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自5月份以来,美国人对国家走向的乐观情绪下降了近20个百分点

2021-07-26 08:14   美国新闻网   - 

作为总统乔·拜登任职100天后这个国家很乐观关于即将到来的一年,但是现在,就在六个月标记,美国人对国家走向的乐观情绪已经暴跌近20个点,创下新高美国广播公司新闻/益普索民意调查发现。

大多数(55%)公众表示,他们对国家的发展方向感到悲观,这与美国广播公司新闻/益普索5月2日公布的一项民意调查中大约三分之一(36%)的人持相同观点相比,有了明显的变化。在5月初的调查中,美国人比悲观者乐观28个百分点。乐观情绪现在下降了10个百分点。展望未来12个月,不到一半(45%)的人现在对事情的发展感到乐观,比5月份民意调查中的约三分之二(64%)大幅下降。

民主党、共和党和无党派人士的乐观情绪全面下降。民主党人和共和党人的乐观情绪下降了约20个百分点,独立人士下降了26个百分点。在民主党人当中,大约十分之七(71%)的人现在表示,他们对未来12个月的国家走向感到乐观。这远低于民主党人对拜登处理疫情的近乎普遍(93%)的支持率。在今天的政治中,支持者通常在支持或反对特定问题或特定人群方面更加统一。

乐观-悲观的转变发生在美国人给拜登的支持率最低的时候大流行的处理然而在美国广播公司新闻/益普索民意调查中。略多于六分之一(63%)的人赞成总统对该法案的回应冠状病毒这项调查是益普索与美国广播公司新闻部合作,利用益普索的知识面板进行的。

尽管仍占多数,但与3月下旬相比下降了9个百分点——这是拜登的高点。这很可能反映出人们越来越担心封锁可以复职已经接种疫苗的美国人可能需要助推射击据估计,传染性极强的三角洲变种占83%在美国所有新冠病毒病例中。截至周五,根据美国广播公司新闻获得的健康和人类服务数据,美国的每日平均病例比前一周增加了47%,周三,美国录得自4月以来的最高单日新增病例总数。

当看到公众对感染病毒有多担心时,对病毒死灰复燃的担忧也很明显。

根据美国广播公司新闻/益普索的这项民意调查,大约十分之六的美国人担心——20%非常担心,42%有些担心——他们或他们认识的人会感染冠状病毒;大约十分之四(39%)的人不关心这个问题。

这是美国广播公司新闻/益普索早在2020年3月的民调中最低的担忧水平,但自今年3月初上次问这个问题以来,这一差距很大,当时只有不到20%的美国人口至少接种了部分疫苗。从那以后,每个12岁以上的美国人都有资格接种疫苗。根据美国疾病控制和预防中心的数据,在美国广播公司新闻/益普索的这项民意调查中,约四分之三(74%)的美国成年人表示,他们至少接种过一剂冠状病毒疫苗,这与最近的其他调查类似,略微夸大了接种过疫苗的美国人的数量。最近一次疾控中心报告这可能会比实际接种晚几天,显示68.8%的成年人至少接种了一剂疫苗。

根据这项民意调查,对感染的担忧在那些至少部分接种疫苗比那些没有的人,67%比46%。但是,尽管大多数未接种疫苗的美国成年人表示,他们并不担心自己或认识的人会感染病毒,但公共卫生专家,包括疾控中心主任,警告过那这变得“未接种疫苗的大流行”

虽然美国广播公司新闻/益普索没有对过去四到五个月中感染病毒的担忧程度进行民意调查,但其他调查进行了调查,公众的担忧似乎再次上升。

在一个蒙莫斯大学民意测验在6月中旬进行的调查中,约有四分之一(23%)的美国人表示,他们非常担心自己或家人中的某个人会因COVID而患重病,约十分之二(19%)的美国人表示对此有些担忧——这两项数据在蒙莫斯的民调中都创下了历史新低。大约四分之一(24%)的人说他们对此不太担心,超过十分之三(32%)的人说他们一点也不担心——这两个数字在蒙莫斯的民调中都创下了历史新高。

此外,对总统处理国家事务的认可程度经济复苏根据美国广播公司新闻/益普索民意调查,自3月下旬以来,大流行的疫苗接种率也下降了7个百分点,当时十分之六的疫苗接种获得批准。尽管预计周四申请失业救济人数将创下大流行时期的新低,但实际上增加的达到上一次出现在6月中旬的水平,尽管现在知道这是否会成为一种趋势还为时过早。

绝大多数(88%)民主党人赞成总统对经济复苏的处理方式,但只有大约一半(49%)的独立人士赞成,不到十分之二(16%)的共和党人赞成。

在其他问题上,拜登的支持率很低,即使在他自己的政党中也是如此。

不到十分之四的美国人赞成总统对移民和移民政策的处理美墨边境局势犯罪和枪支暴力。共和党人一直在这三个问题上紧追拜登和民主党人,比如越境和暴力犯罪率,尤其是在民主党控制的美国城市,激增。根据这项民意调查,这反映在共和党人对总统处理这三个问题的高度不赞成中,不赞成的比例在86%到92%之间。

在所有美国人中,对犯罪和枪支暴力的不支持率密切相关——每10人中有6人左右——自3月下旬以来,公众对拜登处理枪支暴力的不支持率略有上升,从57%上升到61%。

基于问题或政策的绩效评级较低的一个例外是总统的退出大多数(55%)美国人赞成从阿富汗撤军。

当被问及拜登在兑现竞选承诺方面做得有多好时,美国人意见不一:52%的人说他在兑现这些承诺方面做得很好或很好,而47%的人说他做得不太好或很差。
 

Americans' optimism about country's direction over next year drops nearly 20 points since May: POLL

As PresidentJoe Bidencompleted 100 days in office, thecountry was optimisticabout the coming year, but now, just after hitting thesix-month mark, Americans' optimism about the direction of the country has plummeted nearly 20 points, a newABC News/Ipsos pollfinds.

