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谁将取代拜登成为总统候选人?哈里斯最擅长对抗特朗普

2024-07-23 10:02 -ABC  -  566323

  随着美国总统乔·拜登(Joe Biden)宣布他将辞去民主党提名,一些选民已经表明了他们对候选人潜在继任者的偏好。

  卡玛拉·哈里斯

  根据第一场辩论后的民意调查,副总统卡玛拉·哈里斯被认为是最有可能的竞争者表现不佳.

  在宣布辞职时,拜登支持哈里斯成为民主党总统候选人。

  “今天,我要全力支持卡玛拉成为今年我们党的提名人。民主党人——是时候团结起来打败特朗普了。让我们这样做,”拜登写道。

  在哈里斯和前总统的潜在对决中唐纳德·特朗普,哈里斯和特朗普几乎打成平手,42%的人支持她,43%的人支持前总统益普索民意调查本月初发布。

  同一项调查采访了全国1,070名注册选民,误差幅度为+/- 3.5%,发现拜登和特朗普各有40%的支持率。

  另一个投票美国有线电视新闻网(CNN)在7月的第一周发布的调查发现,副总统和特朗普之间的对决导致哈里斯和特朗普之间的比例为45%至47%,而拜登和特朗普之间的比例为43%至49%。

  CNN的民意调查对1,274名注册选民进行了抽样调查,误差幅度为+/- 3.5%。

  哈里斯一直在竞选活动中吹捧拜登的成就,并从辩论开始就支持奥巴马。

  “看,乔·拜登是我们的提名人。我们曾经击败过特朗普,我们将再次成为他,”她本月早些时候告诉CBS新闻。

  格雷琴·惠特默

  密歇根州州长格雷琴·惠特默在2022年赢得连任,被视为2028年民主党总统候选人。她回击了包括川普在内的共和党批评者,尤其是那些批评她疫情政策的人。

  益普索民意调查显示,惠特莫在2024年的竞选中以36%比41%落后于特朗普,而美国有线电视新闻网的民意调查显示,她的支持率为42%,特朗普为47%。

  惠特莫参加了一个会议本月早些时候在白宫与总统和其他民主党州长一起为拜登当时的辩论表现辩护。

  “乔·拜登竞选是为了服务美国人民。唐纳德·特朗普竞选为唐纳德·特朗普服务。她说:“随着11月的临近,乔·拜登(Joe Biden)确保美国每个人都享有公平机会的愿景与唐纳德·特朗普(Donald Trump)危险、自私的计划之间的差异只会变得更加明显。”。

  加文·纽瑟姆

  加州州长加文·纽瑟姆在几个全国性问题上一直是坚定的民主党人,包括妇女权利、移民和经济。他去年成功赢得了罢免选举。

  在益普索民意调查中,纽瑟姆的支持率为39%,特朗普为42%,在CNN的民意调查中,他的支持率为43%,前总统为48%。

  纽瑟姆对拜登退出竞选做出了回应,但没有表明他是否想成为候选人。

  他说:“拜登总统是一位非凡的、创造历史的总统——一位为劳动人民努力奋斗并为所有美国人带来惊人成果的领导人。”写于X。"他将作为最有影响力和最无私的总统之一而载入史册。"

  纽瑟姆反对民主党人要求拜登下台的呼吁MSNBC访谈录辩论后不久。

  “我认为这是无益的,也是不必要的,”他说。“我们必须得到这位总统的支持。你不会因为一次表演就背过身去。哪个政党会这么做?”

  安迪·贝希尔

  肯塔基州州长安迪·贝希尔在去年赢得深红色州的连任后,被视为南方的一颗新星。

  益普索民意调查显示,贝希尔和特朗普的对决将导致他和前总统之间36%-40%的分歧。CNN的民意调查没有对贝希尔作为潜在继任者的受访者进行调查。

  贝希尔在一份回应拜登退出竞选的声明中说,“尽管他今天的决定并不容易,但这符合我们国家和我们党的最佳利益。我要感谢他的领导、善意和成功的总统任期,他完成了重大的事情。”

  贝希尔说,他不想在采访中谈论这个猜测采访在本月的CNN上。

  “我的名字出现了,作为一个人听到这很荣幸,但我认为这更多的是关于肯塔基州发生的好事,”他说。“因此,虽然听到你的名字和类似的事情很高兴,但我只是为我们作为一个州所做的事情感到自豪。总统和副总统在实现这一目标方面给予了很大帮助。”

