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特朗普对拜登的攻击可能不起作用——也可能无关紧要

2020-07-28 10:25   美国新闻网   - 

带的TAKE里克·克莱因

在某种程度上,总统是一致的唐纳德·特朗普特朗普的竞选团队将为选民定义前副总统乔·拜登。

但是现在,在臭名昭著的乌克兰电话会议一年后,特朗普要求得到一个与拜登的指控有关的“帮助”选举日之前100天-越来越多的证据表明,对拜登的反复和零星攻击正在减少。

一系列新的国家和战场州投票指向同一个方向:这是一场关于特朗普的选举,而不是拜登。关键的州都倾向于拜登,尽管在初选季节和现在的大选期间,人们对他的看法并没有明显改变。

可能是总统和他的竞选团队尝试了太多的攻击方式。他们同时证明拜登腐败、衰老,是极左势力的工具;很难想象谁能同时成为这两种人,更不用说三种人了。

想想亚利桑那州马里斯特和全国广播公司的最新民调,拜登在特朗普输不起的州领先5个百分点。在表示不喜欢特朗普和拜登的选民中,拜登的投票偏好优势为27个百分点,为56比29。

2020年7月21日,在特拉华州的新城堡,民主党总统候选人乔·拜登在他为工薪家庭制定的“重建更好的经济复苏计划”的第三个要点上发表了讲话。

特朗普的新任竞选经理比尔·斯捷潘周五告诉记者:“很多美国人都知道乔·拜登,但很少有人知道他。”

即使这是真的,选民对特朗普了解很多,而且每天都有更多关于他的信息流出。在危机中这已经进入竞选季节,这可能是今年选举中最重要的事情。

与...的关系肯德尔·胡炬雄

参议院共和党领导人和特朗普的最高谈判者可能已经克服了他们内部在下一个冠状病毒救助法案上的分歧,财政部长史蒂夫·姆努钦(Steve Mnuchin)宣称他们“意见一致”,但在不远的将来等待的是民主党的反对,因为双方仍在继续非常困难。

共和党领袖米奇·麦康奈尔(Mitch McConnell)将于周一下午公布1万亿美元的共和党计划,此前姆努钦和白宫办公厅主任马克·梅多斯(Mark Meadows)与参议院领导班子成员共度周末,敲定了一项即将出台的计划的最终细节。该计划预计将在本周末结束时,将失业救济金限制在一名工人大流行前工资的70%左右,不采取任何行动。除其他提议外,该计划还包括向美国人直接支付第二轮救济金。但民主党人希望每周600美元的联邦福利至少能维持到明年1月,而众议院在两个月前通过了一项3万亿美元的法案,其中包括对学校、医院、一线工作人员、营养援助等的资助。

2020年7月23日,星期四,华盛顿,白宫办公厅主任马克·梅多斯在国会大厦对记者讲话。

周日,梅多斯反驳了一些人的观点3000万失业的美国人目前接受扩大的大流行失业保险的人可能面临援助缺口,而不是寻求投共和党的反对票,这导致了延误,以此激励人们重返工作岗位。

梅多斯说:“最初的失业救济金实际上是让人们呆在家里,实际上很多人呆在家里的钱比他们回去工作的钱还多,所以总统非常清楚,我们的共和党参议员也非常清楚,我们不会延长这一规定。”美国广播公司的“本周”面对一场仍在肆虐的流行病的余波,向数百万人进行艰难的推销。

姆努钦和梅多斯对他们的努力充满热情,似乎也提出了通过一项狭窄的立法并采取更渐进的方法的可能性,众议院议长南希·佩洛西上周坚决反对这种做法。

姆努钦说:“当你谈论零敲碎打,这将是第五套立法。”“因此,我们没有理由不能拥有5号、6号和7号,因为我们需要处理问题。”

佩洛西仍然没有。

“我们已经准备了两个月零十天。我整个周末都在这里,希望他们能给我们点什么。他们本周承诺了。她在哥伦比亚广播公司的“面对国家”节目中说:“它没有来。”

共和党人和民主党人还没有就下一个冠状病毒救助法案达成一致,这也就不足为奇了。本周末,麦康奈尔在他家乡所在的州对记者说,“希望在接下来的两到三周内,我们能够走到一起,通过一些法案,我们可以把这些法案提交给众议院,然后交给总统签署。”

小费莫莉·纳格尔

前副总统拜登将加入这个国家说最后的再见致销售代表约翰·刘易斯,周一前往华盛顿特区,与妻子吉尔·拜登博士一起向这位已故国会议员致敬。这标志着这位前副总统自3月份冠状病毒大规模关闭该国以来首次公开建议访问该国首都。

