纽约市选择了佐兰·曼达尼为了成为该市的第111任市长,出口民调显示,这位当选市长赢得了年轻人口和新来者的大多数选票。
一些专家说,马姆达尼在这些选民中的成功源于他的竞选活动关于挑战现状的信息。
“他唤醒了他们心中的某种东西。福特汉姆大学(Fordham University)政治学副教授克里斯蒂娜·格里尔(Christina Greer)告诉美国广播公司(ABC News),新选民和年轻选民也是如此,他们认为他们必须接受政治现状和华盛顿特区的事情,以及我们已经发生的腐败,他们意识到他们实际上不必这样看。
据统计,在周二的选举中,34岁的民主社会党人马姆达尼赢得了78%的30岁以下选民和66%的30岁至44岁选民美国广播公司新闻出口民调,由SSRS进行。在45岁至64岁的选民中,前州长安德鲁·科莫(Andrew Cuomo)以53%比47%的优势击败了马姆达尼。大多数65岁及以上的选民(55%)投票给科莫,而36%的人投票给马姆达尼。此外,出口民调发现,新到纽约的人是该州最有可能投票给马姆达尼的选民,在纽约居住不到10年的人中有81%支持他。
随着他在年轻和新纽约人中的选举成功,马姆达尼还赢得了55%在纽约生活了10年以上但不是出生在纽约的选民的支持。根据出口民调,更多出生在纽约市的人(49%)投票给科莫,而不是马姆达尼(38%)。
出口民调发现,首次投票给纽约市市长的选民也比之前投票给该市市长的选民多,分别为66%和47%。
格里尔说,在聚集大多数年轻人的投票方面取得的成就是通过马姆达尼在社交媒体上的参与,以及该运动关于作为一个社区工作的明确信息。
“这场令人难以置信的竞选活动清楚而一贯地表明,这不仅仅是为了击败其他人——指的是共和党或唐纳德·特朗普或安德鲁·科莫——这是一种加法式的政治,如果我们共同努力,我们可以集体获得更多。我认为这个信息引起了很多人的共鸣,”格里尔说。
此外,倡导组织“明日投票者”(Voters of Tomorrow)的高级沟通主任杰西卡·西莱斯(Jessica Schmidt)表示,马姆达尼对纽约人负担能力的关注,特别是他冻结租金稳定的公寓租金、提供全民托儿服务和免费公交车的计划,在年轻一代中产生了“共鸣”。
“我认为纽约有一些特定的负担能力问题,可能并不是全国各地都有。当你搬到纽约时,在某些方面会有一定的财务障碍,让事情变得困难。因此,新面孔绝对在寻找一些安慰和领导力,至少能够让他们感觉自己更有能力驾驭它们,”西莱斯告诉美国广播公司新闻。
当被问及对马姆达尼获得年轻人和新来者的选票有何评论时,科莫竞选团队的一名发言人说,“不止如此。”
库莫的发言人里奇·阿佐帕迪(Rich Azzopardi)在给美国广播公司新闻(ABC News)的一份声明中说,“这需要成为一个适合所有人的城市,而且不应忽视这样一个事实,即来自各行各业的近一半纽约人团结起来,反对民主党候选人在一个压倒性的民主党城市开展的竞选活动。”。“我们为安德鲁·科莫(Andrew Cuomo)在大选中的竞选感到自豪,他在独立选票线上创下了42%的纪录。”
67岁的科莫在2021年因性骚扰和不当行为指控辞去州长职务后试图重返政坛,他否认了这些指控,并能够将自己塑造成一个温和派,可以利用他以前的政治经验。
格里尔说,科莫的名字引起了纽约本地人和长期居民的共鸣,这就是为什么他们会投票给他,尽管他有“缺点和不幸”
“在某种程度上,他是一个值得信任的政治家,因为他比马姆达尼领先40年。他的父亲在90年代是一名州长。年长的纽约人和在纽约生活了几十年或几代人的纽约人都知道,科莫是一个众所周知的民主党人,”格里尔说。
格里尔说,尽管科莫很受纽约本地人的欢迎,但马姆达尼与全市选民见面的能力——无论他们是在出租车排队等候还是在地铁上——让这个城市的每个人,包括那些对这个地区陌生的人,都很快熟悉了他的愿景。
“不管是教堂还是俱乐部,他都在那里。他在地铁上。如果你说你想成为纽约市长,他实际上在许多不同的地方,那里的人都在,”格里尔说。“这让人想起了奥巴马时代——在某个时间点上,这不是关于候选人,而是关于运动。”
不管马姆达尼在哪里与纽约人交往,西莱斯说他更有能力建立一个社区和“各年龄段的支持联盟”,为人们创造联系的渠道,包括城市中的新面孔。
“我认为,许多最近搬到这里的年轻人能够真正有意义地与他们的邻居、同龄人和他们的社区建立联系,以一种可能从未向他们提供的方式,以一种真正有意义的方式努力改善这座城市,”西莱斯补充说。
虽然格里尔说,马姆达尼必须兑现他在竞选期间做出的承诺,以保持所有人口的支持,但他的选民可能会给他恩典,因为他有成为领导人的雄心。
“如果纽约人看到他在为他们工作,他们更有可能在他试图代表人民发表讲话时给予他某种恩惠。他们想看到人们为他们而战。其中一些不仅仅是议程的野心,而是新任市长试图代表数百万纽约人实现的侵略性,”格里尔告诉美国广播公司新闻。
马姆达尼的竞选团队没有立即回应ABC新闻的置评请求。
Mamdani clinches the votes of young people, newcomers to NYC. Experts explain why
After New York City choseZohran Mamdanito become the city's 111th mayor, exit polls revealed that the mayor-elect captured the majority of votes from both the younger population and newcomers to the city.
