美国广播公司新闻周三宣布了共和党总统候选人将如何有资格参加该网络的即将到来的新罕布什尔州初选辩论一月份。
为了在舞台上赢得一席之地,候选人要么必须进入前三名在爱荷华州党团会议上或者在两次独立的全国共和党初选投票中获得至少10%的选票,或者在两次独立的新罕布什尔州共和党初选投票中获得至少10%的选票,这些都符合ABC的报告标准。
只有在完全分开的现场期间进行民意测验时,同一民意测验者才能进行多次统计。
美国广播公司和当地电台WMUR本月早些时候宣布,他们将与新罕布什尔州共和党委员会协调,于美国东部时间1月18日晚上9点在新罕布什尔州曼彻斯特的圣安瑟姆学院举行辩论。
辩论将在该州共和党初选前五天举行,在定于1月15日举行的爱荷华州党团会议后三天举行。这两个州的结果将首次证明选民在选择共和党2024年提名人时倾向于哪里。
前总统唐纳德·特朗普是明显的领先者在投票中,尽管他的争议和法律麻烦。(他否认所有不当行为。)他也拒绝参加任何辩论,说因为他的声望没有意义,尽管像罗恩·德桑蒂斯这样的竞争对手抨击他的缺席。
为了确定ABC辩论的资格,将只考虑从不早于11月27日开始并不迟于1月16日中午发布的调查中收集的投票数据。带小数位的投票结果不会向上或向下舍入。
就辩论资格而言,由以下实体进行的民意调查将被视为合格:美国广播公司新闻/华盛顿邮报、美国广播公司新闻/益普索、哥伦比亚广播公司新闻/YouGov、美国有线电视新闻网、艾默生学院/世界卫生组织、福克斯新闻频道、福克斯商业新闻、马里斯特学院、马奎特大学法学院、蒙莫斯大学、蒙莫斯大学/《华盛顿邮报》、NBC新闻、纽约时报/锡耶纳学院、昆尼皮亚克大学、新罕布什尔大学/CNN、圣安瑟姆学院、萨福克大学/波士顿环球报/今日美国和华尔街日报。
目前,川普、佛罗里达州州长德桑蒂斯、前驻联合国大使妮基·黑利和前新泽西州州长克里斯·克里斯蒂有资格参加新罕布什尔州的初选辩论。
商人维维克·拉马斯瓦米(Vivek Ramaswamy)和前阿肯色州州长阿萨·哈钦森(Asa Hutchinson)在合格的全国或新罕布什尔州民调中尚未达到10%,因此他们都需要两次全国或两次州调查才能达到门槛。
Ramaswamy和Hutchinson也可以在爱荷华州排名前三,以便获得资格。
Qualifications announced for ABC News' New Hampshire Republican debate
ABC News on Wednesday announced how Republican presidential candidates will be able to qualify for the network'supcoming New Hampshire primary debatein January.
To earn a spot on stage, candidates will either have to finish in the top threein the Iowa caucusesor receive at least 10% in two separate national polls of Republican primary voters or at least 10% in two separate New Hampshire polls of Republican primary voters that that meet ABC's standards for reporting.
The same pollster can count more than once only if the polls are conducted in wholly separate field periods.
ABC and local station WMUR announced earlier this month that they would be coordinating with the New Hampshire Republican State Committee for a 9 p.m. EST, Jan. 18, debate at Saint Anselm College in Manchester, New Hampshire.
The debate will be held just five days before the state's Republican primary and three days after the Iowa caucuses, which are scheduled for Jan. 15. The results from those two states will give the first evidence of where voters are leaning in selecting the GOP's 2024 nominee.
Former President Donald Trump is the clear front-runnerin polling, despite his controversies and legal troubles. (He denies all wrongdoing.) He has also declined to participate in any debates, saying there's no point because of his popularity, though rivals like Ron DeSantis have slammed his absence.
To determine eligibility for ABC's debate, only polling data collected from surveys that began no earlier than Nov. 27 and are released no later than noon on Jan. 16 will be considered. Poll results reported with a decimal place will not be rounded up or down.
For debate qualification purposes, polls conducted by the following entities will be considered eligible: ABC News/Washington Post, ABC News/Ipsos, CBS News/YouGov, CNN, Emerson College/WHDH, Fox News, Fox Business News, Marist College, Marquette University Law School, Monmouth University, Monmouth University/The Washington Post, NBC News, The New York Times/Siena College, Quinnipiac University, University of New Hampshire/CNN, Saint Anselm College, Suffolk University/Boston Globe/USA TODAY and The Wall Street Journal.
Currently, Trump, Florida Gov. DeSantis, former U.N. Ambassador Nikki Haley and former New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie would qualify for the New Hampshire primary debate.
Businessman Vivek Ramaswamy and former Arkansas Gov. Asa Hutchinson have not yet reached 10% in a qualifying national or New Hampshire poll, so they would each need either two national or two state surveys to reach the threshold.
Ramaswamy and Hutchinson could also place top three in Iowa in order to qualify.