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2024年宾夕法尼亚州初选:现场结果和分析

2024-04-24 10:11 -ABC  -  464573

  宾夕法尼亚州已经进入了11月总统和美国参议院竞选的激烈竞选季节,但这个关键州的民主党和共和党仍需要在今年秋天的一系列其他重要竞选中选择他们的候选人。这一切都将在4月23日的州初选中揭晓。

  值得关注的关键竞争包括:两名现任众议院议员——一名进步民主党人和一名温和共和党人——正在与他们右翼的挑战者进行斗争,两党将在另外两场重要的竞争中选择各自的候选人,这些竞争可能有助于明年决定众议院的控制权。此外,司法部长、审计员、财政部长和州议会两院的初选将有助于今年秋天州政府控制权之战的形成。

  和往常一样,538名记者、分析师和撰稿人将在今晚直播选举结果。加入我们对今天所有重要比赛的最新分析和评论。

  麦肯齐在共和党初选中仍领先于众议员苏珊·怀尔德

  在宾夕法尼亚州东部的第七区,家乡男孩和州众议员瑞安·麦肯齐在今年秋天的共和党初选中领先于民主党众议员苏珊·怀尔德。在65%的预期选票报告中,麦肯齐获得了42%的选票,企业主凯文·德利克尔获得了31%的选票,律师玛丽亚·蒙特罗获得了27%的选票。虽然美国广播公司新闻还没有报道预测,但美联社预测麦肯齐将获得W乏色曼45分钟前看够了。这次初选的获胜者将试图让怀尔德下台,这位连任三届的国会议员保住了她的席位仅差2分2022年。这将是今年秋天全国最激烈的众议院选举之一。

  宾夕法尼亚州对大麻合法化的支持正在减少

  经过玛丽·雷德克里夫

  作为一名宾夕法尼亚人,我在司法部长初选中关注的一个问题是大麻合法化的讨论。虽然候选人确实在他们的4月4日的辩论,在围绕比赛的对话中并没有太多提及。不管倡导合法化在他担任审计长期间,这个问题根本没有出现在德帕斯夸莱的竞选网站。这可能是因为宾夕法尼亚人对合法化的观点一直在演变。

  根据宾夕法尼亚州穆伦伯格学院年度健康调查在过去几年中,宾夕法尼亚州对娱乐大麻合法化的支持有所下降。在2021年的调查中,58%的宾夕法尼亚州人表示支持“出于任何目的”使用大麻合法化,26%的人反对合法化,相差32个百分点。在此后的几年里,这一比例稳步下降,在2月和3月进行的2024年调查中,49%的人表示支持大麻合法化,31%的人反对,比例为18个百分点。

  然而,并非所有这些选民都一定反对大麻合法化:宾夕法尼亚州对合法大麻表示无所谓的比例也有所上升,20%的人表示他们“既不支持也不反对”2024年大麻合法化,而2021年的比例为14%。

  Pennsylvania primaries 2024: Live results and analysis

  Pennsylvania is already in the thick of campaign season for November's presidential and U.S. Senate races, but Democrats and Republicans in the Keystone State still need to choose their candidates in a slate of other consequential races down the ballot this fall. It'll all go down in the state's April 23 primaries.

  Among the key races to watch: a couple of incumbent House members — one progressive Democrat and one moderate Republican — are fighting off challengers from their right, and the parties will choose their candidates in two other consequential contests that could help determine control of the House next year. Plus, primary contests for attorney general, auditor, treasurer and both chambers of the state legislature will help shape the battle for control of the state government this fall.

  As usual, 538 reporters, analysts and contributors will be live-blogging the election results as they come in tonight. Join us for up-to-the-minute analysis and commentary on all of today's important races.

  Mackenzie still ahead in the GOP primary to face Rep. Susan Wild

  In the 7th District in eastern Pennsylvania, hometown boy and state Rep. Ryan Mackenzie is leading the GOP primary to face Democratic Rep. Susan Wild this fall. With 65 percent of the expected vote reporting, Mackenzie has 42 percent, while business owner Kevin Dellicker has 31 percent and attorney Maria Montero has 27 percent. While ABC News is not yet reporting a projection, the AP has projected Mackenzie to take the W, andWasserman saw enough 45 minutes ago. The winner of this primary will attempt to unseat Wild, a three-term member of Congress who held onto her seatby just 2 pointsin 2022. It's set to be one of the most competitive House races in the country this fall.

  Support for legalizing marijuana in Pennsylvania is decreasing

  ByMary Radcliffe

  As a Pennsylvanian, one issue I was looking out for in the attorney general primary was discussion of legalizing marijuana. While the candidates did discuss it at theirApril 4th debate, it didn't come up much in the conversation around the race. Despiteadvocating legalizationduring his term as auditor general, the issue doesn't appear at all onDePasquale's campaign site. That may be because Pennsylvanians' views on legalization have been evolving.

  According to theannual Muhlenberg College Pennsylvania Health survey, support for legalizing recreational marijuana in Pennsylvania has decreased in the last few years. In the 2021 survey, 58 percent of Pennsylvanians said they supported legalizing the use of marijuana "for any purpose," and 26 percent opposed legalization, a margin of 32 points. In the years since, the margin has steadily decreased, and in the 2024 survey conducted in February and March, 49 percent said they supported legalizing marijuana, while 31 percent opposed, a margin of 18 points.

  Not all of these voters are necessarily opposed to legalization, though: The share of Pennsylvanians who express indifference about legal weed has also grown, with 20 percent saying they "neither favored nor opposed" legalizing marijuana in 2024, compared to 14 percent in 2021.

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