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民调显示,一半的美国人希望他暂停竞选

2023-08-28 09:31 -ABC  -  522619

这最新的ABC新闻/益普索民意调查在8月15日至17日进行的一项调查显示,美国前总统唐纳德·特朗普在公众舆论方面存在一些问题他越来越多的刑事指控在他的重返白宫.

公布的民意调查显示在他第四次被起诉后,努力扭转他在佐治亚州2020年的失败,表明他没有得到他在竞选活动中一直吹捧的起诉后美国人的反弹。

本月早些时候,特朗普在阿拉巴马州蒙哥马利的一次共和党晚宴上吹嘘道:“每当他们提出起诉,我们的民调就会大幅上升。”。“我们还需要一项指控来结束这次选举。再有一项指控,这次选举就结束了。”

但是ABC新闻/益普索调查-这是继今年其他三项民意调查之后的又一项调查特朗普在另外三项指控中提出指控,但他都否认了这些指控,这表明尽管共和党人仍在很大程度上支持他,但他面临着更广泛公众的问题。

乔·拜登总统可能会在明年2020年的比赛中面临美国也在努力应对低迷的支持率,尽管许多美国人表示希望特朗普暂停竞选,但似乎没有得到提振。

PHOTO: Former President Donald Trump speaks at the 56th annual Silver Elephant Gala in Columbia, S.C., Aug. 5, 2023.

2023年8月5日,前总统唐纳德·特朗普在南卡罗来纳州哥伦比亚举行的第56届年度银象盛会上发表讲话。

小阿迪·沃克/美联社

共和党在起诉后没有继续反弹,但仍是主要的领先者

特朗普现在受到四起刑事案件的指控:在佛罗里达州和华盛顿州的联邦法院,以及在佐治亚州和纽约州的州法院。他否认所有不法行为,并一直吹捧他的起诉书是政治火箭燃料,使他进一步受到他帮助使刑事司法系统怀疑调查他的基础。

相应的到五点三十八分,这位前总统在第一次被起诉后确实看到了初选的上升,在纽约。他在2023年第二季度的筹款,在他不断增加的法律纠纷中,也是前一时期的近两倍。

但是,尽管他声称,最近的美国广播公司新闻/益普索民意调查显示,自本月初特朗普第三次被起诉后进行的美国广播公司新闻/益普索民意调查以来,他在共和党人中没有明显的改善,这与1月6日和推翻他选举失败的努力有关。

本月初,20%的共和党人表示特朗普应该暂停竞选,14%的人表示他应该在1月6日的起诉书中受到指控。

这些结果在最新的美国广播公司新闻/益普索民意调查中没有变化,20%的共和党人表示特朗普应该暂停竞选,15%的人表示他应该在佐治亚州的起诉书中受到指控。

更广泛地说,根据最新的民意调查,特朗普在美国人中的支持率/不支持率仍然严重下降:31%的支持率和55%的不支持率——与上次民意调查基本持平。

与此同时,特朗普仍然是共和党总统候选人提名的最大热门538的平均投票率在全国范围内领先最接近的竞争对手罗恩·德桑蒂斯近40个百分点

一半的美国人希望特朗普退出竞选

本月早些时候,在美国广播公司新闻/益普索民意调查中,49%的成年人表示特朗普应该暂停竞选活动——在最近的调查中,50%的人表示相同。在这些民调中,只有大约三分之一的美国人认为特朗普不应该暂停竞选,其余的人尚未决定。

这个数字预示着,如果特朗普成功参加大选,他将面临一些困难。

特朗普的共和党批评者几个月来一直哀叹他在初选中的首要地位,坚持认为鉴于他的行李,他将在大选中成为一个负债——尽管他的竞选团队谴责这些指控是“非美国的”。

“所有这些都将继续拖累他,”前新泽西州长、现任共和党总统候选人克里斯·克里斯蒂的顾问迈克·杜海姆在最新的ABC新闻/益普索民意调查发布前告诉ABC新闻。

“他在这一点上已经相当熟练了,但我确实认为重量最终会影响到他,”杜海姆谈到特朗普。

拜登仍然处于低迷状态

根据最近的美国广播公司新闻/益普索民意调查,尽管公众对特朗普的起诉有看法,但拜登继续努力争取他在美国成年人中的支持率。

本月初,33%的成年人说他们对总统有好感。

在最新的民意调查中,31%的成年人表示他们对拜登有好感,与特朗普的支持率相同。

民主党人试图淡化对拜登生存能力的担忧,转而寻求吹捧他在任期内的立法胜利以及该党在去年中期选举中的相对成功。

Trump's indictments: Polling shows half of Americans want him to suspend his campaign, and more takeaways

