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民意调查显示,多数美国人支持对特朗普的第二次起诉,称指控是出于政治动机

2023-06-12 09:22 -ABC  -  310457

多数美国人认为前总统唐纳德·特朗普应该被联邦大陪审团起诉根据新的美国广播公司新闻/益普索的报道,关于他处理机密文件的指控,几乎同样多的人说这些指控是出于政治动机投票。

检察官在起诉书中指控,特朗普在离任后故意保留了包含美国最敏感情报的文件,至少在两个场合展示了其中一些文件,然后试图阻挠对这些文件下落的调查。特朗普一再否认任何不当行为的指控。

根据美国广播公司新闻/益普索利用益普索知识小组进行的民意调查,近一半(48%)的美国人认为特朗普应该在这起案件中受到指控,而35%的人认为他不应该受到指控,17%的人说他们不知道。

毫不奇怪,绝大多数(86%)自我认同的民主党人认为前总统应该受到指控。另一方面,共和党人仍然大多忠于特朗普,三分之二(67%)的人表示,这位前总统和目前共和党提名的领跑者不应该受到指控。无党派人士的分歧更大,45%的人认为他应该被起诉,三分之一的人说他不应该被起诉,22%的人说他们不知道。

总体而言,超过五分之三的美国人认为指控非常严重(42%)或有点严重(19%),而只有28%的公众认为不太严重或根本不严重。十分之一的人表示不知道。预计党内分歧会两极分化,约90%的民主党人表示指控非常严重或有点严重,而一半的共和党人认为指控不太严重或根本不严重。大多数无党派人士(63%)认为指控非常严重或有些严重,而38%的人认为指控不太严重或根本不严重。

美国广播公司新闻/益普索调查在特朗普被起诉后的周五和周六进行,随着过多的细节不断出现。

这是对特朗普的第二次起诉,特朗普还在纽约市面临刑事指控,与州法院的一起民事案件有关,涉嫌封口费向成人电影女演员斯托米·丹尼尔斯付款。这些数字是与民意测验惊人地相似曼哈顿地区检察官阿尔文·布拉格提出这些指控后。特朗普对这些指控不认罪。

周五公开的最新起诉书称,机密文件包括“美国和外国的国防和武器能力;美国核计划;美国及其盟国对军事攻击的潜在脆弱性;以及应对外来攻击的可能报复计划。”

据联邦检察官称,这些文件的箱子据称被存放在特朗普的Mar-a-Lago俱乐部周围的不同地点,包括一个舞厅舞台和一个浴室。特朗普的长期合作伙伴沃尔特·诺塔在2021年被聘为特朗普的私人助理之前,他曾在白宫工作,也因涉嫌与前总统合谋妨碍司法公正而被起诉。当ABC新闻联系到Nauta的律师时,他拒绝置评。

特朗普将于周二在迈阿密接受传讯。

在第二起案件的指控公开后,特朗普在他的社交媒体网站上发布的视频中声称自己是无辜的。

“我是无辜的。我们将非常、非常彻底地证明这一点,希望非常快。非常感谢,”他说。

他的竞选团队发出了一份更全面的声明,谴责司法部,并声称起诉是出于政治动机。

特朗普竞选团队写道:“特朗普总统没有违反任何法律,他被置于不同于其他前总统和副总统的法律标准之下。”

至少大多数美国人表示,他们确实看到了指控背后的政治因素——事实上,47%的公众认为对特朗普的指控是出于政治动机。近五分之二(37%)的人说他们不是,16%的人不知道。大多数共和党人(80%)赞同这一观点,只有一小部分人(9%)认为这些指控不是基于政治。大约十分之一的共和党人不确定。但是大部分民主党人(71%)认为这些指控不是基于政治,而16%的人说他们是出于政治动机,13%的人还没有做出决定。

特朗普的政治对手对这一消息反应不一,特朗普的前副总统迈克·彭斯,维护虽然没有人可以凌驾于法律之上,但他认为这一指控“令人不安”。

“美国人民有权知道这一史无前例的行动的原因,我们也需要听到前总统的辩护。然后,我们每个人都可以做出自己的判断,这是不是司法部工作不公的最新例子,”彭斯在北卡罗来纳州的一次竞选活动中说。

其他挑战者,如前阿肯色州州长阿萨·哈钦森,呼吁前总统暂停竞选。

“这是我们国家悲伤的一天。虽然唐纳德·特朗普有权享有无罪推定,但正在进行的刑事诉讼将是一个主要的干扰。这重申了唐纳德·特朗普需要尊重办公室,结束他的竞选,”他在给美国广播公司新闻的一份声明中说。

这种思想分歧也反映在美国人身上。多数公众(46%)认为特朗普应该暂停竞选白宫,而38%的人认为不应该,16%的人不知道。

在争夺共和党总统候选人提名的过程中,哈钦森和彭斯等自称为宪法保守派的候选人希望赢得福音派或重生共和党人的支持,这一群体包括42%自称为共和党人的人。这项美国广播公司新闻/益普索调查发现,认为自己是福音派或重生的共和党人实际上比不认为自己是福音派或重生的共和党人(61%)在数字上更支持特朗普(69%)。)并且在组成共和党识别符的不同子群中,对指控的态度几乎没有区别。

虽然总统乔·拜登的支持率为31%,但特朗普的支持率自他第一次被起诉以来有所上升——从当时的25%上升到现在的31%。

根据最近的民调,特朗普在2024年共和党提名的竞争中遥遥领先。

方法——这项ABC News/益普索民意调查于2023年6月9日至10日使用益普索公共事务知识小组以英语和西班牙语在910名美国成年人的随机全国样本中进行,其中共和党受访者的样本量超过了他们在总人口中的正确比例。结果的抽样误差为3.7点,包括设计效果。党派分歧为26-25-41%,民主党-共和党-无党派。查看投票结果和方法的详细信息这里。

Pluralities of Americans support second Trump indictment, say charges are politically motivated: POLL

A plurality of Americans think that former President Donald Trump should have beenindicted by a federal grand juryon charges related to his handling of classified documents, yet a near equal number say the charges are politically motivated, according to a new ABC News/Ipsospoll.

