在周日对全国广播公司的单独采访中会见新闻界福克斯新闻和美国广播公司本周特朗普的高级经济顾问淡化了美国正走向衰退。

       “我肯定没有看到衰退，”国家经济委员会主任兼特朗普总统顾问拉里·库德洛对查克·托德说见见媒体。

       “在我看来，我们做得非常好，”库德洛继续说，“我们不要害怕乐观。”他指出特朗普政府的关键谈话要点——包括工资上涨、高就业率、低利率和家庭储蓄增加。

       库德洛还将资本投资(企业成长过程中的采购)放缓归因于油价下跌，他说油价下跌实际上对消费者有利。

       对此，托德指出，库德洛和其他分析师一样，此前未能预测2008年的经济危机。

       库德洛回应称，特朗普和奥巴马在头两年的经济增长率都徘徊在3%左右。但他转而支持现任政府:"我必须说，当总统正在转变和重建经济时，他应该得到巨大的荣誉。"

       库德洛周日在福克斯新闻上重复了他的谈话要点。在回答一个关于政府努力“避开一些人所说的可能到来的衰退”的问题时，他回答说，白宫“在支出的同时也在储蓄，这差不多是最好的。”

       在两次采访中，他都暗示华尔街公司在上周末“提高了他们的经济预测”。

       2007年12月，当库德洛在全国在线评论他写了一篇文章，声称经济将在未来几年继续繁荣。自大萧条以来最严重的经济衰退于当月晚些时候开始。

       同样在周日，白宫贸易和制造政策办公室主任彼得·纳瓦罗出现在美国广播公司的本周传播相似的乐观的信息——承诺降低利率、增加欧洲出口以及美国-墨西哥-加拿大贸易协定的通过。

       “我可以肯定地告诉你，我们纳瓦罗宣称:“到2020年及以后，随着牛市的到来，我们将拥有一个强劲的经济。”。

       库德洛和纳瓦罗的媒体之旅跟随转变在过去两周的债券市场上，一些分析师对此表示担忧。

       自2007年以来，三个月期政府债券的收益率首次高于10年期债券。从历史上看，市场对短期债券的偏好经常(尽管不总是)先于经济衰退。

       金融市场周四感受到了第二次冲击波，因为对特朗普政府与中国持续贸易战的担忧将股市交易降至最低点水平几年后。

       报告限制了总统连任的机会对经济实力的贡献。特朗普目前正在返回华盛顿的路上，此前他进行了一周的竞选活动，并参观了新泽西州的特朗普国家高尔夫俱乐部。
 

TRUMP ECONOMIC ADVISER LARRY KUDLOW DISMISSES RECESSION WARNINGS: 'I SURE DON'T SEE A RECESSION'

       In separate interviews on Sunday with NBC's Meet the Press, Fox News and ABC's This Week, top Trump economic advisers downplayed warnings that the U.S. is headed towards a recession.

       "I sure don't see a recession" Larry Kudlow, director of the National Economic Council and an adviser to President Trump, told Chuck Todd on Meet the Press.

       "We're doing pretty darn well, in my opinion," Kudlow continued, "Let's not be afraid of optimism." He pointed to key Trump administration talking points—including rising wages, the high employment rate, low interest rates and increases in household saving.

       Kudlow also attributed a slowdown in capital investment, purchases business make as they grow, to falling oil prices, which he said was actually good for consumers.

       In response, Todd pointed out that Kudlow–like other analysts–previously failed to predict the 2008 economic crisis.

       Kudlow responded by drawing a parallel between Trump and Obama, saying that economic growth had hovered around 3 percent in the first two years of both. But he pivoted back to support for the current administration: "I must say, as the president is transforming and rebuilding this economy, he deserves enormous credit."

       Kudlow repeated his talking points on Fox News Sunday. Responding to a question about the administration's efforts to "stave off what some are saying could be a possible coming recession," he replied that the White House was "saving even while they're spending, which is about as good as it gets."

       In both interviews he alluded to Wall Street firms "marking up their economic forecasts" at the end of last week.

       In December 2007, when Kudlow was economics editor at National Review Online, he wrote an article claiming the economy would continue to flourish for years to come. The worst economic downturn since the Great Depression began later that month.

       Also on Sunday, Peter Navarro, director of the White House Office of Trade and Manufacturing Policy, appeared on ABC's This Week to spread a similar message of optimism—promising lower interest rates, increased European exports and the passage of the US-Mexico-Canada Trade Agreement.

       "What I can tell you with certainty is that we're going to have a strong economy through 2020 and beyond with a bull market," Navarro proclaimed.
       Kudlow and Navarro's media tour follows a shift in the bond market over the last two weeks that has some analysts concerned.

       For the first time since 2007, three-month government bonds achieved a higher yield rate than 10-year bonds. Historically, the market's preference for shorter-term bonds has often–though not always–preceded economic downturns.

       Financial markets felt a second shockwave on Thursday, as concerns over the Trump administration's ongoing trade war with China slowed stock trading to its lowest level in years.

       Reports have tied the president's chances of winning a second term to the strength of the economy. Trump is currently on his way back to D.C. after spending the week campaigning and visiting the Trump National Golf Club in New Jersey.