Themost recent ABC News/Ipsos poll, conducted Aug. 15-17, showed some problems for former President Donald Trump in terms of public opinion onhis mounting criminal chargesamid hiscomeback bid for the White House.

The poll, releasedafter his fourth indictment, over efforts to reverse his 2020 loss in Georgia, shows that he's not getting the post-indictment bounce with Americans that he's been touting on the campaign trail.

"Any time they file an indictment, we go way up in the polls," Trump boasted during a Republican Party dinner in Montgomery, Alabama, earlier this month. "We need one more indictment to close out this election. One more indictment, and this election is closed out."

But the ABC News/Ipsos survey --which follows three other polls this yearin the wake of Trump's charges in three other indictments, all of which he denies -- suggest that while Republicans are still largely supporting him, he faces issues with the broader public.

President Joe Biden, whom Trumpcould face next year in a rematch of the 2020 race, is also grappling with an anemic favorability rating, seemingly not receiving a boost even as many Americans say they want Trump to suspend his campaign.

No continued post-indictment bounce with GOP but still primary front-runner

Trump is now charged in four criminal cases: in federal court in Florida and Washington and in state court in Georgia and New York. He denies all wrongdoing and has been touting his indictments as political rocket fuel endearing him further to a base that he's helped make skeptical of the criminal justice system investigating him.

Accordingto FiveThirtyEight, the former president did see a primary polling boost after his first indictment,in New York. His fundraising in the second quarter of 2023, amid his mounting legal troubles, was also nearly double the previous period.

But, despite what he has claimed, the most recent ABC News/Ipsos poll, shows no noticeable improvement for him among Republicans since a previous ABC News/Ipsos poll, conducted early this month after Trump was indicted for the third time, in relation to Jan. 6 and the push to overturn his election defeat.

Early this month, 20% of Republicans said Trump should suspend his campaign and 14% said he should have been charged in the Jan. 6 indictment.

These results are unchanged in the latest ABC News/Ipsos poll, with 20% of Republicans saying Trump should suspend his campaign and 15% indicating he should have been charged in the Georgia indictment.

More broadly, Trump's favorable/unfavorable ratings with Americans remain severely underwater according to the latest poll: 31% favorable and 55% unfavorable -- essentially unchanged from the previous poll.

At the same time, Trump remains the clear favorite so far for the Republican presidential nomination according toFiveThirtyEight’s polling average, with a nearly 40-point lead nationally over nearest rival Ron DeSantis

Half of Americans want Trump out of the race

Early this month, 49% of adults said in the ABC News/Ipsos poll that Trump should suspend his campaign -- and 50% say the same in the most recent survey. Only about a third of Americans in these polls don’t think Trump should suspend his campaign, with the rest undecided.

That figure portends some struggles for Trump should he make it to the general election.

Republican critics of Trump have for months lamented his primacy in the primary, insisting that he would be a liability in a general election given his baggage -- even as his campaign has decried the charges as "un-American."

"All this is gonna continue to weigh him down," Mike DuHaime, an adviser to former New Jersey governor and current GOP presidential candidate Chris Christie, told ABC News before the latest ABC News/Ipsos poll's release.

"He's been pretty skillful to this point, but I do think the weight will eventually get to him," DuHaime said of Trump.

Biden remains stuck in the doldrums

Despite the public's views about Trump's indictments, Biden continues to struggle with his favorability rating among American adults, according to the recent ABC News/Ipsos polls.

Early this month, 33% of adults said they had a favorable view of the president.

In the latest poll, 31% of adults say they have a favorable view of Biden -- the same as Trump's favorability rating.

Democrats have sought to play down concerns over Biden's viability, seeking instead to tout his legislative wins in office and the party's relative success in last year's midterms.

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