Trump willfully retained documents containing the nation's most sensitive intelligence after he left office, exhibited some of them on at least two occasions and then tried to obstruct the investigation into their whereabouts, prosecutors allege in the indictment. Trump has repeatedly denied any allegations of wrongdoing.

Nearly half -- 48% -- of Americans think Trump should have been charged in this case, whereas 35% think he should not have been and 17% saying they do not know, per the ABC News/Ipsos poll conducted using Ipsos' KnowledgePanel.

Not surprisingly, an overwhelming majority (86%) of self-identified Democrats believe the former president should have been charged. On the other hand, Republicans remain mostly loyal to Trump, with two in three (67%) saying the former president and current frontrunner for the Republican nomination should not have been charged. Independents are more divided, with 45% believing he should have been charged, a third saying he should not have been, and 22% saying they don't know.

Overall, a solid majority of over three in five Americans find the charges either very (42%) or somewhat serious (19%), while only 28% of the public say it's not too serious or not serious at all. One in ten say they don't know. And party splits are expectedly polarized, with about nine in 10 Democrats saying the charges are very or somewhat serious while half of Republicans find them to be not too serious or not serious at all. A majority of independents (63%) find the charges very or somewhat serious, while 38% say they are not too serious or not serious at all.

The ABC News/Ipsos survey was in the field Friday and Saturday after Trump was indicted and as a plethora of details continued to emerge.

This is the second set of indictments for Trump, who also faces criminal charges in New York City related to a civil case in state court regarding alleged hush money payments to adult film actress Stormy Daniels. And these figures arestrikingly similar to pollingin the immediate aftermath of those charges, levied by Manhattan District Attorney Alvin Bragg. Trump pleaded not guilty to those charges.

The latest indictment, which was unsealed Friday, alleges that the classified documents included "defense and weapons capabilities of both the United States and foreign countries; United States nuclear programs; potential vulnerabilities of the United States and its allies to military attack; and plans for possible retaliation in response to a foreign attack."

Boxes of those documents were allegedly stored in various locations around Trump's Mar-a-Lago club, including a ballroom stage and a bathroom, according to federal prosecutors. Long-time Trump associateWalt Nauta, who worked in the White House before being hired as a personal aide to Trump in 2021, was also indicted for allegedly conspiring with the former president to obstruct justice. An attorney for Nauta declined to comment when contacted by ABC News.

Trump is set to be arraigned in Miami on Tuesday.

After the charges in this second case were made public, Trump claimed his innocence on a video posted to his social media site.

"I am innocent. We will prove that very, very soundly and hopefully very quickly. Thank you very much," he said.

His campaign sent a fuller statement denouncing the Department of Justice and alleging the indictment was politically motivated.

"President Trump violated no laws and is being held to a different legal standard than other former Presidents and Vice Presidents," the Trump campaign wrote.

And at least a plurality of Americans say they do see politics behind the charges -- in fact, 47% of the public believe the charges against Trump are politically motivated. Nearly two in five (37%) say they are not, and 16% don't know. Most Republicans (80%) align with that view, with only a sliver (9%) believing the charges were not based on politics. Around one in 10 Republicans aren't sure. But the lion's share of Democrats (71%) find the charges to be not based on politics, while 16% say they were politically motivated, and 13% have yet to make up their minds.

Trump's political rivals have had mixed reaction to the news, with his former vice president, Mike Pence,assertingthat while no one was above the law, he finds the indictment "troubling."

"The American people deserve to know the reasons for this unprecedented action, and we also need to hear the former president's defense. Then each of us can make our own judgment on whether this is the latest example of a Justice Department working an injustice, or otherwise," Pence said at a campaign stop in North Carolina.

Other challengers, like former Arkansas Gov. Asa Hutchinson, are calling for the former president to suspend his campaign.

"This is a sad day for our country. While Donald Trump is entitled to the presumption of innocence, the ongoing criminal proceedings will be a major distraction. This reaffirms the need for Donald Trump to respect the office and end his campaign," he said in a statement to ABC News.

That division of thought is reflected within Americans, too. A plurality of the public (46%) say Trump should suspend his bid for the White House, while 38% say he should not, and 16% don't know.

As they chase the Republican nomination for president, candidates like Hutchinson and Pence, who bill themselves as constitutional conservatives, hope to make inroads with evangelical or born again Republicans, a group that comprises 42% of self-identified Republicans. This ABC News/Ipsos survey finds that Republicans who identify as evangelical or born again are actually more numerically favorable (69%) to Trump than Republicans who do not identify as evangelical or born again (61%.) And there is virtually no difference in attitudes towards the charges among the different sub-groups that comprise Republican identifiers.

While President Joe Biden's favorability stands at 31%, Trump's favorability rating has improved since his first indictment -- up from 25% then to 31% now.

Trump holds a comfortable lead in the race for the 2024 Republican nomination, according to recent polls.

METHODOLOGY – This ABC News/Ipsos poll was conducted using Ipsos Public Affairs' KnowledgePanel® June 9-10, 2023, in English and Spanish, among a random national sample of 910 U.S. adults with an oversample of Republican respondents weighted to their correct proportion in the general population. Results have a margin of sampling error of 3.7 points, including the design effect. Partisan divisions are 26-25-41 percent, Democrats-Republicans-independents. See the poll's topline results and details on the methodologyhere.

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