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投资者凯尔·巴斯(KYLE BASS)说,特朗普应关闭股市直至COVID-19感染率下降

2020-03-24 14:26   美国新闻网   - 

投资者凯尔·巴斯(Kyle Bass)说,特朗普应该关闭股市,直到感染率下降。

著名投资者J.凯尔·巴斯(J. Kyle Bass)周一表示,唐纳德·特朗普(Donald Trump)总统应关闭股市崩盘,直到美国的冠状病毒感染量连续两周下降。

巴斯预测,2008年的房地产市场危机并从中获利,他说,由政府对这一大流行病的反应引发的经济危机正在以如此快的速度摧毁退休帐户中的储蓄,以至于政府负有道义上的义务。

巴斯在查理·柯克(Charlie Kirk)的播客上接受采访时说:“我们的经济缺口将达到5到6万亿美元。” 新闻周刊撰稿人柯克(Kirk)是美国保守集团Turning Point USA的创始人兼总裁。

总部位于达拉斯的对冲基金海曼资本管理公司(Hedge Fund Hayman Capital Management)首席投资官巴斯说:“这是迄今为止美国有史以来最大的金融灾难和经济灾难。”

在过去的一个月中,美国股市大跌,因为投资者对旨在阻止医院系统不堪重负的感染激增的限制措施的经济影响感到恐慌。随着美国COVID-19感染人数攀升至35,000多,标普500指数在四周内下跌了30%以上。

巴斯说:“今天,我主张关闭股票市场,直到美国的感染数量连续两个星期下降为止。”

他补充说:“一旦你摧毁了那么多财富,并且有即将退休的婴儿潮一代,婴儿潮一代将做出情感决定。” “那些人是我们最需要关心的人。专业投资者和卖空者并不是我们真正关心的人。”

美国股票市场在2001年9月11日袭击事件发生后的几天内关闭。在第一次世界大战在欧洲爆发时,美国股票市场在1914年也关闭了四个月。

巴斯驳回了担心股市关闭会引发银行挤兑或另一场金融危机的担忧,称美联储可能向银行体系注入流动性以增强信心。

他说,与2008年银行倒闭并使经济陷入衰退的情况不同,美国银行是健康的。

《华尔街日报》(Wall Street Journal)称,2008年,海曼资本(Hayman Capital)将赌注押在了次级抵押贷款市场的瓦解上,该基金获得了200%的回报。这种交易使巴斯成为了摇滚明星投资者。尽管他取得了其他成功,但他对人民币的押注并没有得到回报。

巴斯说,国会迫切需要通过一项刺激计划,以缓解经济冲击并避免社会动荡。

参议院提出了一项冠状病毒刺激法案,该法案将向美国人发送每人大约1200美元的支票。该刺激法案还将向受到冠状病毒大流行打击的小型企业和其他行业提供贷款。但是,该法案已被证明存在争议,民主党人声称该法案给公司带来的利益超过了普通美国人,并使财政部在决定如何分配贷款方面拥有太多权力。

“如果我们有一半的国家的支票帐户中的存款少于$ 1,000,而且他们被解雇,我的看法是,您有大约一个月或更短的时间才能摆脱社会混乱。这不是正在电视上谈论。”巴斯说。“但是,如果我们每两周没有收到这些人手中的$ 1,000或类似的东西,那么在这场危机过去之前,我们将看到社会混乱。”

“我见过卡特里娜飓风后的卡特里娜飓风。而且您不想知道我们的国家如何恢复了社会秩序。这很丑陋。而且丑陋的方式让您无法相信我是否向您解释过。但是我们不能这种情况发生在纽约市。”

为了阻止冠状病毒的传播,多位州长发布了命令,关闭其所在州的所有非必要业务,并命令公民留在家中。尽管州的数量在增加,但第一波潮包括加利福尼亚,纽约和伊利诺伊州,这三个州占美国经济的四分之一。从那以后,像密歇根州,特拉华州和肯塔基州等州,以及包括费城在内的许多大城市也发布了类似的命令。一位经济学教授周日预测,这种大流行可能使美国损失7万亿美元,并造成自大萧条以来最严重的失业。


TRUMP SHOULD CLOSE STOCK MARKET UNTIL COVID-19 INFECTIONS DECLINE, INVESTOR KYLE BASS SAYS


Trump should shut the stock market until infections decline, investor Kyle Bass says.