除了前往华盛顿纪念这位民权偶像之外,拜登还在推出他的“重建得更好”经济计划,并在过去三周推出了部分政策。最后,即将到来的支柱将集中在促进种族平等。

2020年7月26日,阿拉巴马州塞尔玛,一名军人仪仗队将已故国会议员约翰·刘易斯的灵柩从马车上转移到灵车上,他的灵柩被抬过埃德蒙·佩特斯大桥。

“我们今年再次看到了系统性种族主义的悲剧性代价。拜登认为,解决这些成本必须是经济议程的每一个部分的核心,也是其自身的一个独特的优先事项。”

拜登还将继续寻找他的竞选伙伴,面临着选择一名非裔美国女性作为候选人的持续压力——这也是刘易斯自己曾经提倡的。

“我认为副总统拜登应该四处看看。拥有一个有色女人是件好事。有个女人会很好。有一个像美国其他地方一样的女人是件好事。”四月份支持拜登。

还有一件事

2020年大选倒计时在周日达到了100天大关,流行病继续席卷全国,迫使许多美国人重新评估他们的投票方式十一月前。现有数据似乎表明,民主党人比共和党人更倾向于邮件投票。

播放列表

美国广播公司新闻“从这里开始”播客。周一早上的节目由美国广播公司新闻部政治总监里克·克莱因主持,他在离选举日不到100天的时间里为我们带来了总统竞选的最新进展。然后,美国广播公司新闻的肯雅·惠特沃思概括了一个从西雅图到里士满的暴力抗议周末。美国广播公司新闻白宫记者雷切尔·斯科特从阿拉巴马州的塞尔玛发回报道,已故众议员约翰·刘易斯最后一次穿过埃德蒙·佩特斯大桥。http://apple.co/2HPocUL

五点三十八分政治播客。各州确保能够安全有效地管理今年11月的大选的时间已经不多了。今年3月,情况变得很清楚,各州需要重新配置现场投票,并大幅提升邮件投票,以便美国人能够在冠状病毒大流行期间投票。在初选期间,许多选民经历了推迟选举、统一投票站、排长队、邮寄从未送达的选票以及计票的长时间拖延。在这一期的《五·三十八政治》播客中,布伦南正义中心的选举律师迈娜·佩雷斯与盖伦·德鲁克和纳撒尼尔·拉基奇一起讨论各州如何为大选做好准备,只剩下100天了。https://53eig.ht/3jALZ9T

下载美国广播公司新闻应用并选择“笔记”作为感兴趣的项目,接受当天最尖锐的政治分析。

这是一份日报美国广播公司新闻特写这凸显了未来一天的关键政治时刻。请明天再来查看最新消息。

The Note: Trump attacks on Biden may not work -- and may not matter

The TAKE withRick Klein

To the extent that there's consistency in PresidentDonald Trump's reelection message, there's been this promise: The Trump campaign will define former Vice President Joe Biden for voters.

But now -- a year after the infamous Ukraine call where Trump asked for a "favor" connected to allegations about Biden, and inside of100 days before Election Day-- there is growing evidence that repeated and scattershot attacks on Biden are falling flat.

A range of new national andbattleground-state pollingpoints in the same direction: This is an election about Trump far more than it is Biden. Key states are tipping toward Biden even as perceptions about him haven't moved significantly through the primary season and now the general election.

It may be that the president and his campaign are trying too many avenues of attack. They are simultaneously making the case that Biden is corrupt, senile and a vehicle for the far left; it's hard to imagine how anyone could be two of those things at the same time, much less all three.

Consider this nugget from the latest Marist/NBC poll in Arizona, which has Biden up by five points in a state Trump can't afford to lose. Among voters who say they dislike both Trump and Biden, Biden has a 27-point edge in vote preference, 56-29.

"A lot of Americans know of Joe Biden, far fewer know much about Joe Biden," Trump's new campaign manager, Bill Stepien, told reporters Friday.

Even if that's true, voters know plenty about Trump, and have more information about him flowing out every day.Amid crisesthat have crashed into campaign season, that might be all that matters this election year.

The RUNDOWN withKendall Karson

Senate Republican leaders and Trump's top negotiators may have overcome divisions over the next coronavirus relief bill within their own ranks, with Treasury Secretary Steve Mnuchin touting they are all "on the same page" -- but awaiting in the near distance is Democrats' opposition, as the two sides continue to beat sharp odds.

