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杨安泽成为辩论后第四大最有利候选人:民意测验

2019-12-25 08:56   美国新闻网   - 

一项新的民意调查发现,在党内候选人之间的第六次辩论之后,杨安泽在2020年民主党初选净支持率排名中略微超过皮特·巴蒂格。

据《晨间咨询》报道,在洛杉矶辩论后,这位企业家的净支持率——对他持积极看法的潜在民主党初选选民的比例减去持不利看法的选民的比例——跃升了7个百分点。

辩论结束后,杨致远现在的净支持率为34%,排在第四位,比皮特·巴蒂吉高出33%。

辩论开始前,12月9日至15日的晨间咨询民意测验发现,巴蒂格在支持率方面领先杨3个百分点,净支持率为30%。

2019年10月2日,内华达州拉斯维加斯,杨安泽抵达由枪支控制活动家团体吉福兹主办的2020年枪支安全论坛,并在飞地为我们的生活游行。

晨间咨询自2019年最后一次电视初选以来的首次调查也显示,自12月19日以来,排名较低的候选人参议员艾米·克洛布查尔和亿万富翁汤姆·斯特耶尔的支持率均提高了5个百分点。

前副总统乔·拜登和参议员伊丽莎白·沃伦是上周四辩论舞台上唯一两个支持率在摊牌后下降的候选人。

民意测验发现拜登的净排名从57%下降到54%,而沃伦仅下降了一个百分点,达到44%。

12月18日,当弹劾条款被提交给众议院时,夏威夷众议员图西·加巴德在投票“出席”后,她的形象受到了极大的冲击。

晨间咨询调查的受访者中,老兵是“最不喜欢”的候选人,净不利分数为12%。

民意测验专家报告称,支持率排名的变化对民主党选民打算在初选和党团会议中支持谁影响不大,并指出拜登仍然以31%的支持率位居第一。

紧随其后的是获得21%支持的参议员伯尼·桑德斯和获得15%晨间咨询受访者支持的第三名沃伦。

尽管杨在支持率排名上超过了南本德市长,但在总体支持率上仍然落后于巴蒂吉格两位。

2020年民主党初选的真实清晰政治平均数据显示,候选人与最新的晨间咨询调查处于几乎相同的位置。

民意测验专家收集了对7178名登记选民的采访,这些选民表示,他们可能会在12月20日至22日期间参加民主党初选和核心小组投票,参加最新的“民主党初选状态”投票。它的误差幅度为1%。

晨间咨询博客上关于新调查的一张图片显示,辩论前和辩论后的喜好度民调比较有2%的误差幅度。

ANDREW YANG OVERTAKES PETE BUTTIGIEG TO BECOME FOURTH MOST FAVORED PRIMARY CANDIDATE: POLL

Andrew Yang has slightly overtaken Pete Buttigieg in the 2020 Democratic primary net favorability rankings following the sixth debate between party candidates, a new poll has found.

The entrepreneur's net favorability score—the share of potential Democratic primary voters who view him positively minus those with unfavorable views—jumped seven points after the Los Angeles debate, according to Morning Consult.

As a result of the post-debate boost, Yang now has a net favorability score of 34 percent, putting him in fourth place and a point ahead of Pete Buttigieg on 33 percent.

Prior to the debate, Morning Consult polling between December 9 and 15 found Buttigieg three points ahead of Yang on favorability, with a 30 percent net positive rating.

Andrew Yang waves as he arrives at the 2020 Gun Safety Forum hosted by gun control activist groups Giffords and March for Our Lives at Enclave on October 2, 2019 in Las Vegas, Nevada.

Morning Consult's first survey since the final televised primary head-to-head of 2019 also revealed that lower ranking candidates Sen. Amy Klobuchar and billionaire Tom Steyer have both enjoyed five-point boosts to their favorability scores since December 19.

Former Vice President Joe Biden and Sen. Elizabeth Warren were the only candidates on the debate stage last Thursday to see their favorability ratings fall after the showdown.

The poll found Biden's net ranking drop from 57 percent to 54 percent while Warren's dipped by just one point to a score of 44 percent.

Away from the debate platform, Hawaii Rep. Tulsi Gabbard's profile took a big knock after her vote of "present" when articles of impeachment were put before the House on December 18.

Among respondents to the Morning Consult survey, the veteran is the "most-disliked" candidate, with a net unfavorable score of 12 percent.

The shift in favorability rankings has had little impact on who Democrat voters intend to support in primaries and caucuses, the pollster reported, noting that Biden still came in first with 31 percent support.

He is trailed by Sen. Bernie Sanders in second place with 21 percent support, and third-place Warren, who has 15 percent of Morning Consult respondents backing her.

Yang is also still two places behind Buttigieg on overall support, despite overtaking the South Bend Mayor in favorability rankings.

The Real Clear Politics average of 2020 Democratic primary polls puts candidates in much the same positions as the latest Morning Consult survey.

The pollster collected interviews with 7,178 registered voters who said they may vote in the Democratic primaries and caucuses between December 20 and 22 for its latest "State of the Democratic Primary" poll. Its margin of error stands at 1 percent.

A graphic on Morning Consult's blog about the new survey says there is a 2 percent margin of error on the pre- and post-debate favorability polling comparison.

 

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