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彭博竞选经理称民意测验专家同意特朗普将赢得爱荷华州

2020-01-15 11:38   美国新闻网   - 

彭博竞选经理凯文·希基(Kevin Sheekey)表示,民主党和共和党民意测验专家都认为唐纳德·特朗普总统将赢得爱荷华州,因此民主党人不应该把太多注意力放在该州。

希基批评了目前爱荷华州激烈竞选的民主党模式。他说:“作为民主党人,我们在爱荷华州生活了一年,在全国各地筹集资金,把人们转移到爱荷华州,敲敲门,了解那些选民,并把我们在爱荷华州筹集到的每一美元投资到全国各地。”。"民主党和共和党民意测验专家一致认为唐纳德·特朗普将赢得爱荷华州。"

根据a五点三十八分的民意测验1月8日,特朗普在该州领先于马萨诸塞州参议员伊丽莎白·沃伦、佛蒙特州参议员伯尼·桑德斯、前南本德、印第安纳州市长皮特·巴蒂吉和前副总统乔·拜登。

希基说,所有投入爱荷华州竞选的时间和金钱都是浪费,因为特朗普会赢。

“我们已经放弃了在一个11月份不会有什么变化的州投资一年,”他说。“我们将自己置于一个巨大的劣势,在一年多的时间里尽可能把每一美元投资到一个最终不会在11月有所作为的州。”相反,他说民主党应该关注密歇根、威斯康星、北卡罗来纳、佛罗里达、亚利桑那和宾夕法尼亚。“唐纳德·特朗普每天都在这些州竞选,”希基说。

希基谈到了前纽约市长和总统候选人迈克·布隆伯格有线电视新闻网专栏,他写道民主党人不应该在爱荷华州和新罕布什尔州开始竞选。

彭博社写道,爱荷华州和新罕布什尔州缺乏多样性,忽视了选民,这伤害了候选人。“民主党反映了美国令人难以置信的多样性。但是前两个投票州,爱荷华州和新罕布什尔州,是全国最同质的州之一,”他写道。“[对非洲裔美国人、拉丁裔美国人、亚裔美国人、太平洋岛民以及底特律、蒙哥马利、菲尼克斯和休斯顿等地的其他选民有何看法?我最近拜访了他们所有人,几乎对一个人来说,选民告诉我,其他竞选活动在他们的城市几乎没有出现。”

彭博的专栏反映了他的竞选经理在美国有线电视新闻网露面时提出的许多类似观点。这位候选人还写道,通过社交媒体和有线新闻,有更多的渠道接触选民。“给予两个小国如此大影响力的传统理由是,较大的国家需要更多的钱,”他写道。“但有了社交媒体平台和有线新闻,传播信息几乎没有障碍——这就是二十多名民主党人参加竞选的原因。”

希基提出了一个替代计划。希基告诉美国有线电视新闻网:“迈克·布隆伯格今天在一篇专栏文章中说,如果他是美国总统和民主党领袖,他会重新安排初选,以反映战场各州的位置。”。"你会以威斯康星、密歇根、宾夕法尼亚领先,以北卡罗来纳或佛罗里达结束."

他还说,增加民主党人的存在将有助于民主党人当选,反对唐纳德·特朗普总统。“想象一下,如果民主党人——18,24名不同的总统候选人在这些州敲门——我们将在11月赢得这些州的选举,那么我们今天会看到什么样的不同,”他说。“现在,根据民意测验,如果今天在威斯康星州举行选举,任何民主党人都会输给唐纳德·特朗普。”

根据a马克特法学院民意测验12月3日至8日,特朗普领先巴蒂吉、桑德斯和沃伦至少两个百分点。民调数字显示,总统以47%对46%落后于拜登,所有数字都在民调误差范围内。

然而,一个福克斯新闻民意测验1月5日至8日进行的调查显示,尽管结果也在误差范围内,但四名民主党人都领先于特朗普。拜登以46%对41%领先特朗普,紧随其后的是桑德斯,46%领先特朗普42%。

但是迪吉格和沃伦分别以1%和2%的优势领先总统。

彭博竞选团队没有立即做出回应新闻周刊的评论请求。

2020年1月3日,北卡罗来纳州费耶特维尔,民主党总统候选人迈克尔·布隆伯格在大都会厅回答媒体成员的提问

BLOOMBERG CAMPAIGN MANAGER SAYS DEMOCRATIC AND REPUBLICAN POLLSTERS AGREE DONALD TRUMP WILL WIN IOWA

Bloomberg campaign manager Kevin Sheekey said that both Democratic and Republican pollsters agree that President Donald Trump will win Iowa, so Democrats should not focus as much attention on the state.