Some experts said Mamdani's success with these voters resulted from his campaign's messaging about challenging the status quo.
"He awakened something in them. That goes for the new voters and young voters, where they thought that they had to accept the status quo of politics as usual and things that are coming out of Washington, D.C., and the corruption that we've had, and they realize that they actually don't have to look that way," Christina Greer, an associate political science professor at Fordham University, told ABC News.
Mamdani, the 34-year-old democratic socialist, captured 78% of voters under 30 and 66% of those voters 30 to 44 in Tuesday's election, according toABC News exit polls, conducted by SSRS. Among voters 45 to 64, former Gov. Andrew Cuomo edged out Mamdani, 53% to 47%. A majority of voters 65 and older (55%) voted for Cuomo while 36% voted for Mamdani. Additionally, newcomers to the city were some of the most likely voters in the state to vote for Mamdani, with 81% of those who have lived in New York City less than 10 years supporting him, the exit polls found.
Along with his electoral success among younger and newer New Yorkers, Mamdani also earned support from 55% of voters who lived in the city for over 10 years, but were not born in the city. More of those who were born in New York City voted for Cuomo (49%) than Mamdani (38%), according to the exit polls.
More first-time New York City mayoral voters also voted for Mamdani than those who have previously voted for mayor in the city, 66% versus 47%, the exit polls found.
Greer said this accomplishment in gathering the majority of the youth's vote was through Mamdani's engagement in social media, along with the campaign's clear message about working as a community.
"This campaign, which was incredibly run, was clear and consistent that it's not just about beating someone else -- meaning the Republican Party or Donald Trump or Andrew Cuomo -- it was about an additive type of politics, where if we work together, we can collectively get more. I think that message resonated with a lot of people," Greer said.
Additionally, Mamdani's focus on the affordability of New Yorkers -- specifically his plans to freeze rent for rent-stabilized apartments and provide universal child care and free buses -- "resonated" with younger generations, according to Jessica Siles, the senior director of communications for advocacy organization Voters of Tomorrow.
"I think New York has some specific affordability issues that maybe aren't everywhere in the country. When you are moving to New York, there are certain financial hurdles in some ways that make things difficult. So fresh faces absolutely are looking for some relief and leadership that is able to at least have them feel like they're better equipped to navigate them," Siles told ABC News.
Asked to comment on Mamdani securing the votes of younger people and newcomers to the city, a spokesperson for Cuomo's campaign said, "it's more than that."
"This needs to be a city for everyone and the fact that nearly half of New Yorkers from across the spectrum united against what the democratic nominee in an overwhelmingly democratic city campaigned on shouldn't be overlooked," Rich Azzopardi, a spokesperson for Cuomo, said in a statement to ABC News. "We're proud of the campaign Andrew Cuomo ran in the general, a record 42% on an independent ballot line buried on the ballot."
Cuomo, 67, who had attempted a political comeback after resigning as governor in 2021 amid sexual harassment and inappropriate conduct allegations, which he denied, was able to frame himself as a moderate who could tap into his previous experience in politics.
Greer said Cuomo's name recognition resonated with native New Yorkers and longtime residents, which is why they would vote for him despite his "foibles and woes."
“He’s a trusted politician in some ways because he had a 40-year head start over Mamdani. His father was a governor in the 90s. Older New Yorkers and New Yorkers who have been in the city for several decades or generations know that Cuomo is a known Democratic quantity," Greer said.
Despite Cuomo's favorability with native New Yorkers, Mamdani's ability to meet with voters across the city -- whether they are waiting in a taxi cab line or on the subway -- allowed for everyone in the city, including those who are new to the area, to quickly become familiar with his vision, Greer said.
"Whether it's a church or a club, he was there. He's on the subway. If you say you want to be mayor of New York, he's actually in lots of different places where people are," Greer said. "It's reminiscent of Obama days -- at a certain point in time, it's not about the candidate, it's about the movement."
Regardless of where Mamdani was engaging with New Yorkers, Siles said he was better able to build a community and "coalition of support of all ages," creating avenues for people -- including fresh faces in the city -- to connect.
"I think that a lot of young people who perhaps have moved here fairly recently were able to really meaningfully connect with their neighbors and their peers and their community in a way that maybe hasn't been provided to them before, in a really meaningful way that is striving to improve the city," Siles added.
While Greer said Mamdani must follow through on the promises he has made during his campaign to maintain the support of all demographics, his voters might give him grace due to his ambition as a leader.
“If New Yorkers see that he is working for them, they are more likely to give him some sort of grace as he tries to deliver on behalf of the people. They want to see people fighting for them. Some of that will be just the sheer ambition of not just the agenda, but the aggression of the new mayor in trying to deliver on behalf of millions of New Yorkers," Greer told ABC News.
Mamdani's campaign did not immediately respond to ABC News' request for comment.





