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拜登竞选团队认为堕胎权利投票措施使佛罗里达州更容易从特朗普手中翻盘

2024-04-03 09:57 -ABC  -  277387

  乔·拜登总统的连任竞选活动正在庆祝一项法院裁决将增加堕胎权利措施佛罗里达州11月的投票,让选民有机会取消该州目前对该程序的限制。

  拜登的助手辩称,基于其他地方类似努力的广泛支持,这将“有助于动员和扩大该州的选民”。

  拜登竞选经理朱莉·查韦斯·罗德里格斯(Julie Chavez Rodriguez)周一在一份备忘录中写道,“保护堕胎权利正在动员越来越多的多样化选民,帮助民主党人在投票中上下浮动。”

  出口民调此前发现,堕胎问题是2022年密歇根州等关键战场上一些选民的驱动因素。一些民主党人和堕胎权利倡导者认为,11月佛罗里达州的投票倡议有助于提高选民投票率。

  这种乐观挑战近代政治历史:自2020年以来,佛罗里达州在关键竞选中变得更加保守,此前多年来一直被视为美国最大的战场州之一,选举有时仅由数百张选票决定。

  前总统唐纳德·特朗普在2016年以微弱优势赢得佛罗里达州,然后在2020年以不那么微弱的优势获胜。

  2022年,州长罗恩·德桑蒂斯以近20个百分点的优势赢得连任。

  直到2020年,佛罗里达州还在自1996年以来的每个周期投票支持获胜的总统候选人。

  但是最近的选举表明该州的党派倾向可能正在改变。数据显示,在民主党人在该州选民登记方面占据官方优势几十年后,这种情况从2021年开始逆转,目前已登记的共和党人增加了近100万。

  罗德里格斯在周一的备忘录中承认,“佛罗里达州不是一个容易获胜的州”,但她表示,拜登的竞选团队不需要这样做才能击败特朗普,特朗普面临着赢回亚利桑那州和佐治亚州等共和党长期支持的州的挑战。

  “赢得佛罗里达州需要对资源进行战略规划,同时尽早投入工作,并经常接触其众多不同的选民。这正是拜登-哈里斯团队正在做的事情,”罗德里格斯写道。

  周二,拜登的盟友和包括罗德里格斯在内的助手在接受记者采访时重申了他们的观点,即尽管共和党取得了成功,但佛罗里达州并非遥不可及。

  罗德里格斯说:“看,我们清楚地知道赢得佛罗里达州有多困难。

  “但是,”她争辩道,“我们也知道特朗普没有把握。”

  在她的备忘录中,罗德里格斯提到了她所说的拜登对老年人的支持,老年人是佛罗里达州的一个关键投票集团,以及一些民主党人在当地竞选中的成功,如唐娜·迪根-她在2023年赢得了杰克逊维尔的市长选举。

  罗德里格斯写道,自2022年中期选举以来,佛罗里达人一直拒绝“MAGA politics”,拜登在该州的关键选民群体中处于有利地位,这些群体包括老年人、拉美裔选民、黑人选民以及此前在共和党初选中支持妮基·黑利而不是特朗普的选民。

  罗德里格斯还特别提到了生活成本、医疗保健和社会保障等福利项目。

  拜登的盟友也打算在2024年重视生育权,包括通过一个新的摇摆州广告,将特朗普与近年来越来越多的限制性堕胎禁令联系起来,并指责他。

  “美国人和全国堕胎禁令之间唯一的障碍是:乔·拜登、卡玛拉·哈里斯和白宫,”罗德里格斯周二表示,这呼应了一个重要的竞选信息。“这些都是11月的赌注,我们将继续确保每一位选民都知道这些。”

  在审判过程中,川普经常因提名三名投票否决罗诉韦德案对堕胎权利的保证的美国最高法院法官而受到赞扬。

  “我们做了一件奇迹般的事情,”他在1月份的一次市政厅会议上说,这表明自两年前法院做出裁决以来,堕胎数量的减少已经“拯救”了数百万人的生命。

  “在这方面没有人比我做得更多,”他当时说。

  但特朗普拒绝就他现在支持的限制给出一致、具体的回应。

  据美国广播公司新闻报道,特朗普公开表示支持三种例外情况(强奸、乱伦和母亲的生命),他私下表示可能会支持为期16周的全国堕胎禁令,但这三种情况除外2月报道,引用了两个消息来源。

  当时,特朗普竞选团队没有否认这一报道,但发表声明称,他将努力在堕胎问题上找到中间立场。

  特朗普竞选顾问布莱恩·休斯(Brian Hughes)周二在美国广播公司新闻频道(ABC News)的一份声明中表示,“特朗普总统支持保留生命,但也明确表示他支持各州的权利,因为他支持选民为自己做决定的权利。”

  休斯继续抨击他所说的民主党人宽松得多的堕胎政策。

Biden campaign argues abortion rights ballot measure makes it easier to flip Florida from Trump

  President Joe Biden's reelection campaign is celebrating a court ruling thatwill add an abortion rights measureto the November ballot in Florida, giving voters the chance to undo the state's current restrictions on the procedure.