Sheekey criticized the current Democratic model of heavy campaigning in Iowa. "We, as Democrats, spend a year living in Iowa, raising money around the country, moving people to Iowa, knocking on doors, getting to know those voters, and investing every single dollar we can raise around the country in Iowa," he said. "The one thing the Democrat and Republican pollsters agree on is that Donald Trump is going to win Iowa."

According to a FiveThirtyEight poll published on January 8, Trump leads against Massachusetts Senator Elizabeth Warren, Vermont Senator Bernie Sanders, former South Bend, Indiana Mayor Pete Buttigieg, and former Vice President Joe Biden, in the state.

Sheekey said that all the time and money invested in Iowa campaigns is a waste, because Trump will win.

"We've thrown out a year of investment in a state that isn't going to make a difference in November," he said. "We put ourselves at an enormous disadvantage to invest every dollar we can over a year into a state that ultimately is not going to make a difference in November." Instead, he said Democrats should focus on Michigan, Wisconsin, North Carolina, Florida, Arizona, and Pennsylvania. "Those are states that Donald Trump is campaigning in every single day," Sheekey said.

Sheekey expanded on former New York Mayor and presidential candidate Mike Bloomberg's CNN op-ed, where he wrote that Democrats should not begin their campaigning in Iowa and New Hampshire.

Bloomberg wrote that lack of diversity in Iowa and New Hampshire hurt candidates by leaving out voters. "The Democratic Party reflects America's incredible diversity. But the first two voting states, Iowa and New Hampshire, are among the most homogenous in the nation," he wrote. "[W]hat about African-American, Latino, Asian American, Pacific Islanders, and other voters in places like Detroit, Montgomery, Phoenix, and Houston? I've visited them all recently, and almost to a person, voters tell me the other campaigns have almost no presence in their cities."

Bloomberg's op-ed reflected many similar points that his campaign manager made during an appearance on CNN. The candidate also wrote that through social media and cable news, there are more avenues to reach voters. "The traditional justification for giving two small states so much influence is that larger states require more money," he wrote. "But with social media platforms and cable news, there are few barriers to getting a message out -- that's why more than two dozen Democrats entered the race."

Sheekey proposed an alternative plan. "What Mike Bloomberg said in an op-ed on CNN today is that if he was President of the United States and the head of the Democratic party, he would reorder the primaries to reflect where the battleground states are," Sheekey told CNN. "You would lead with Wisconsin, with Michigan, with Pennsylvania, end with North Carolina or Florida."

He also said that an increased Democratic presence would help a Democrat get elected against President Donald Trump. "Imagine the difference that we would be seeing today, if for a year, Democrats-18, 24 different presidential candidates were knocking on doors in those states-we would be poised to win those states in November," he said. "Right now, if the election is held in Wisconsin today, any Democrat loses to Donald Trump, according to the polls."

According to a Marquette Law School poll conducted December 3-8, Trump held at least a two-point lead over Buttigieg, Sanders and Warren. The poll numbers indicated that the president trailed Biden 47 to 46 percent -- all numbers within the poll's margin of error.

However, a Fox News poll conducted January 5-8, shows that the four Democrats are all ahead of Trump though the results are also within the margin of error. Biden holds the largest lead at 46 to 41 percent over Trump, followed by Sanders at 46 percent to Trump's 42 percent.

Buttigieg and Warren lead the president in the poll by 1 and 2 percent, respectively.

The Bloomberg campaign did not immediately respond to Newsweek's request for comment.

Democratic Presidential candidate Michael Bloomberg answers questions from members of the media at the Metropolitan Room on January 3, 2020 in Fayetteville, North Carolina

 

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