新罕布什尔州的选民将于周二前往投票站投票，这似乎是美国竞争最激烈的共和党初选。
根据538的平均民调，前总统唐纳德·特朗普以49%的支持率领先，前Amb。妮基·黑利以34%的支持率紧随其后，州长罗恩·德桑蒂斯在周日下午离任前的支持率为5%。特朗普在花岗岩州领先两位数，但这仍然是一场比全国民调显示的激烈得多的竞选。
哈雷在该州的竞争力在很大程度上归因于新罕布什尔州有大量政治上无党派的选民，他们被允许在共和党初选中投票。她在该群体中的表现比纯粹的共和党选民要好，并且在花岗岩州选民中占很大一部分的群体中也表现良好:拥有四年大学学位的人、老年选民和温和派。
在竞选之前，ABC新闻与特朗普、德桑蒂斯和海利的支持者坐下来了解他们为什么投票给他们选择的候选人。一名在2020年投票给拜登的海利支持者表示，如果海利没有赢得初选，他们将投票给总统乔·拜登或独立候选人小罗伯特·F·肯尼迪。一名特朗普支持者表示，他们承诺在假设的大选中投票给特朗普，即使他在选举日之前被判犯有重罪。
移民是一些选民在选举中的首要问题，而另一位选民表示，领导素质对他们来说最重要。虽然选民之间有明显的分歧，但他们一致认为他们想要对国家最好的东西，即使他们对如何实现这一点有分歧。
New Hampshire voters weigh in on the key issues for them ahead of primary
Voters in New Hampshire will head to the polls and cast their ballots on Tuesday, weighing in on what looks to be the most competitive Republican primary race in the country.
According to 538’s polling averages, former President Donald Trump leads the pack with 49% support, former Amb. Nikki Haley follows with 34%, and before his exit on Sunday afternoon, Gov. Ron DeSantis had 5%. Trump has a double-digit lead in the Granite State, but it’s still a far closer race than what national polls show.
Haley’s competitiveness in the state comes down in large part to New Hampshire’s large population of politically unaffiliated voters who are allowed to cast a ballot in the Republican Primary. She performs better with that group than strictly Republican voters and also performs well with groups that make up a large segment of Granite State voters: people with a four-year college degree, older voters and moderates.
Ahead of the contest, ABC News sat down with Trump, DeSantis and Haley supporters to understand why they’re voting for their chosen candidate. A Haley supporter, who voted for Biden in 2020, said that if Haley does not win the primary, they will vote for President Joe Biden or independent candidate Robert F. Kennedy Jr. A Trump supporter said they were committed to voting for Trump in a hypothetical general election, even if he were convicted of a felony before Election Day.
Immigration was the number one issue for some of the voters in the election, while another said leadership qualities were most important to them. Though there were clear disagreements among the voters, they agreed they want what’s best for the country even if they disagree about how to get there.
