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拜登第一个100天之后的国家乐观:民意调查

2021-05-04 10:41   美国新闻网   - 

总统乔·拜登一项新的调查显示,他在一个对未来一年更加乐观的国家完成了他的第一个百日任期美国广播公司新闻/益普索民意调查。

这项民意调查由益普索与美国广播公司新闻部(ABC News)合作开展,使用益普索的知识面板(KnowledgePanel),近三分之二的美国人(64%)对国家的方向持乐观态度。

根据美国广播公司新闻/华盛顿邮报以前的民意调查,美国上一次接近对未来一年的乐观水平是在2006年12月,当时61%的人说他们对国家的走向感到乐观。2016年前不久选举快速移动唐纳德·特朗普对椭圆形办公室来说,只有42%的美国人对未来持乐观态度,相比之下,52%的人持悲观态度。

但是白宫有一些警示灯在闪烁。拜登押注于一项崇高的议程,以保持势头,并为民主党在明年的中期选举中取得成功奠定基础,而共和党则希望选民认为自己做得过头了,总统的政策成为选举的锚。

只有微弱的多数(52%)认为联邦政府应该支出来振兴经济,即使它增加了税收——包括80%的民主党人和54%的独立人士。政府支出和税收的问题在很大程度上使美国人产生分歧,47%的人认为税收应该保持在同一水平,即使以牺牲经济为代价——包括78%的共和党人。

经过一年多的冠状病毒大流行大约三分之一的美国人(36%)仍然对拜登领导下的国家的未来感到悲观。

只有大约四分之一的美国人(23%)认为自拜登上任以来,这个国家变得更加团结。在这个群体中,压倒性的87%给予拜登信任。只有3%的人认为国会中的共和党领导人有功劳,10%的人在投票中说两者都有。

28%的人认为国家更加分裂,60%的人认为拜登应对分裂负责,相比之下,34%的人认为拜登和共和党都应为制造分裂负责。只有6%的人指责共和党。

自拜登上任以来,近一半的美国人(48%)在团结问题上没有看到任何进展,他们认为美国既没有更加团结,也没有更加分裂。在拜登的早期任期内,对这个国家两极分化的看法与政党路线一致,95%的民主党人说这个国家要么更团结(45%),要么相同(50%),97%的共和党人说这个国家更分裂(65%),要么相同(32%)。

拜登在参议院几十年来一直享有温和派的声誉,他在担任总统期间将政策重点向左转移。在本周国会联席会议之前的讲话中,他概述了对其核心优先事项的前所未有的投资,同时没有被共和党的强烈抵制吓倒。民主党似乎团结一致支持他:最近,90%的民主党人对他的工作表现表示认可美国广播公司新闻/华盛顿邮报民意调查。

但不确定性笼罩着他的下一个立法成就,拜登的政治资本分为他庞大的基础设施开支以及枪支管制、移民、教育和儿童保健计划。

在新的调查中,微弱多数的美国人(51%)认为拜登在最紧迫的问题上与国会共和党领导人达成了适当的妥协。近十分之四的美国人(39%)认为拜登做得太少,只有9%的人认为他妥协得太多。

然而,共和党领导人受到的负面影响更大。三分之二的美国人认为国会中的共和党领导人在与拜登妥协方面做得太少。超过五分之一的美国人(22%)认为共和党人正在做出适当的妥协,只有10%的人认为他们做得太多。

就拜登而言,他在这方面的表现优于他的前任。在2017年9月的美国广播公司新闻/华盛顿邮报民意调查中,超过一半的美国人(56%)认为特朗普在与民主党人妥协方面做得太少。与此同时,国会中现任共和党领导人的表现略逊于特朗普时代的民主党领导人,当时60%的美国人表示,民主党在与特朗普妥协方面做得不够。
 

Country optimistic after Biden’s 1st 100 days: POLL

PresidentJoe Bidencompletes his first hundred days in office with a country that is more optimistic about the coming year, according to a newABC News/Ipsos poll.

Nearly two-thirds of Americans (64%) are optimistic about the direction of the country in the poll, which was conducted by Ipsos in partnership with ABC News using Ipsos' KnowledgePanel.

The last time the country came close to that level of optimism about the coming year was in December 2006, when 61% said they were optimistic about where the country was headed, according to previous ABC News/Washington Post polls. Shortly before the 2016electioncatapultedDonald Trumpto the Oval Office, only 42% of Americans were optimistic about the future, compared to 52% who were pessimistic.

But there are some warning lights flashing for the White House. Biden is betting on a lofty agenda to maintain momentum and set up Democrats for success in next year's midterms, while the GOP is hoping that voters perceive an overreach and the president's policies become an electoral anchor.

Only a slim majority (52%) think the federal government should spend to revitalize the economy, even if it raises taxes -- including 80% of Democrats and 54% of independents. The question of government spending and taxes largely divides Americans, with 47% saying taxes should stay at the same level, even at the expense of the economy -- including 78% of Republicans.

After more than a year of thecoronavirus pandemicravaging the country, roughly one-third of Americans (36%) still remain pessimistic about the country's future under Biden.

Only about a quarter of Americans (23%) think the country has become more united since Biden took office. Among this group, an overwhelming 87% give Biden credit. Only 3% assigned credit to Republican leaders in Congress, and 10% said both in the poll.

Among the 28% who said the country is more divided, 6 in 10 think Biden is more responsible for the divisions, compared to 34% who say both Biden and Republicans are culpable for sowing division. Only 6% faulted Republicans.

Nearly half of the country (48%) doesn’t see movement on the question of unity since Biden took office, believing the country is neither more united nor more divided. Views on the polarization of the country during Biden's early tenure fall along party lines, with 95% of Democrats saying the country is either more united (45%) or the same (50%), and 97% of Republicans saying the nation is more divided (65%) or the same (32%).

Biden, who developed a reputation as a moderate over decades in the Senate, has shifted his policy priorities leftward as president. In his address before a joint session of Congress this week, he outlined unprecedented investments for his core priorities, while standing undeterred by sharp Republican resistance. And the Democratic Party appears united behind him: 90% of Democrats approved of his job performance in the latestABC News/Washington Post poll.

But uncertainty looms over what will be his next legislative achievement, with Biden's political capital split betweenhis enormous infrastructure billand plans for gun control, immigration, education and child care.

A slim majority of Americans (51%) in the new survey think Biden is compromising about the right amount with congressional Republican leaders on the most pressing issues. Nearly 4 in 10 Americans (39%) think Biden is doing too little, and only 9% say he is compromising too much.

Republican leaders are viewed more adversely, however. Two-thirds of Americans view GOP leaders in Congress as doing too little to compromise with Biden. Just over 1 in 5 Americans (22%) believe Republicans are doing about the right amount to compromise, and only 10% think they are doing too much.

Biden, for his part, is outperforming his predecessor on this measure. More than half of the country (56%) thought Trump was doing too little to compromise with Democrats in an ABC News/Washington Post poll from September 2017. Meanwhile, current Republican leaders in Congress are slightly underperforming their Democratic counterparts in the Trump era, when 60% of Americans said the Democrats weren't doing enough to compromise with Trump.

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