一项新的调查显示，大约一半的美国人表示，经济或通胀是他们投票给国会的最重要问题，这使得钱包问题成为中期选举前最主要的问题ABC新闻/益普索民意调查。
就个人而言，26%的人认为经济是决定他们投票的最重要的问题，而23%的人认为是通货膨胀。将近四分之三的共和党人指出这两个经济问题是优先考虑的，相比之下，根据美国广播公司新闻/益普索利用益普索知识小组进行的民意调查，只有29%的民主党人这样认为。
民调显示，民主党人比共和党人更有可能认为堕胎、枪支暴力和气候变化是他们投票的首要原因。
重要的是，独立选民密切反映了全国的数字，49%的人认为通货膨胀和经济是最重要的因素。
President Joe Biden greets DNC staff and volunteers after speaking at the headquarters of the Democratic National Committee, Oct. 24, 2022, in Washington, D.C.
德鲁·安格雷尔/盖蒂图片社
投票选择的两大原因因种族和民族而异。关于经济和通货膨胀，45%的美国黑人和47%的西班牙裔美国人优先考虑这两个问题，与普通公众基本相同。
但是，在民主党议程上的一个问题上，种族和民族之间存在着有意义的差异:枪支暴力。虽然只有4%的美国白人认为枪支暴力是他们投票选举国会议员时最重要的问题，但15%的西班牙裔美国人和17%的美国黑人认为这是他们的问题。
这两个问题——经济和通货膨胀——更有可能将选民推向共和党，共和党连续几个月一直在抨击乔·拜登总统及其政府提高加油站和杂货店的价格。但是民主党人也希望最高法院最近的一项决定堕胎服务更加困难——在某些情况下并不存在——将推动投票率向有利于他们的方向发展。
美国广播公司新闻/益普索民意调查的数据显示，大约60%的美国人(61%)认为堕胎在所有或大多数情况下都应该合法，而只有37%的人认为堕胎应该非法。公众明显倾向于支持与这一观点一致的候选人，大多数人表示，他们更有可能支持主张堕胎合法和可用的候选人。
但是，堕胎权虽然让一些人兴奋，但不太可能成为五分之一美国人的主要动机，这些人说这个问题对他们的投票决定没有任何影响，无党派人士的冷漠程度甚至更高。
当美国人被问及政党对宾夕法尼亚大道和国会山的控制时，他们依然无动于衷。一半的美国人表示，相同或相反的政党控制国会和白宫并不重要。只有19%的人认为总统来自一个政党，国会由另一个政党控制对国家更好。
不到三分之一的人希望同一个政党控制政府的两个分支，但这个数字是由47%的民主党人推动的，他们压倒性地希望他们的政党控制两个分支。甚至更多的无党派人士，55%，说这没有什么区别。
美国广播公司新闻/益普索民意调查于2022年10月28日至29日使用益普索公共事务知识小组以英语和西班牙语在729名成年人的随机全国样本中进行，其中黑人和西班牙裔受访者的过度抽样加权到他们在总人口中的正确比例..结果的抽样误差为3.9点，包括设计效果。党派分歧为28-24-41%，民主党-共和党-无党派。查看投票结果和方法的详细信息这里
Economy and inflation top public’s agenda going into midterm elections: POLL
About half of Americans say either the economy or inflation is the most important issue in their vote for Congress, making pocketbook issues by far the most dominant in the run up to the midterm elections, according to a newABC News/Ipsos poll.
Taken individually, 26% identify the economy as their single most important issue determining their vote while 23% cite inflation. Nearly three out of four Republicans point to the two economic concerns as a priority, compared to only 29% of Democrats per the ABC News/Ipsos poll conducted using Ipsos’ KnowledgePanel.
Democrats are much more likely than Republicans to say abortion, gun violence and climate change are the top reasons for their vote, according to the poll.
Importantly, independents closely mirror the national numbers, with 49% having the combination of inflation and the economy above all others.
The top two reasons for vote choice vary little by race and ethnicity. Regarding the economy and inflation, 45% of Black Americans and 47% of Hispanic Americans prioritize the pair of issues, essentially the same as the general public.
But there’s a meaningful difference by race and ethnicity on an issue that’s on the agenda for Democrats: gun violence. Although only 4% of white Americans name gun violence as the most important issue in their vote for Congress, 15% of Hispanic Americans and 17% of Black Americans list it as theirs.
This duo of issues – economy and inflation – are much more likely to drive voters toward Republicans, who have been hammering President Joe Biden and his administration for higher prices at the pump and the grocery store for months on end. But Democrats have also hoped that a recent decision by the Supreme Court that made access toabortion services more difficult– and in some cases nonexistent – will drive turnout in their favor.
Data from the new ABC News/Ipsos poll shows that about 6 in 10 Americans (61%) think abortion should be legal in all or most cases versus only 37 percent who think it should be illegal. The public has a clear preference in supporting candidates who align with that view with a large plurality saying they would be more likely to support a candidate who favors keeping abortion legal and available.
But access to abortion, while galvanizing for some, is less likely to be the primary motivation for one in five Americans who say the issue makes no difference at all in their voting decision, with that indifference being even higher among independents.
Indifference persists when Americans are asked about party control of Pennsylvania Avenue versus Capitol Hill. Half the country says it doesn’t matter if the same or opposite parties control Congress and the White House. Only 19% think it is better for the country to have a president from one political party and Congress controlled by the other.
Just under a third would prefer to have the same party control both branches of government, but that number is driven by 47% of Democrats who overwhelmingly want their party to control both. Even more independents, 55%, say it makes no difference.
