皮尤研究中心(Pew Research Center)的一项新研究显示，在即将到来的2020年选举中，移民预计将占美国合格选民人数的创纪录份额。
根据周三发布的皮尤报告，超过2300万美国移民将有资格在11月投票，约占全国选民总数的10%。
这一数字是根据人口普查局的数据估算的，创下了历史新高，代表着过去20年间的稳步增长，自2000年以来增长了93%。
皮尤研究中心称，与2000年相比，美国出生的合格选民人数增长缓慢得多，从2000年的1.81亿到2020年的2.38亿，同期仅增长了23%。
下图由提供Statista，说明了移民选民的增长。
美国移民选民的增长
大多数合格的移民选民是西班牙裔或亚裔，他们出生在美国境外，通过入籍获得美国公民身份，其中来自墨西哥的移民是最大的一个群体:16%的外国出生的合格选民。
皮尤在其报告中称，合格移民选民的总体增长“反映了美国人口的两大趋势”
首先是居住在美国的移民人数不断增加，自1965年《移民和国籍法》生效以来，这一数字一直在稳步增长。当时，美国大约960万移民仅占美国人口的5%。今天，4500万移民生活在美国，约占人口的13.9%，其中大多数来自拉丁美洲或亚洲。
第二个趋势是已经入籍的移民数量增加，根据美国国土安全部的数据，2009年至2019年间有720万移民入籍。例如，在2018财年，超过756，000名移民入籍美国
预计有资格在2020年大选中投票的美国移民中，超过一半(56%)居住在美国人口最多的四个州；加利福尼亚、纽约、德克萨斯和佛罗里达。
皮尤研究中心的发现正值移民被认为是任何民主党候选人争夺唐纳德·特朗普总统职位的关键焦点之际。
尽管这一话题在民主党初选辩论中远未成为焦点，但它可能是与特朗普辩论中的几个焦点问题之一。自特朗普在2016年大选前首次竞选总统以来，他的移民政策面临着广泛的反对和审查。
2018年7月3日，纽约市，一名新美国公民在纽约公共图书馆举行的入籍仪式上，胸前插着一面国旗。在美国独立日的前一天，来自50个国家的200名移民在仪式上成为公民。皮尤研究中心的一项研究发现，在即将到来的2020年选举中，移民将创下十分之一的美国合格选民的记录。
这篇文章被更新为包含一个信息图表。
IMMIGRANTS WILL MAKE UP 1 IN 10 AMERICANS ELIGIBLE TO VOTE IN 2020 ELECTION, STUDY FINDS
Immigrants are expected to make up a record share of the number of eligible U.S. voters in the upcoming 2020 election, according to a new study from the Pew Research Center.
According to a Pew report released on Wednesday, more than 23 million U.S. immigrants will be eligible to vote in November, comprising roughly 10 percent of the nation's total electorate.
The number, which was estimated based on Census Bureau data, marks a record high, representing a steady increase over the past 20 years, with numbers up 93 percent since 2000.
According to Pew, the U.S.-born eligible voter population has grown much more slowly in comparison since 2000, with those numbers growing by just 23 percent over the same time frame from 181 million eligible voters in 2000 to 238 million in 2020.
The graphic below, provided by Statista, illustrates this growth in the immigrant electorate.
Growth in the immigrant electorate in the U.S.
Most eligible immigrant voters, who were born outside the U.S. and who gained U.S. citizenship through naturalization, are either Hispanic or Asian, with immigrants from Mexico comprising the single largest group: 16 percent of foreign-born eligible voters.
The overall growth in eligible immigrant voters, Pew said in its report, "reflects two broad U.S. population trends."
The first is the rising number of immigrants living in the U.S., with numbers growing steadily since 1965, when the Immigration and Nationality Act came into effect. At that time, the roughly 9.6 million immigrants in the U.S. made up just 5 percent of the U.S. population. Today 45 million immigrants live in the U.S. representing roughly 13.9 percent of the population, with most being from Latin America or Asia.
The second trend is the rising number of immigrants who have been naturalized, with 7.2 million immigrants naturalized between 2009 and 2019, according to U.S. Department of Homeland Security data. In fiscal year 2018, for example, more than 756,000 immigrants naturalized in the U.S.
More than half of the U.S. immigrants (56 percent) expected to be eligible to vote in the 2020 election live in the country's four largest states in terms of population; California, New York, Texas and Florida.
The Pew Research Center's findings come at a time when immigration is expected to be a key focus in any Democratic nominee's fight to unseat President Donald Trump.
While the subject has been far from focus in Democratic primary debates, it is likely to be one of several issues to take center stage in debates with Trump, with the president facing widespread backlash and scrutiny over his immigration policies since launching his initial presidential run in the lead-up to the 2016 election.
A new U.S. citizen holds a flag to his chest during the Pledge of Allegiance during a naturalization ceremony at the New York Public Library, July 3, 2018 in New York City. 200 immigrants from 50 countries became citizens during the ceremony, one day before America's Independence Day. Immigrants will make up a record 1-in-10 eligible U.S. voters in the upcoming 2020 election, a Pew Research Center study finds.
This article was updated to include an infographic.
