当选总统唐纳德·特朗普向美国的一些贸易伙伴发出严厉警告,威胁要对进口商品征收高额关税。特朗普咄咄逼人的立场引发了一些反弹,并加剧了消费者的焦虑,担心这种关税可能会提高全国范围内的日常产品价格。
这位当选总统表示,他计划在上任后立即对墨西哥、加拿大和中国征收新的关税。他周一宣布,他打算对从加拿大和墨西哥进入美国的所有产品征收25%的关税。他将对来自中国的商品额外征收10%的关税。
特朗普声称外国支付关税,但实际上是美国进口商支付这些成本。这些钱进入美国财政部,这些公司通常会为客户提高价格,以抵消更高的费用。
特朗普认为,关税将通过迫使更多产品在美国制造、增加制造业就业岗位和增加美国创新来帮助经济。
他的目标是迫使这些国家修改他声称对美国不利的政策。
“那是希望。美国广播公司新闻部的亚历克西斯·克里斯托福鲁斯周二表示:“这肯定是有意为之,但并不总是这样。”。
Christoforous研究了特朗普对墨西哥、加拿大和中国征收关税的潜在经济影响。
“加拿大对美国最大的出口是原油,”Christoforous说。“仅在2022年就有大约1600亿美元。这可能会对加拿大的经济产生巨大影响。加拿大表示,我们希望继续与即将上任的政府对话。当然,这里的希望是他们重新谈判条款,这样关税就永远不会到位。”
然而,美国消费者从不同国家采购原油,包括沙特阿拉伯、墨西哥、伊拉克和巴西。美国还有相当数量的原油库存,需要一段时间才能消耗完。
当目前的原油储备随着时间的推移而减少时,美国人可以预期进口商会支付更高的价格。这种增长可能会导致消费者在日常必需品上面临更高的成本,比如汽油。
“如果这些关税到位,进口商必须支付更高的价格,”Christoforous说。“然后他们可以将成本转嫁给消费者。我们知道原油是一个很大的成分,约占汽油成分的60%。所以随着时间的推移,我们会看到更高的油价。”
据美国工业和安全局(u . s . Bureau of Industry and Security)的数据,尽管从中国的进口比八年前有所减少,但美国每年仍继续从中国进口数千亿电子产品。
许多美国制造商从中国采购产品零部件。关税可能会导致中国进口商承担更高的成本,这些成本可能会转嫁给美国买家。因此,对美国消费者来说,价格预计会上涨。
“所以你看到的进口不仅来自中国,也来自墨西哥,我们在那里获得了很多汽车零部件,”Christoforous说。“随着时间的推移,这些项目将需要一些时间,缓慢爬行,但这些价格可能会上涨。”
Will Trump's tariffs plan raise gas prices, electronics, and other needs?
President-elect Donald Trump has issued stark warnings to some U.S. trade partners, threatening to impose substantial tariffs on imported goods. Trump's aggressive stance has sparked some backlash and fueled consumer anxiety, fearing that such tariffs could increase everyday product prices nationwide.
The president-elect said he plans to impose new tariffs on Mexico, Canada, and China immediately upon taking office. He announced on Monday his intention to implement a 25% tax on all products entering the U.S. from Canada and Mexico. He would add an additional 10% tariff on goods from China.
Trump claims that foreign countries pay tariffs, but it's U.S. importers who actually cover these costs. The money goes to the U.S. Treasury, and these companies usually raise prices for customers to offset the higher expenses.
Trump believes tariffs will help the economy by forcing more products to be made in America, adding manufacturing jobs, and increasing American innovation.
His objective is to compel these countries to modify policies that he claims are detrimental to the U.S.
"That's the hope. It's certainly the intention but it doesn't always work out that way," ABC News' Alexis Christoforous said Tuesday.
Christoforous examines the potential economic effects of Trump's proposed tariffs on Mexico, Canada and China.
"Canada's largest export to the U.S. is crude oil," Christoforous said. "About 160 billion dollars in 2022 alone. This can have a huge impact on Canada's economy. Canada is saying we want to continue to talk to the incoming administration. The hope here, of course, is that they renegotiate terms so that the tariffs are never put in place."
However, American consumers source crude oil from various countries, including Saudi Arabia, Mexico, Iraq, and Brazil. The U.S. also has a healthy amount of crude oil inventory, which will take some time to deplete.
When the current stockpile of crude oil decreases over time, Americans can expect importers to pay higher prices. This increase may result in consumers facing higher costs for everyday necessities, such as gasoline.
"If these tariffs are in place importers, must then pay a higher price," Christoforous said. " They could then pass that cost onto consumers. We know crude oil is a big component, about 60% of what makes up gasoline. So over time, we can see higher gas prices."
Despite importing less from China than it did eight years ago, the U.S. continues to import hundreds of billions of electronics from China every year, according to the U.S. Bureau of Industry and Security.
Many U.S. manufacturers source parts from China for their products. Tariffs may lead Chinese importers to incur higher costs, which they will likely pass on to American buyers. As a result, prices are expected to rise for American consumers.
"So you are looking at imports coming in not only from China but from Mexico, where we get a lot of our car parts," Christoforous said. "Those items over time, which will take some time, a slow crawl, but those prices could move up."