  That will "help mobilize and expand the electorate in the state" based on how widely supported similar such efforts have been elsewhere, Biden aides argue.

  "Protecting abortion rights is mobilizing a diverse and growing segment of voters to help buoy Democrats up and down the ballot," Biden campaign manager Julie Chavez Rodriguez wrote in a memo on Monday, in part.

  Exit polling previously found that the issue of abortion access was a driving factor for some voters in key battlegrounds like Michigan in 2022 -- and the inclusion of the ballot initiative in Florida in November is seen by some Democrats and abortion rights advocates as helpful in driving voter turnout.

  That optimismchallenges recent political history: Florida shifted more conservative in key races since 2020, after years of being seen as one of the biggest battleground states in the country, with elections sometimes decided by mere hundreds of votes.

  Former President Donald Trump narrowly won Florida in 2016 and then less narrowly in 2020.

  In 2022, Gov. Ron DeSantis won reelection by nearly 20 points.

  Until 2020, Florida had also voted for the winning presidential candidate every cycle dating back to 1996.

  But recent elections indicate the state's partisanship may be changing. After decades of Democrats holding an official edge with voter registration in the state, that flipped starting in 2021 and there are now nearly 1 million more registered Republicans, data shows.

  Rodriguez acknowledged in her memo on Monday that "Florida is not an easy state to win," but she indicated that Biden's campaign wouldn't need to in order to beat Trump, who faces his own challenges of winning back longtime GOP states like Arizona and Georgia.

  "Winning Florida requires being strategic with resources, while putting in the work early and often to reach its many diverse constituencies. That's exactly what Team Biden-Harris is doing," Rodriguez wrote.

  Speaking with reporters on Tuesday, Biden allies and aides including Rodriguez reiterated their case for why Florida is not out of reach, despite the GOP's success.

  "Look, we're clear-eyed about how hard it will be to win Florida," Rodriguez said.

  "But," she argued, "we also know that Trump does not have it in the bag."

  In her memo, Rodriguez cited what she said was Biden's support with seniors, a key voting bloc in Florida, as well as the success of some Democrats in local races, like Donna Deegan -- who won Jacksonville's mayoral election in 2023.

  Floridians have rejected "MAGA politics" since the 2022 midterms, Rodriguez wrote, and Biden is in a good position to "assemble a winning coalition" of key voter groups in the state: seniors, Hispanic voters, Black voters and voters who previously supported Nikki Haley over Trump in the GOP primary.

  Rodriguez also singled out issues like the cost of living, health care access and welfare programs like Social Security.

  Biden allies are aiming to make reproductive rights important in 2024, too, including through a new swing state ad that links Trump to -- and blames him for -- the growing number of restrictive abortions bans in recent years.

  "The only thing standing between Americans and a national abortion ban: Joe Biden and Kamala Harris and the White House," Rodriguez said on Tuesday, echoing what's become a major campaign message. "These are the stakes in November, and we're going to continue to make sure that every single voter knows them."

  On the trail, Trump often takes credit for naming three of the U.S. Supreme Court justices that voted to overrule Roe v. Wade's guarantees for abortion access.

  "We did something that was a miracle," he said during a town hall in January, suggesting that the lack of abortions since the court ruling two years ago had "saved" millions of lives.

  "Nobody has done more in that regard than me," he said then.

  But Trump has refused to give a consistent, specific response on the limits he now favors.

  Trump has voiced public support for three exceptions (rape, incest and life of the mother) and he has privately expressed that he may back a 16-week national abortion ban with those three exceptions, ABC Newsreported in February, citing two sources.

  At the time, the Trump campaign did not deny the reporting but issued a statement that said he would work to find middle ground on abortion.

  Trump campaign adviser Brian Hughes said in a statement to ABC News on Tuesday that "President Trump supports preserving life but has also made clear that he supports states' rights because he supports the voters' right to make decisions for themselves."

  Hughes went on to knock what he said were Democrats' far more permissive abortion policies.

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