  普里茨克

  伊利诺伊州州长J.B .普利兹克(J.B. Pritzker)从2024年竞选伊始就一直是拜登的代理人,并不断批评特朗普的极右翼政策、言论和刑事定罪。

  益普索民意调查发现,34%的选民会选择普利兹克,如果他在候选人名单上的话,而40%的选民会选择特朗普。普利兹克的名字没有被CNN的民意调查者提起,但是,他告诉该网络,拜登将成为民主党提名人,“除非他做出其他决定。”

  普利茨克在拜登退出竞选后也发表了一份声明,但没有表示他想参加竞选。

  他说:“也许最重要的结果是,拜登总统恢复了椭圆形办公室的尊严,把作为他多年服务标志的政治家风度和荣誉带回了白宫。”

  在拜登退出竞选之前,普利兹克在一份声明中说:“无论如何,对我来说,我的话就是我的债券。我信守承诺。乔·拜登将成为我们的提名人,除非他另有决定。我认为,我希望与总统进行健康的对话,表达他在竞选中打算做什么,并向每个人保证这是正确的道路。”

  皮特·布蒂吉格

  无论是在竞选活动中还是在辩论中,交通部长皮特·布蒂吉格都是2020年民主党初选的新星之一。

  这位前印第安纳州南本德市市长在退出竞选后,成为拜登2020年的主要代理人,几次在媒体上露面,兜售拜登的记录,并称赞特朗普的表现。

  在CNN的民意调查中,43%的受访者选择了Buttigieg,而47%的人选择了特朗普。益普索并没有将Buttigieg列为潜在候选人。

  2007年,他驳回了将拜登从候选人名单中剔除的呼吁一次采访与MSNBC星期五。

  “乔·拜登是我们的候选人和总统,因为他是领导这个国家前进的最佳人选,”他说。

  米歇尔·奥巴马

  前第一夫人米歇尔·奥巴马曾多次表示她多年来都没有兴趣参加总统竞选。然而,她的名字不断出现,成为潜在的候选人。

  “我从来没有说过,‘我想我要竞选。’米歇尔·奥巴马在2023年接受奥普拉·温弗瑞采访时说。政治很难。进入其中的人,就像婚姻,就像孩子,你必须想要它。它必须在你的灵魂中,因为它是如此重要。它不在我的灵魂里。"

  然而,在益普索民意调查中,这位前第一夫人似乎引起了一些选民的共鸣。

  米歇尔·奥巴马以50%比39%领先特朗普。
 

Who will replace Joe Biden as presidential nominee? Kamala Harris does best against Trump in polls

  With President Joe Biden announcing he will step down as the Democratic nominee this election, some voters already have indicated their preferences for potential successors on the ticket.

  Kamala Harris

  Vice President Kamala Harris is seen as a likely top contender, according to polling after the first debate, where Bidengave a poor performance.

  In announcing he was stepping down, Biden endorsed Harris for the Democratic nominee for president.

  "Today I want to offer my full support and endorsement for Kamala to be the nominee of our party this year. Democrats — it’s time to come together and beat Trump. Let’s do this," Biden wrote.

  In a potential matchup between Harris and former PresidentDonald Trump, Harris and Trump were nearly tied with 42% supporting her and 43% supporting the former president, according to aIpsos pollreleased earlier this month.

  The same poll, which interviewed 1,070 registered voters nationwide and had a margin of error of +/- 3.5%, found that Biden and Trump each had 40% support.

  Anotherpollreleased by CNN in the first week of July found that a matchup between the vice president and Trump resulted in a 45-47% split between Harris and Trump compared to the 43%-49% split between Biden and Trump.

  The CNN poll sampled 1,274 registered voters and had a margin of error of +/- 3.5%.

  Harris has been on the campaign trail touting Biden's accomplishments and has backed the president since his debate.

  "Look, Joe Biden is our nominee. We beat Trump once, and we're going to be him again," she told CBS News earlier this month.

  Gretchen Whitmer

  Michigan Gov. Gretchen Whitmer, who won reelection in 2022, has been seen as a potential 2028 Democratic presidential candidate. She has pushed back against Republican critics, including Trump, particularly ones who criticized her pandemic policies.

  The Ipsos poll had Whitmer trailing Trump 36% to 41% in a 2024 race while the CNN poll had her 42% to Trump's 47%.

