根据一组新的调查，在2020年投票给总统乔·拜登的女性选民中，有一小部分人表示，她们将在2024年再次投票给他，而在2020年支持前总统唐纳德·特朗普的女性选民中，有一小部分人表示今年会再次投票给他民意调查来自KFF，一个健康保健研究的非盈利组织。
民意调查是在全国范围内以及亚利桑那州和密歇根州的妇女中进行的。
在2020年投票给拜登的女性选民中，83%的人表示他们将在2024年再次投票给他，7%的人表示他们将投票给特朗普，10%的人表示他们将投票给其他人或不会投票。
在2020年投票给特朗普的女性选民中，92%的人表示今年会再次投票。没有人说他们会投票给拜登，7%的人说他们会投票给其他人或不会投票。
女性对拜登的支持度下降，这是2024年竞选前的一个关键投票集团，预计这将是一场激烈的竞争民调发现，在特朗普和拜登之间——正值大多数女性在11月之前感到“焦虑”(68%)或“沮丧”(70%)，不分党派、年龄、种族和族裔。与此同时，只有21%的人表示对选举“不感兴趣”。
随着选举的临近，特朗普和拜登都将努力争取女性选民。
大多数女性选民(60%)表示，她们对自己在这一轮总统选举中的选择不满意，尽管民意调查发现，共和党女性(53%)比民主党女性(44%)更有动力投票。根据民意调查，29%的独立女性选民受到了激励。
更具体地说，支持特朗普的女性选民(53%)比拜登选民(49%)更有动力在即将到来的选举中投票。
民意调查还仔细研究了堕胎问题如何影响这些选民，并可能影响投票率。数据表明，大多数(65%)认为堕胎应该是非法的共和党女性都有动机在2024年投票。
但总体而言，大多数女性选民(54%)表示，2024年的总统选举将对该国堕胎和生殖保健的获得产生“重大影响”——民主党女性(71%)比共和党女性(37%)更多地表示，这将产生“重大影响”。43%的独立女性表示，她们认为这会产生“重大影响”
此外，KFF的民调发现，民主党女性报告称，与没有堕胎措施的州相比，她们更有动力在11月份可能有堕胎投票举措的州投票。
这显示在全国范围内:83%的民主党女性选民表示，她们肯定会在将/可能采取举措的州投票，这一比例高于表示将在其他州投票的女性比例(72%)。
根据KFF的统计，在有潜在投票举措的州，共和党和民主党女性选民说她们肯定会投票的可能性大致相同(分别为82%和83%)。在所有其他州，共和党女性选民比民主党女性选民更有可能表示她们肯定会在11月投票(分别为80%和72%)。
在亚利桑那州，可能会有堕胎投票倡议到11月份，45%的女性选民表示强烈支持该计划，22%的女性选民表示多少支持该计划。49%的亚利桑那州女性选民和60%的民主党女性表示，如果亚利桑那州堕胎权倡议出现在选票上，她们将比以往更有动力投票。
在密歇根州，2022年没有堕胎投票措施，60%的人说他们认为堕胎是由他们在2022年通过的宪法修正案解决的。48%的密歇根州女性选民表示，这一举措对她们在2022年中期选举中的投票率非常重要。
然而，通货膨胀仍然是2024年大选前女性面临的首要问题——在全国范围内，在亚利桑那州和密歇根州。在这三个地方，“对民主的威胁”排在第二位，移民和边境安全排在第三位。
KFF指出，拜登阵营中的许多人不赞成他对通货膨胀问题的处理。将近一半的民主党女性选民，特别是年轻的民主党人(72%)、黑人女性选民(55%)、西班牙裔女性选民(57%)和低收入女性选民(55%)不赞成拜登处理这个问题的方式。
Republican women are more motivated than Democratic women to vote in 2024: Survey
A smaller number of the women voters who cast ballots for President Joe Biden in 2020 said they'd vote for him again in 2024 than the share of women voters who supported former President Donald Trump in 2020 who said they'd do so again this year, according to a new set ofpollsfrom KFF, a health care research nonprofit group.
The polls were taken of women both nationally and in the battleground states of Arizona and Michigan.
Of women voters who cast ballots for Biden in 2020, 83% said they would vote for him again in 2024 -- with 7% who said they'll vote for Trump and 10% who said they would vote for someone else or wouldn't vote.
Of the women voters who cast ballots for Trump in 2020, 92% said they would do so again this year. None said they'd vote for Biden and 7% said they'd vote for someone else or wouldn't vote.
This dip in support from women for Biden -- a critical voting bloc ahead of the 2024 race, which is expected to be aclose contestbetween Trump and Biden -- comes as a majority of women across party, age, race and ethnicity feel "anxious" (68%) or "frustrated" (70%) ahead of November, the polls found. At the same time, only 21% said they are "uninterested" in the election.
Both Trump and Biden will be working to court women voters as the election nears.
The majority of women voters (60%) said they are not satisfied with their options for president this cycle, though the poll found that Republican women are more motivated (53%) than Democratic women to vote (44%). Twenty-nine percent of independent women voters are motivated, according to the polls.
More specifically, women voters supportive of Trump are more motivated (53%) than Biden voters (49%) to vote in the upcoming election.
The polls also carefully examined how the issue of abortion is impacting those voters and could affect turnout. The data suggests that the majority (65%) of Republican women who said abortion should be illegal are motivated to vote in 2024.
But broadly, most women voters (54%) said that the 2024 presidential election will have a "major impact" on access to abortion and reproductive health care in the country -- with Democratic women (71%) saying more than Republican women (37%) that it will have that "major impact." Forty-three percent of independent women said they thought it would have a "major impact."
Furthermore, Democratic women reported they are more motivated to vote in states that might have abortion ballot initiatives in November compared to states without the measures, KFF's polls found.
This is shown nationally: 83% of Democratic women voters said they will definitely vote in states that will/may have initiatives -- a larger amount than the share of women who say they will vote (72%) in other states.
In states with potential ballot initiatives, according to KFF's count, Republican and Democratic women voters are about equally likely to say they are certain to vote (82% and 83%, respectively). In all other states, Republican women voters are more likely than Democratic women voters to say that they'll definitely vote in November (80% to 72%, respectively).
In Arizona, where there will likely bean abortion ballot initiativecome November, 45% of women voters said they strongly support the initiative, with 22% saying they somewhat support it. Forty-nine percent of all Arizona women voters and 60% of Democratic women said they're more motivated to vote this election than in elections past if the Arizona Right to Abortion initiative appears on the ballot.
In Michigan, where there isn't an abortion ballot measure in 2022, 60% said they believe that abortion was settled by the constitutional amendment that they passed in 2022. Forty-eight percent of Michigan women voters said that initiative was very important to their turnout in the 2022 midterms.
Inflation remains the chief issue for women ahead of the 2024 election, however -- nationally, in Arizona and in Michigan. In all three places, "threats to democracy" ranked as the second-largest concern and immigration and border security came third.
KFF noted that many within Biden's base don't approve of his handling of the issue of inflation. Nearly half of Democratic women voters overall -- especially younger Democrats (72%), Black women voters (55%), Hispanic women voters (57%) and lower-income women voters (55%) -- do not approve of how Biden is handling the issue.