Republican Leader Mitch McConnell is set to unveil the $1 trillion GOP plan on Monday afternoon, after Mnuchin and White House chief of staff Mark Meadows spent the weekend with members of Senate leadership's staff hammering out the final details of a forthcoming plan that is expected to cap unemployment benefits, which are set to expire by the end of the week without any action, at around 70% of a worker’s pre-pandemic wages, and include a second round of direct payments to Americans, among other proposals. But Democrats want to keep the full $600 per week federal benefit in place at least until January, and in the House that measure -- along with funding for schools, hospitals, front-line workers, nutrition assistance and more -- passed in a $3 trillion bill two months ago.

Meadows on Sunday pushed back on the notion that some30 million out-of-work Americanscurrently receiving expanded pandemic unemployment insurance could face gaps in the assistance, instead seeking to cast the GOP's opposition, which resulted in the delay, as an incentive to urge people to return to the workforce.

"The original unemployment benefit actually paid people to stay home, and actually a lot of people got more money staying at home than they were going back to work, and so the president was very clear, our Republican senators have been very clear, we're not going to extend that provision," Meadows said on ABC's "This Week,"pitching a tough sell to millions facing the fallout of a still-raging pandemic.

Mnuchin and Meadows, enthusiastic about their efforts, also appeared to float the possibility of pushing through a narrow piece of legislation and taking a more gradual approach, something House Speaker Nancy Pelosi firmly rejected last week.

"When you talk about piecemeal, this will be the fifth set of legislation," Mnuchin said. "So there’s no reason why we can’t have No. 5, 6 and 7 as we need to deal with issues."

Pelosi, still, isn't having any of it.

"We have been ready for two months and 10 days. I've been here all weekend hoping they had something to give us. They promised it this week. It didn't come," she said on CBS' "Face the Nation."

With Republicans and Democrats so far from agreement on the next coronavirus relief bill, it’s no wonder McConnell told reporters in his home state this weekend, "Hopefully in the next two to three weeks, we'll be able to come together and pass something that we can send over to the House and down to the president for signature."

The TIP withMolly Nagle

Former Vice President Biden will join the country as itsays its final goodbyeto Rep.John Lewis,traveling to Washington, D.C., Monday to pay his respects to the late congressman with his wife, Dr. Jill Biden. It marks the former vice president’s first publicly advised trip to the nation’s capital since coronavirus largely shut down the country in March.

Along with his trip to D.C. to remember the civil rights icon, Biden is also in the midst of launching his "Build Back Better" economic plan, having rolled out portions of the policy over the last three weeks. The final, forthcoming pillar will focus on advancing racial equity.

"We've seen again this year the tragic costs of systemic racism. Biden believes that addressing those costs has to be core to every part of the economic agenda, and also a distinct priority in its own right," the campaign said in a preview of the overall economic policy.

Biden will also continue the search for his running mate, facing continued pressure to choose an African American woman to join him on the ticket -- something Lewis himself once promoted.

"I think Vice President Biden should look around. It would be good to have a woman of color. It would be good to have a woman. It would be good to have a woman who looks like the rest of America," Lewis said when heendorsed Biden in April.

ONE MORE THING

The 2020 general election countdown hit the 100-day mark on Sunday and pandemic conditions continue to sweep the nation, forcing many Americans toreassess their approach to voting practicesahead of November. Available data seems to indicate that Democrats are leaning into mail voting in greater numbers than Republicans.

THE PLAYLIST

ABC News' "Start Here" podcast.Monday morning's episode features ABC News Political Director Rick Klein, who brings us up to speed on the presidential race less than 100 days from Election Day. Then, ABC News' Kanya Whitworth recaps a violent weekend of protests from Seattle to Richmond. And ABC News White House correspondent Rachel Scott checks in from Selma, Alabama, where the late Rep. John Lewis crossed the Edmund Pettus Bridge for the final time.http://apple.co/2HPocUL

FiveThirtyEight Politics Podcast.The clock is ticking for states to make sure they can safely and effectively administer this November’s general election. In March, it became clear that states needed to reconfigure in-person voting and significantly scale up mail voting so that Americans could cast their ballots during the coronavirus pandemic. During the primaries, many voters experienced postponed elections, consolidated polling places, long lines, mail ballots that never reached them, and long delays in counting those ballots. In this installment of the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast, election attorney Myrna Pérez of the Brennan Center for Justice joins Galen Druke and Nathaniel Rakich to discuss how prepared states are for the general election, with only 100 days remaining.https://53eig.ht/3jALZ9T

Download theABC News appand select "The Note" as an item of interest to receive the day's sharpest political analysis.

The Note is a dailyABC News featurethat highlights the key political moments of the day ahead. Please check back tomorrow for the latest.

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