初选正在如火如荼地进行中,今天佐治亚州、爱达荷州、俄勒冈州和肯塔基州的选民将决定哪些候选人将在今年秋季进行角逐。我们正在跟踪一些关键的初选,这些初选将有助于塑造下一届国会,佐治亚州最高法院围绕堕胎等问题展开的竞争。
和往常一样,538名记者和撰稿人将在今晚直播选举结果。下面请加入我们,了解最新的投票统计和分析。
今天,我们跟踪了31名在今天的初选中竞选国会议员的有色人种——27名民主党人和4名共和党人。随着佐治亚州和肯塔基州的大部分结果出来,我们知道了这些竞争者中三分之二以上的选举命运。
在佐治亚州,五名在任的黑人民主党人都赢得了再次提名,包括在重划的第六选区获胜的麦克巴斯尽管之前没有代表过这里在她现在的区(老第七区)。斯科特在新的第13选区并不轻松,他目前只代表该选区的三分之一,但他在民主党初选中以59%的得票率击败了众多挑战者。弗劳尔斯可能是斯科特最值得关注的对手,以10%的支持率名列第三。民主党众议员桑福德·毕晓普、汉克·约翰逊和尼克马·威廉姆斯在初选中都没有对手。
另外两名黑人候选人预计将在民主党初选中赢得佐治亚州的席位。在第八选区,达里厄斯·巴特勒赢得了初选,但在与共和党众议员奥斯汀·斯科特的竞争中明显处于下风。利兹·约翰逊在第12选区也是如此,她必须在11月面对共和党众议员里克·艾伦。在共和党方面,拉丁裔竞争者霍纳坦·查韦斯赢得了在第13选区与斯科特对决的权利,该选区几乎肯定会在11月投票给民主党。在第四选区,尤金·于在共和党提名中无人竞争;在大选中,他将在与约翰逊的竞争中处于绝对劣势。
今天剩下的有机会获胜的有色人种候选人在俄勒冈州,在那里我们暂时不会有结果。
在等待结果的时候可以做些事情...
当谈到赢得选举时,真的是“经济,笨蛋?”“足球妈妈”是典型的摇摆选民吗?你更愿意和哪个候选人一起喝啤酒有关系吗?每次选举周期,陈词滥调都来得很容易。但他们是对的吗?
这就是我们试图在我们的新迷你系列中了解的538政治播客、“竞选倒退。”在……里首次分期付款我们探究经济在选举结果中扮演的角色第二我们问郊区妇女是如何被视为摇摆选民的,今天的情况是否如此。在我们的最后一期节目中,我们来看看“啤酒问题”,该节目将于明天早上播出从21世纪初开始,民调专家和权威人士开始猜测,选民更愿意和候选人一起喝啤酒。我们回过头来看看这些数据,试图确定这是否真的是美国人选择总统的方式。
因此,在你等待最后一轮投票结束的时候,花点时间了解一下2010年最新的“竞选倒退”事件播客提要,明天早上继续收看我们的最后一期节目!主流共和党人正试图将他们的政党带回爱达荷州
也许今天在爱达荷州最有趣的选举——那里的第一轮投票刚刚结束——是为当地共和党的选区委员这一默默无闻的职位进行的。正如莫妮卡所写许多州共和党都与自己交战爱达荷州的情况也是如此:两个传统的共和党团体,北爱达荷州共和党人和宝石州保守派正试图赢得尽可能多的选区委员职位,以便从该党右翼手中夺取控制权,其中一些右翼已经获得了控制权与白人民族主义者的联系.
Georgia, Oregon, Idaho and Kentucky primaries 2024: Live results and analysis
Primary season is in full swing, and today voters in Georgia, Idaho, Oregon and Kentucky will decide which candidates face off this fall. We're tracking a handful of key primaries that will help shape the next Congress, a Georgia Supreme Court contest that has revolved around abortion, and more.
As usual, 538 reporters and contributors will be live-blogging the election results as they come in tonight. Join us below for up-to-the-minute vote counts and analysis.
Coming into today, we were tracking 31 people of color running for Congress in today’s primaries — 27 Democrats and four Republicans. With much of Georgia and Kentucky’s results in, we know the electoral fates of more than two-thirds of those contenders.
In Georgia, five incumbent Black Democrats all won renomination, including McBath, who cruised in the redrawn 6th Districtdespite not previously representing any of this turfin her current district (the old 7th District). Scott didn’t have it as easy in the new 13th District, of which he only represents about one-third of right now, but he won the Democratic primary with 59 percent of the vote against a crowded field of challengers. Flowers, perhaps the most noteworthy of Scott’s opponents, finished in third with 10 percent. Democratic Reps. Sanford Bishop, Hank Johnson and Nikema Williams were all unopposed in their primaries.
Two other Black candidates have been projected as winners in Democratic primaries in solidly red Georgia seats. In the 8th District, Darrius Butler won his primary but will be a clear underdog against Republican Rep. Austin Scott. The same is true in the 12th District for Liz Johnson, who has to face GOP Rep. Rick Allen in November. On the GOP side, Latino contender Jonathan Chavez won the right to face Scott in the 13th District, which will almost certainly vote Democratic in November. And in the 4th District, Eugene Yu was unopposed for the GOP nomination; he’ll be a huge underdog against Johnson in the general election.
The remaining candidates of color with a shot at winning today are in Oregon, where we won’t have results for a while to come.No Idaho results until 11 p.m. Eastern
Reexamining conventional campaign wisdom
Here's something to do while waiting on those results ...
When it comes to winning elections, is it really, "the economy, stupid?" Are "soccer moms" the quintessential swing voter? And does it matter which candidate you'd rather share a beer with? Every election cycle, cliches come easy. But are they right?
That's what we try to get to the bottom of in our new mini-series on the538 Politics podcast, "Campaign Throwback." In thefirst installmentwe interrogate the role that the economy plays in electoral outcomes, inthe secondwe ask how suburban women came to be viewed as swing voters and whether that is the case today. In our final installment, which will come out tomorrow morning, we look at the "beer question." Starting in the 2000s, pollsters and pundits began speculating that voters are drawn to the candidate they'd rather have a beer with. We go back and look at the data to try to determine if that's actually how Americans choose their presidents.
So while you wait for that last set of polls to close, take some time to catch up on the latest "Campaign Throwback" episodes in thepodcast feed, and tune back in tomorrow morning for our final installment!
Perhaps the most interesting elections today in Idaho — where the first polls have just closed — are for the obscure position of precinct committeeman for the local GOP.As Monica has written, many state Republican parties areat war with themselves, and that’s the case in Idaho as well: Two traditionalist GOP groups,North Idaho Republicans and Gem State Conservatives, are trying to win as many precinct committeemen posts as possible in order to wrest control away from the party’s right wing, some of whom haveties to white nationalists.