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民意测验:迈克尔·布隆伯格的选民支持增加,超过了皮特·巴蒂吉格

2020-01-30 05:36   美国新闻网   - 

根据《晨间咨询》周二发布的民意调查结果,民主党总统候选人迈克尔·布隆伯格的支持率飙升,超过了同为候选人的前印第安纳南本德市长皮特·巴蒂吉。

亿万富翁企业家、前纽约市长布隆伯格于2019年11月24日发起了总统竞选。这是巴蒂吉在四月宣布参选后的八个多月。

然而,正如晨间咨询的结果所显示的那样,彭博在接受调查的美国人中的支持率在大多数选民中似乎已经超过了巴蒂吉格。

例如,彭博是12%的受访者的第一选择,他们表示可能会在他们所在州的民主党初选中投票。但另一方面,7%的受访者选择了igieg。这一领先超出了正负4个百分点的误差范围。

彭博在生活在15个超级星期二州的第一批选民中名列第四,所有这些州都在3月3日举行初选。在这些受访者中,13%的人说他们会首先选择彭博,相比之下,6%的人说他们会投票给巴蒂吉。这部分民意测验的误差幅度只有正负一个百分点。

民主党总统候选人迈克·布隆伯格1月26日在迈阿密的竞选活动中发表讲话。彭博在非白人选民中的支持率上升,尽管人们还记得他在担任纽约市长期间实施的“拦截搜身”政策。

彭博领先于巴蒂吉格的部分原因可能是后者在非白人选民中的支持率相对较低。这 纽约时报周二报道称,巴蒂吉很难“超越他压倒性的白人选民基础”,也很难吸引不同的竞选人员。

另一方面,根据晨间咨询,随着时间的推移,布隆伯格显然已经获得了更多有色人种选民的支持。

“在过去的一个月里,[·布隆伯格在民主党初选选民中的首选支持率翻了一番,”晨间咨询的一份分析结果显示。“[·阿]尽管他最初与黑人选民斗争,但说他是他们首选的选民的比例增加了一倍多([4%到[10%)

尽管人们还记得他在担任纽约市长期间实施的“拦截搜身”政策,但支持率还是有所上升。有人说,这助长了警方对非裔美国人的种族定性。彭博社此后道歉为了政策。

在最近的民意调查中,彭博也是12%的西班牙裔选民和亚裔选民以及10%的“其他种族的选民”的首选

然而,彭博没有获得任何民主党竞争者的最大支持。例如,在民主党初选选民中,他仍然落后于大多数全国民调中领先的三名候选人:前副总统乔·拜登、参议员伯尼·桑德斯和参议员伊丽莎白·沃伦。

同样值得注意的是,在“早期州初选投票者”中,巴蒂格仍然领先于布隆伯格——爱荷华州、新罕布什尔州、内华达州和南卡罗莱纳州的投票者。在这些选民中,巴蒂吉以10%的支持率排在第五位,布隆伯格以2%的支持率排在第七位。但是igieg的领先不在这一部分的投票误差范围之内,误差范围也是正负4个百分点。

此外,民意测验显示,Z一代选民,或年龄在18岁至22岁之间的选民,同样更喜欢彭博和巴蒂吉格。在最新的晨间咨询结果中,两位候选人都获得了4%的支持。

新闻周刊联系了Buttigieg和Bloomberg的竞选团队寻求评论,但在发表之前没有收到评论。然而,彭博竞选团队的发言人告诉记者新闻周刊在一封邮件中,评论请求正在审查中。本文将会更新以反映任何进一步的回应。

最新的投票结果是基于晨间咨询在1月20日至1月26日期间对注册选民进行的近42,000项在线调查。将近18,000项调查是在民主党初选选民中进行的。

MICHAEL BLOOMBERG VOTER SUPPORT GROWS, SURPASSING PETE BUTTIGIEG, NEW POLL FINDS

Support for Democratic presidential candidate Michael Bloomberg has surged ahead of that of fellow candidate and former South Bend, Indiana, Mayor Pete Buttigieg, according to poll results released Tuesday from Morning Consult.

Bloomberg, a billionaire entrepreneur and former mayor of New York, launched his presidential campaign on November 24, 2019. This was more than eight months after Buttigieg announced his candidacy in April.

However, as the results from Morning Consult indicated, Bloomberg's support among surveyed Americans appears to have surpassed Buttigieg in most voter demographics.

For instance, Bloomberg was the first choice of 12 percent of survey respondents who indicated they will probably vote in their state's Democratic primary. Buttigieg, on the other hand, was the first choice of 7 percent of these respondents. This lead was outside of the margin of error of plus or minus four percentage points.

Bloomberg came in fourth among the first choice of voters living in the 15 Super Tuesday states, all of which hold their primary elections on March 3. Of these respondents, 13 percent said they would pick Bloomberg first, compared with 6 percent who said they would vote for Buttigieg. This part of the poll's margin of error was only plus or minus one percentage point.

Democratic presidential candidate Mike Bloomberg speaks during a campaign stop on January 26 in Miami. Bloomberg's rise in support among nonwhite voters comes despite memories of the "stop-and-frisk" policy he implemented while mayor of New York.

Part of Bloomberg's lead over Buttigieg may be attributable to the latter's relatively low support among nonwhite voters. The New York Times reported on Tuesday that Buttigieg has had trouble with appealing "beyond his overwhelmingly white base of voters" and with attracting diverse campaign staff.

Bloomberg, on the other hand, has demonstrably garnered more support from voters of color as time has gone on, according to Morning Consult.

"Over the past month, [Bloomberg] has doubled his first-choice support among Democratic primary voters," an analysis of the results from Morning Consult read. "[A]nd though he initially struggled with black voters, he has more than doubled the share of these voters who say he is their first choice (4 [percent] to 10 [percent])."

This rise in support came despite memories of the "stop-and-frisk" policy he implemented while mayor of New York, which some have said contributed to racial profiling of African-Americans by the police. Bloomberg has since apologized for the policy.

In the latest poll, Bloomberg was also the first choice for 12 percent of Hispanic voters and Asian-American voters, and 10 percent of "voters of other races."

However, Bloomberg did not register the most support of any Democratic contender. Among Democratic primary voters, for example, he was still behind the three candidates leading in most national polls: former Vice President Joe Biden, Senator Bernie Sanders and Senator Elizabeth Warren.

It is also worth noting that Buttigieg still had a significant lead over Bloomberg among "early state primary voters"—those voters in the states of Iowa, New Hampshire, Nevada and South Carolina. Among these voters, Buttigieg came in fifth with 10 percent support, while Bloomberg was seventh at just 2 percent support. Buttigieg's lead was outside of this section of the poll's margin of error, which was also plus or minus four percentage points.

Further, the poll indicated that Generation Z voters, or those between the ages of 18 and 22, equally preferred Bloomberg and Buttigieg. Both candidates polled at 4 percent support in the latest Morning Consult results.

Newsweek contacted both the Buttigieg and Bloomberg campaigns for comment, but it did not receive comment before publication. However, a spokesperson for the Bloomberg campaign told Newsweek in an email that the request for comment was under review. This article will be updated to reflect any further response.

The latest poll results were based on nearly 42,000 surveys that Morning Consult had conducted online with registered voters between January 20 and January 26. Almost 18,000 of the surveys were conducted among Democratic primary voters.

 

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