哈马斯对以色列的袭击专家告诉美国广播公司新闻，不仅威胁到乔·拜登总统的外交政策目标，还威胁到他在2024年选举前发出的信息，即他正在恢复美国在海外的领导地位，以使世界更加安全。
一个关键的例子是，在以色列造成900多人死亡的突袭，其中包括至少11名美国人，可能会破坏他的政府促成以色列和沙特阿拉伯关系正常化的重大协议的努力。
白宫将长达数月的努力吹捧为一项历史性的协议，将为该地区带来和平与稳定。
2023年10月7日，在加沙地带好战的哈马斯统治者对以色列进行了前所未有的多战线攻击后，乔·拜登总统在华盛顿白宫的国宴厅发表讲话...显示更多undefined
曼努埃尔·巴尔塞·塞内塔/美联社
虽然美国官员表示，现在确定伊朗支持的哈马斯是否试图通过袭击来破坏谈判还为时过早，但很明显，这使已经极其困难的谈判变得更加复杂。根据政治风险研究和咨询公司欧亚集团(Eurasia Group)总裁伊恩·布雷默(Ian Bremmer)的说法，破坏沙特阿拉伯和哈马斯之间的谈判绝对是袭击的目标，至少现在，这些谈判已经“死亡”。
布雷默说:“随着以色列人与阿拉伯领导人达成协议，并处于更强势的地位，巴勒斯坦人受到了更糟糕的待遇:他们正在失去土地，他们与以色列政治中的话语无关。”。“如果你是哈马斯——与巴勒斯坦权力机构不同——你把自己的床铺在‘以色列必须被摧毁’的基础上——那么，你一天天地变得越来越无关紧要了...有时候，面对一堆非常糟糕的选择，人们会做出非常愚蠢的事情，这些暴行对哈马斯领导层来说是自杀。”
专家说，这有政治后果，也有外交后果。
“拜登的故事是，世界是一个更安全的地方，因为他正在修复联盟，”约翰霍普金斯大学政治学教授罗伯特·里伯曼告诉美国广播公司新闻。“鉴于在阿富汗、乌克兰发生的事情以及与中国的不稳定关系，这已经是一个难以维持的故事。世界是一个危险的地方，并没有明显地比前一届政府更危险。”
根据布雷默的说法，以色列危机加上乌克兰战争，为拜登总统创造了一个前所未有的挑战时刻。
布雷默说:“特朗普政府在整个四年里真的没有一次重大外交政策危机。”“现在，全球同时发生两大外交政策危机，涉及完全不同的资源。”
总统和他的政府在周末与一系列领导人进行了接触，包括以色列、巴勒斯坦和其他地区领导人，但在周一，尽管拜登会见了顾问，并在幕后致电盟友，但他在联邦假日没有举行公开活动。
周一下午，他发布了一份声明，称至少有11名美国人在以色列遇难，而且“很可能”有美国公民被哈马斯扣为人质。国务院早些时候表示，他们无法说出有多少美国人失踪，因为这个数字一直在变化。
白宫周一还表示，总统已经指示他的团队“跟进与以色列在危机各方面的协调，并继续与地区伙伴合作，警告任何可能试图利用这种局势的人。”
不管怎样，共和党人正在攻击拜登在世界舞台上的角色。
“伊朗、中国和俄罗斯正在寻找任何理由利用美国软弱的外交政策，”俄克拉荷马州共和党参议员马克韦恩·马林(Markwayne Mullin)在社交媒体平台X上写道。"乔·拜登一直在开车睡觉。"
总统的共和党对手也在周末匆忙指责他，声称拜登政府最近与伊朗达成的人质协议——涉及解冻60亿美元的伊朗资金——为伊朗腾出了资金，用于资助哈马斯对以色列的袭击。白宫官员称这种说法是虚假信息，并补充说，这些钱没有被花掉，受限制的资金只能用于人道主义需求。与共和党的说法相反，伊朗的石油收入存在韩国，而不是美国纳税人的钱。
与此同时，参议院本周休会房子没有扬声器。副国家安全顾问乔恩·范恩告诉美国广播公司新闻，他预计以色列对袭击的回应将持续“相当一段时间”，美国将继续显示支持和团结。
但是，如果没有一个正常运作的国会，获得对以色列的额外支持可能会很困难，因为许多共和党议员已经拒绝了拜登向乌克兰提供更多援助的请求。
对以色列的突然袭击还迫使拜登政府将注意力重新转向中东，这增加了美国在处理乌克兰和中国问题上已经面临的障碍。
根据约翰霍普金斯大学的利伯曼的说法，到2024年大选时，以色列和加沙的暴力事件将只是拜登总统任期的一个更大的故事。利伯曼认为，如果前总统唐纳德·特朗普(Donald Trump)获得共和党提名，那么拜登让世界变得更安全的信息可能会更有分量。
“这是一只稳定、清晰、经验丰富的指导之手，”利伯曼说。“作为对无纪律的反对，从似乎包含世界各地各种危险领导人的时髦外交政策中开枪。”
Israel-Hamas conflict tests Biden's foreign policy message ahead of 2024: ANALYSIS
The Hamas attack on Israelthreatens to undermine not only President Joe Biden's foreign policy goals but his message headed into the 2024 elections that he's restoring American leadership abroad to make the world more secure, experts tell ABC News.