A majority -- 55% -- of the public say they are pessimistic about the direction of the country, a marked change from the roughly one-third (36%) that said the same in an ABC News/Ipsos poll published May 2. In the early May survey, Americans were more optimistic than pessimistic by a 28-percentage point margin. Optimism is now under water by 10 points. Looking ahead to the next 12 months, fewer than half -- 45% -- now report feeling optimistic about the way things are going, a significant drop from about two-thirds (64%) in the May poll.

The decline in optimism has occurred across the board among Democrats, Republicans and independents. Optimism is down about 20 points among Democrats and Republicans and down 26 points among independents. Among Democrats, about 7 in 10 (71%) now say they are optimistic about the direction of the country over the next 12 months. That's much lower than the near universal (93%) approval from Democrats on Biden's handling of the pandemic. In politics today, partisans usually are more unified in their support or opposition to particular issues or people.

The optimism-pessimism flip comes as Americans give Biden his lowest approval rating for hishandling of the pandemicyet in ABC News/Ipsos polling. A little over 6 in 10 (63%) approve of the president's response to thecoronavirus, according to the poll, which was conducted by Ipsos in partnership with ABC News using Ipsos' KnowledgePanel.

Although still a majority, it's a nine-point drop from late March -- the high for Biden. It likely reflects the growing concern that lockdownscould be reinstatedand already vaccinated Americans could need abooster shotas the highly contagious delta variant now is estimated toaccount for 83%of all new coronavirus cases in the United States. As of Friday, according to Health and Human Services data obtained by ABC News, the United States' daily case average was up 47% compared to the prior week, and on Wednesday, the nation recorded its highest single-day new case total since April.

Worry about a resurgence of the virus is also apparent when looking at how concerned the public is about contracting the virus.

According to this ABC News/Ipsos poll, about 6 in 10 Americans are concerned -- 20% very and 42% somewhat -- that they or someone they know will become infected with the coronavirus; about 4 in 10 (39%) are not concerned about this.

That's the lowest level of concern in polling by ABC News/Ipsos going back to March 2020, but there is a significant gap since this question was last asked in early March of this year, when less than 20% of the U.S. population was at least partially vaccinated. Since then, every American 12 years and older has become eligible to receive a vaccine. In this ABC News/Ipsos poll, about three-quarters (74%) of U.S. adults say they have had at least one dose of a coronavirus vaccine, which, similar to other recent surveys, slightly overstates the number of Americans who have been vaccinated, according to data from the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. The most recentCDC report, which could lag actual vaccinations by a few days, shows that 68.8% of the adult population had received at least one dose.

Concern about infection, according to this poll, is higher among those who are at leastpartially vaccinatedthan those who are not, 67% compared to 46%. But while a majority of unvaccinated U.S. adults say they are not concerned that they or someone they know will be infected with the virus, public health experts, including the CDC director,have warnedthatthis is becominga "pandemic of the unvaccinated."

While ABC News/Ipsos did not poll on the level of concern for contracting the virus over the last four to five months, other polls have, and the public's concern appears to be rising again.

In aMonmouth University pollconducted in mid-June, about a quarter (23%) of Americans said they were very concerned they or someone in their family would become seriously ill from COVID, and about 2 in 10 (19%) said they were somewhat concerned about this -- both record lows in Monmouth's polling. About a quarter (24%) said they were not so concerned about this, and over 3 in 10 (32%) said they were not at all concerned -- both record highs in Monmouth's polling.

Additionally, the level of approval for the president's handling of the country'seconomic recoveryfrom the pandemic has also dropped by seven points since late March, when 6 in 10 approved, according to ABC News/Ipsos polling. Although jobless claims were expected to hit a new pandemic-era low Thursday, instead, theyincreasedto a level last seen in mid-June, though it's too soon to know if that will become a trend.

The overwhelming majority (88%) of Democrats approve of the president's handling of the economic recovery, but only about half (49%) of independents do and less than 2 in 10 (16%) Republicans do.

On other issues, Biden's approval is underwater, and lackluster even among his own party.

Fewer than 4 in 10 Americans approve of the president's handling of immigration and thesituation at the U.S.-Mexico border, crime and gun violence. Republicans have hounded Biden and Democrats over all three, as border crossings andviolent crime rates, especially in Democrat-run U.S. cities nationwide, surge. That's reflected in Republicans' high level of disapproval -- ranging between 86% and 92% -- of the president's handling of the three issues, according to this poll.

Among all Americans, the disapproval figures for crime and gun violence track closely with each other -- both around 6 in 10 each -- and disapproval of Biden's handling of gun violence has ticked up slightly since late March among the public, from 57% to 61%.

An exception to these low ratings on issue- or policy-based performance is thepresident's withdrawalof U.S. troops from Afghanistan, for which a majority (55%) of Americans approve.

Asked how well Biden's delivered on his campaign promises, Americans are divided: 52% say he has done an excellent or good job keeping those promises, while 47% say he's done a not so good or poor job.

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