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选举前六个月特朗普和拜登与女性选民站在哪里

2020-05-09 11:14   美国新闻网   - 

离选举日还有六个月,民调显示前副总统乔·拜登和唐纳德·特朗普总统之间存在巨大的性别差距。

最近对推定提名人的调查显示,拜登在女性中领先更多,而特朗普在男性中略微领先。

蒙莫斯大学周三公布的一项民意调查显示,拜登和特朗普在男性选民中的差距为3个百分点。45%的受访男性表示支持总统连任,42%的人表示支持拜登。

女性选民的差距要大得多。被调查的大多数人——52%——说他们将投票给拜登。略多于三分之一的受访女性表示,她们支持特朗普连任。

这也是另一项全国调查的趋势,由《经济学人》/YouGov。周三公布的民调显示,拜登在女性选民中领先14个百分点。与此同时,特朗普在男性选民中领先6个百分点。

这两次民意调查是在塔拉·里德指控前副总统性侵犯的余波中进行的。今年3月,里德指控拜登在1993年她担任参议院办公室职员时将她推倒在墙上,并用手指刺穿她。

拜登几周以来一直对这一指控保持沉默,尽管他的竞选团队强烈否认了这一指控。上周在接受MSNBC采访时,他终于谈到了这个问题,他说,“这从来没有发生过。”他还要求国家档案和记录管理局公布“她指控的任何投诉记录,并向媒体提供任何此类文件。”

蒙莫斯大学调查的绝大多数登记选民(86%)听说过这一攻击指控。但是选民们对他们是否认为指控是真实的意见不一。37%的人说这“可能是真的”,而32%的人说这“可能不是真的”另外31%的人说他们对此没有意见。

1月25日,乔·拜登在爱荷华州安肯伊的联邦航空局浓缩中心的竞选活动中发表讲话。新的民调显示,他在女性中遥遥领先,而唐纳德·特朗普总统在男性中略微领先。

在2016年的选举中,性别差距也很大。美国有线电视新闻网进行的出口民调显示,女性压倒性地支持希拉里·克林顿。54%的女性选民支持民主党提名人,41%支持特朗普。

总体而言,民调显示拜登在总统竞选中领先特朗普。在经济学家/YouGov调查显示,拜登得到了46%登记选民的支持。特朗普以42%的支持率落后于前副总统。

蒙莫斯大学的调查是在4月30日至5月4日进行的,关于性侵犯指控的问题是在拜登于5月1日上午公开否认后添加的。它调查了739名注册选民,误差幅度为正负3.6个百分点。586名投票者被问及关于里德主张的问题,误差幅度为正负4.1个百分点。

这经济学家YouGov从5月3日至5月5日对1209名注册选民进行了调查,误差幅度为3.3%。

HERE'S WHERE DONALD TRUMP AND JOE BIDEN STAND WITH FEMALE VOTERS SIX MONTHS BEFORE THE 2020 PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION

Six months from Election Day, polls show a big gender gap between former Vice President Joe Biden and President Donald Trump.

The most recent surveys of the presumptive nominees show Biden leading by a wider margin among women, while Trump has a slight edge among men.

A Monmouth University poll released Wednesday showed Biden and Trump separated by 3 percentage points among male voters. Forty-five percent of the men surveyed said they would back the president's re-election, while 42 percent said they would support Biden.

The gap was much wider among female voters. A majority of them who were polled—52 percent—said they would cast their ballot for Biden. Little more than a third of the women surveyed said they'd support a second term for Trump.

That was also the trend in another national survey, conducted by The Economist/YouGov. The poll, also released Wednesday, found Biden had a 14-point edge among female voters. Meanwhile, Trump had a 6-point lead with male voters.

The two polls were conducted amid the fallout from Tara Reade's sexual assault allegation against the former vice president. In March, Reade accused Biden of shoving her up against a wall and penetrating her with his fingers when she was a staffer in his Senate office in 1993.

Biden had remained silent about the allegation for weeks, though his campaign had vehemently denied it. In an interview with MSNBC last week, he finally addressed the issue, saying, "It never, never happened." He also asked for the National Archives and Records Administration to release "any record of the complaint she alleges she filed and make available to the press any such document."

The vast majority of registered voters surveyed by Monmouth University, 86 percent, had heard about the assault allegation. But voters were split on whether they thought the accusation was true or not. Thirty-seven percent said it was "probably true," while 32 percent said it was "probably not true." Another 31 percent said they had no opinion on the subject.

Joe Biden speaks during a January 25 campaign event inside the FFA Enrichment Center in Ankeny, Iowa. New polls show him leading by a wide margin among women, while President Donald Trump has a slight edge among men.

There was also a wide gender gap in the 2016 election. Exit polls conducted by CNN showed women overwhelmingly supported Hillary Clinton. Fifty-four percent of female voters supported the Democratic nominee, while 41 supported Trump.

Overall, polls show Biden leading Trump in the presidential race. In the Economist/YouGov survey, Biden got support from 46 percent of registered voters polled. Trump trailed the former vice president with 42 percent support.

The Monmouth University survey was conducted from April 30 through May 4, and the question about the sexual assault allegation was added after Biden's public denial on the morning of May 1. It surveyed 739 registered voters and has a margin of error of plus or minus 3.6 percentage points. Questions about Reade's claim were asked of 586 voters, with a margin of error of plus or minus 4.1 points.

The Economist/YouGov poll surveyed 1,209 registered voters from May 3 through May 5 and has a margin of error of 3.3 percent.

 

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