In one key example, the surprise assault that has killed more than 900 people in Israel, including at least 11 Americans, could derail his administration's efforts to broker a major pact to normalize relations between Israel and Saudi Arabia.
The White House has touted the months-long effort as a historic agreement that would lead to peace and stability in the region.
And while U.S. officials say it's too early to determine whether Iran-backed Hamas was trying to derail those talks through its attacks, it's clear this complicates already extremely difficult negotiations. According to Ian Bremmer, president of Eurasia Group, a political risk research and consulting firm, disrupting discussions between Saudi Arabia and Hamas was absolutely a goal of the attacks, and at least for now, those talks are "dead."
"As the Israelis are cutting deals with the Arab leaders and getting in a stronger position, the Palestinians are being treated worse: They are losing land, they are irrelevant to the discourse in Israeli politics," Bremmer said. "If you're Hamas -- and unlike the Palestinian Authority -- you've made your bed on the basis of 'Israel must be destroyed' -- well, you're becoming more irrelevant by the day ... Sometimes people facing a bunch of really bad options do really stupid things, and these atrocities are suicidal for the Hamas leadership."
There are political consequences, as well as diplomatic ones, experts say.
"The Biden story is that the world is a safer place because he is repairing alliances," Robert Lieberman, a political science professor at Johns Hopkins University, told ABC News. "That was already a hard story to sustain given what happened in Afghanistan, Ukraine and rocky relations with China. The world is a dangerous place and it's not really visibly less dangerous than it was in the previous administration."
The crisis in Israel, according to Bremmer, combined with the war in Ukraine, has created an unprecedented moment of challenge for the Biden presidency.
"The Trump administration really didn't have a single major foreign policy crisis in the entire four years," Bremmer said. "Right now, you have two major foreign policy crises globally happening at the same time involving completely different sets of resources."
The president and his administration engaged with a flurry of leaders over the weekend, including with Israeli, Palestinian and other regional leaders, but on Monday, while Biden met with advisers and was calling allies behind the scenes, he held no public events on the federal holiday.
On Monday afternoon, he released a statement saying that at least 11 Americans are among those that were killed in Israel and that it's "likely" American citizens are among those being held hostage by Hamas. The State Department earlier said they could not say how many Americans are missing because the number is constantly moving.
The White House also said Monday the president has directed his team to "follow up on coordination with Israel on all aspects of the crisis and to continue their work with regional partners to warn anyone who might seek to take advantage in this situation."
Regardless, Republicans are attacking Biden's role on the world stage.
"Iran, China, and Russia are looking for any reason to exploit weak U.S. foreign policy," wrote Republican Sen. Markwayne Mullin of Oklahoma on X, the social-media platform formerly known as Twitter. "Joe Biden has been asleep at the wheel."
The president's Republican opponents also rushed to blame him over the weekend, claiming that the Biden administration's recent hostage deal with Iran -- which involved unfreezing $6 billion in Iranian funds -- had freed up money for Iran to fund the Hamas attack on Israel. White House officials called the claims disinformation, adding that none of the money has been spent and the restricted funds can be spent only on humanitarian needs. Contrary to Republican claims, the Iranian oil revenue was held in South Korea -- not U.S. taxpayer dollars.
Meanwhile, the Senate is on recess this week and theHouse is without a speaker.Deputy national security adviser Jon Finer told ABC News he expects the Israeli response to the attacks will continue for "quite some time" and the U.S. will continue to show support and solidarity.
But getting that additional support for Israel could be challenging without a functioning Congress, with many GOP lawmakers already pushing back on Biden's request for more aid to Ukraine.
The surprise attacks on Israel also force the Biden administration to focus its attention back to the Middle East, adding to the obstacles the U.S. already faces in dealing with Ukraine and China.
According to Lieberman, at Johns Hopkins University, the violence in Israel and Gaza will be just one piece of the larger story of the Biden presidency by the 2024 election. If former President Donald Trump is the Republican nominee, Lieberman argues, then Biden's message that he's making the world a safer place could hold more weight.
"This is a steady, clear, experienced guiding hand," Lieberman said. "As against undisciplined, shoot from the hip foreign policy that seems to embrace all manner of dangerous leaders around the world."