  Whitmer, who attended ameetingat the White House with the president and other Democratic governors earlier this month, defended Biden's debate performance at the time.

  "Joe Biden is running to serve the American people. Donald Trump is running to serve Donald Trump. The difference between Joe Biden's vision for making sure everyone in America has a fair shot and Donald Trump's dangerous, self-serving plans will only get sharper as we head toward November," she said.

  Gavin Newsom

  California Gov. Gavin Newsom has been a staunch Democrat on several national issues including women's rights, immigration and the economy. He successfully won a recall election last year.

  In the Ipsos poll, Newsom fared 39% to Trump's 42% and in the CNN poll he received 43% to the former president's 48%.

  Newsom reacted to Biden dropping out of the race, but did not indicate whether he'd want to become the nominee.

  "President Biden has been an extraordinary, history-making president -- a leader who has fought hard for working people and delivered astonishing results for all Americans," hewrote on X. "He will go down in history as one of the most impactful and selfless presidents."

  Newsom pushed back against calls from Democrats for Biden to step down in aninterview with MSNBCshortly after the debate.

  "I think it's unhelpful and unnecessary," he said. "We have to have the back of this president. You don't turn your back because of one performance. What party does that?"

  Andy Beshear

  Kentucky Gov. Andy Beshear has been viewed as a rising star in the south after he won reelection in the deep red state last year.

  The Ipsos poll showed a Beshear-Trump match-up would result in a 36%-40% split between him and the former president. The CNN poll did not survey respondents about Beshear being a potential successor.

  Beshear said in a statement reacting to Biden stepping out of the race, "While his decision today could not have been easy, it is in the best interest of our country, and our party. I want to thank him for his leadership, kindness and for a successful presidency that got big, important things done."

  Beshear said he did not want to talk about the speculation during aninterviewon CNN this month.

  "My name coming up, it's flattering as a person to hear, but I think it's more about the good things going on in Kentucky," he said. "And so while it's nice to hear your name and things like that, I'm just proud of what we have done as a state. And the president and the vice president have been very helpful in making a lot of that happen."

  J.B. Pritzker

  Illinois Gov. J.B. Pritzker has been a vocal Biden surrogate from the beginning of the 2024 campaign and has constantly criticized Trump over his far-right policies, rhetoric and his criminal conviction.

  The Ipsos poll found that 34% of voters would choose Pritzker if he were on the ticket versus 40% for Trump. Pritzker's name wasn't floated by CNN's pollsters, however, he told the network that Biden will be the Democratic nominee "unless he makes some other decision."

  Pritzker also released a statement after Biden exited the race, but did not indicate he wanted to step into the race.

  "Perhaps most consequentially, President Biden restored dignity to the Oval Office, bringing the statesmanship and honor that have been the hallmarks of his years of service, back to the White House," he said.

  Prior to Biden exiting the race, Pritzker said in a statement: "For me anyway, my word is my bond. I honor my commitments. Joe Biden is going to be our nominee unless he decides otherwise. I think that there's a healthy conversation that will happen with the president, I hope, expressing what he intends to do going forward in the campaign and reassuring everybody that this is the right course."

  Pete Buttigieg

  Transportation Secretary Pete Buttigieg was one of the rising stars of the 2020 Democratic primary season both on the campaign trail and in debates.

  The former South Bend, Indiana, mayor was a major surrogate for Biden in 2020 after he bowed out of the race, going on several media appearances to tout Biden's record and call out Trump's performance.

  In the CNN poll, 43% of respondents picked Buttigieg compared to 47% for Trump. Ipsos did not float Buttigieg as a potential candidate in their poll.

  He dismissed calls to remove Biden from the ticket duringan interviewwith MSNBC Friday.

  "Joe Biden is our candidate and our president because he is the best person to lead this country forward," he said.

  Michelle Obama

  Former first ladyMichelle Obamahas repeatedly said she has no interest entering the presidential race for years. Her name, however, keeps coming up as potential candidate.

  "At no point have I ever said, 'I think I want to run.' Ever," Michelle Obama said in a 2023 interview with Oprah Winfrey. "Politics is hard. And the people who get into it, it's just like marriage, it's just like kids, you've got to want it. It's got to be in your soul, because it is so important. It is not in my soul."

  However, in the Ipsos poll, the former first lady appeared to strike a chord with some voters.

  Michelle Obama led Trump 50% to 39%.

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