventy-eight percent said so, whereas just 22 percent of Harris voters said they were exclusively excited about her.
Warren was the only other candidate measured in that question to receive a higher share of uncommitted voters. For supporters of candidates other than Harris, Sanders, Warren or Biden, the average share who were uncommitted was 68 percent, 10 points lower than the comparable share of Harris supporters.
"The lack of money was a result of the lack of electability, and Democrats are looking for someone who's electable at this point," Tim Malloy, a polling analyst for the Quinnipiac University poll, told Newsweek. "She was at 20 percent in June and is now down to 3 percent most recently. In the end, Democrats more than anything else are looking for someone who can beat Trump."
Harris enjoyed two distinct surges of popular support—in early February and in July, after a viral confrontation with Biden at the first Democratic debates. Toward the end of November, she managed to maintain a meager slot in the single digits, barely ahead of tech entrepreneur Andrew Yang.
While she may have placed consistently within the top five, Harris's position in the race appeared untenable for several reasons—financing chief among them—even though she was the sole person of color to qualify for the December Democratic debate thus far. She only held a 51 percent favorability rating within the Democratic Party and had a 23 percent unfavorability rating. Only two candidates—Congresswoman Tulsi Gabbard and former Mayor Michael Bloomberg—were viewed more unfavorably, and neither of them has so far qualified for the December debate.
Her campaign's inability to attract a sustained portion of the Democratic electorate, combined with fundraising challenges, contributed to Tuesday's decision to cease operations.
"To my supporters, it is with deep regret—but also with deep gratitude—that I am suspending my campaign today," she said in her announcement Tuesday on Twitter. "But I want to be clear with you: I will keep fighting every day for what this campaign has been about. Justice for the People. All the people."