President Donald Trump should close the crashing stock markets until coronavirus infections in the United States decline for two consecutive weeks, famed investor J. Kyle Bass said on Monday.

The economic crisis triggered by the government's response to the pandemic is destroying savings in retirement accounts at such a rapid pace that the government has a moral obligation to step in, said Bass, who predicted the housing market crisis in 2008 and profited from it.

"We are going to have a hole in our economy that is $5 or $6 trillion large," Bass said in interview on Charlie Kirk's podcast. Kirk, a Newsweek contributor, is founder and president of the conservative group Turning Point USA.

"This is by far the largest financial calamity and economic calamity the U.S. has ever seen," said Bass, who is the Chief Investment Officer of Dallas-based Hedge Fund Hayman Capital Management.

U.S. stock markets have tumbled in the past month as investors panicked over the economic impact of restrictions designed to stop a surge of infections overwhelming the hospital system. The S&P 500 index has fallen more than 30 percent in four weeks, as the number of COVID-19 infections in the United States climbed to more than 35,000.

"I am an advocate today of closing the stock market until the number of infections in the United States declines for, let's say, two weeks consecutively," Bass said.

"Once you destroy that much wealth and you have boomers about to retire, boomers are going to make emotional decisions," he added. "Those are the people we'd have to care most about. Professional investors and short-sellers aren't who we really care about."

U.S. stock markets were last closed in the days after the September 11 attacks in 2001. They were also shut for four months in 1914 as World War I broke out in Europe.

Bass dismissed concerns that a stock market closure would provoke a run on banks or another financial crisis, saying the Federal Reserve could pump liquidity into the banking system to shore up confidence.

Unlike in 2008, when banks collapsed and drove the economy into recession, U.S. banks are healthy, he said.

In 2008, Hayman Capital's bets on the unraveling of the subprime mortgage market paid off and the fund made a 200 percent return that year, according to the Wall Street Journal. That trade made Bass a rock star investor. While he has had other successes, his bet against the Chinese yuan famously did not pay off.

Bass said the Congress urgently needed to pass the a stimulus plan to cushion the economic shock and avoid social unrest.

A coronavirus stimulus bill has been proposed in the Senate that would send Americans a check roughly $1,200 per person. The stimulus bill also would provide loans to small businesses and other industries hit hard by the coronavirus pandemic. However, the bill has proven controversial, with Democrats allegingthat the bill benefits corporations more than average Americans and gives the Treasury Department too much power in determining how to distribute the loans.

"If we have half our country with less than $1,000 in their checking account, and they're being laid off, the way I see it is you've got about a month or less before you have social disorder. And it's something that's not being talked about on TV," Bass said. "But if we don't get $1,000 every two weeks into these people's hands or something like that, until this crisis passes, we're going to see social disorder."

"I saw Katrina post-Katrina. And you don't want to know how our country got social order restored. It was ugly. And ugly in a way you wouldn't believe if I explained to you. But we can't have that happen in places like New York City," he added.

Hoping to stop the spread of the coronavirus, multiple governors have issued orders closing all non-essential business in their states, and ordering citizens to stay at home. Though the number of states has expanded, the first wave included California, New York and Illinois, three states that make up a quarter of the United States' economy. Since then, states like MIchigan, Delaware and Kentucky, among others, have issued similar orders, as have a number of large cities, including Philadelphia. An economics professor predicted Sunday the pandemic could cost the U.S. $7 trillion and cause the worst job losses since the depression.

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