一个令人沮丧的时代迹象是,只有不到四分之一的美国人认为美国梦仍然是真实的——大约是13年前的一半。
定义为“如果你努力工作,你就会取得成功”,在美国广播公司新闻/益普索的一项新民意调查中,只有27%的人认为美国梦仍然存在,与2010年首次提出该问题时的50%相比大幅下降。现在有18%的人认为这一观点从未成立,高于4%。
其余52%的人认为承诺曾经有效,但现在不再有效,上升了9个百分点。综合来看,69%的人认为美国梦现在不存在了,上升了22个百分点。这是与大衰退后的一项民意调查相比而言的。
美国梦
美国广播公司新闻
尽管对美国梦的悲观情绪在各个群体中都有所增长,但这种变化在年轻人中最为明显。他们认为美国梦仍然真实的观点下降了35个百分点,从2010年的56%下降到现在的21%。
相比之下,30岁至64岁的人下降了24个百分点,65岁及以上的人下降了12个百分点。
其他群体之间的差异也很明显。这项调查由兰格研究协会实地调查由益普索发现美国黑人对“美国梦”概念的态度非常悲观。
认为这一观点仍然正确的黑人比例下降了34个百分点,至21%,相比之下,其他种族或民族背景的黑人比例下降了22个百分点。
事实上,32%的黑人认为美国梦从未实现过,这一比例比2010年上升了23个百分点,而其他人的比例为16%,上升了13个百分点。
收入也使观点不同。在年收入低于5万美元的人群中,只有18%的人认为美国梦仍然是真实的。在5万美元至10万美元以下的家庭中,这一比例为27%,在10万美元以上的家庭中,这一比例为33%。
受教育程度也有差距,这与收入有关。在没有高中毕业的人群中,22%的人认为美国梦仍然成立(比2010年下降了25个百分点),相比之下,40%的研究生学历人群认为美国梦仍然成立(下降了19个百分点)。
党派差异不大:三分之一的共和党人和民主党人都认为美国梦仍然是真实的,四分之一的无党派人士也是如此。自2010年以来,这些群体的下降趋势基本一致。
可以预见的是,经济态度也很重要。在对经济持积极态度的人中,45%的人认为美国梦仍然是真实的,相比之下,22%的人认为经济状况不佳。
41%的人表示自乔·拜登(Joe Biden)就任总统以来他们的经济状况有所改善,而23%的人经济状况更差。
方法-这项ABC新闻/益普索民意调查于2024年1月4日至8日通过基于概率的益普索知识小组以英语和西班牙语在线进行,随机抽取了2,228名成年人。党派分歧为25-25-41%,民主党-共和党-无党派。结果的误差为抽样误差包括设计效果在内,全样本为2.5个百分点。抽样误差并不是民调差异的唯一来源。
该调查由ABC新闻制作兰格研究协会,由益普索进行采样和数据收集。查看调查方法的详细信息这里.
American dream far from reality for most people: POLL
In a dispiriting sign of the times, barely more than a quarter of Americans say the American dream still holds true -- about half as many as said so 13 years ago.
Defined as "if you work hard you'll get ahead," just 27% in a new ABC News/Ipsos poll say the American dream still holds, down sharply from 50% when the question first was asked in 2010. Eighteen percent now say it never held true, up from 4%.
The rest, 52%, say the promise used to hold true but no longer does, up 9 points. Taken together, 69% say the American dream does not hold true today, up 22 points. And that's in comparison to a poll taken in the aftermath of the Great Recession.
Although pessimism about the American dream has grown across groups, the change is sharpest among young adults. Their view that the American dream still holds true has dropped by 35 points, from 56% in 2010 to 21% now.
That compares with a 24-point decline among those ages 30 to 64 and 12 points among those 65 and older.
Differences among other groups also are evident. The survey, produced byLanger Research Associateswith fieldwork byIpsos, finds that attitudes of Black Americans towards the concept of the American dream are notably pessimistic.
The share of Black people who say it still holds true has fallen by 34 points, to 21%, compared with a 22-point drop among those of other racial or ethnic backgrounds.
Indeed, 32% of Black people say the American dream never held true, which is up 23 points from 2010, compared with 16% of others, which is up 13 points.
Income also differentiates views. Among people with household incomes less than $50,000 a year, just 18% say the American dream still holds true. It's 27% in the $50,000- to less-than-$100,000 bracket and 33% among those in $100,000-plus households.
There's also a gap by education, which correlates with income. Among people who haven't gone beyond high school, 22% say the American dream still holds true (down 25 points from 2010), compared with 40% of those with a postgraduate degree (down 19 points).
Partisan differences are muted: A third of Republicans and Democrats alike say the American dream still holds true, as do a quarter of independents. Declines since 2010 are largely consistent across these groups.
Economic attitudes, predictably, matter as well. Among those who rate the economy positively, 45% say the American dream still holds true, compared with 22% of those who say the economy is in bad shape.
And it's 41% among those who say they've gotten better off financially since the start of Joe Biden's presidency vs. 23% among those who are worse off.
METHODOLOGY – This ABC News/Ipsos poll was conducted online via the probability-based Ipsos KnowledgePanel® Jan. 4-8, 2024, in English and Spanish, among a random national sample of 2,228 adults. Partisan divisions are 25-25-41 percent, Democrats-Republicans-independents. Results have a margin ofsampling errorof 2.5 percentage points, including the design effect, for the full sample. Sampling error is not the only source of differences in polls.
The survey was produced for ABC News byLanger Research Associates, with sampling and data collection by Ipsos. See details on the survey’s methodologyhere.