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共和党候选人在党团会议前的最后几周推动在爱荷华州推翻特朗普

2023-11-24 10:47 -ABC  -  168371

距离爱荷华州党团会议(共和党在2024年初选中的第一场比赛)还有不到两个月的时间,大多数剩余的总统候选人都越来越多地将注意力、时间、金钱和工作人员集中在该州。

唐纳德·特朗普是一个明显的例外,他仍然领先在投票中尽管他有许多法律问题——所有这些他都否认——但剩下的人都在努力证明共和党选民希望特朗普以外的人成为他们的提名人。

尽管爱荷华州共和党主席杰夫·考夫曼(Jeff Kaufmann)最近表示,“爱荷华州不应该选择下一任总统”,但党团会议以及新罕布什尔州的初选历来受到公众和新闻媒体的极大关注,因为它们首次揭示了选民希望谁在下届总统选举中竞选。

以下是共和党候选人,包括瑞安·宾利(Ryan Binkley)和前阿肯色州州长阿萨·哈钦森(Asa Hutchinson)等不太受欢迎的候选人,在投票前的最后几周在爱荷华州的竞选活动。

瑞安·宾克利

德克萨斯州牧师瑞安·宾克利(Ryan Binkley)以“信仰上帝、自由和彼此”为口号,成为第一个完成本周期“完整格拉斯利之旅”的候选人,这是一个到达爱荷华州所有99个县的传统,以该州高级参议员的名字命名,他的竞选团队说。

虽然他在竞选初期就在爱荷华州建立了自己的存在,但宾克利在10月份接受美国广播公司新闻采访时承认,缺乏知名度仍然是一个障碍。

“还没有人真正知道我是谁,”宾克利在参加总统竞选六个月后说。“所以现在是我们开始分享更多信息的时候了。”

道格·伯根

尽管北达科他州州长Doug Burgum没有资格参加最近的初选辩论,因为他的捐款人和投票人数停滞不前,但他说他不会很快退出,上周他告诉ABC新闻,他仍然受到鼓舞。

专注于经济、能源和国家安全的Burgum坚持认为,“我们得到了很好的接待和很大的鼓励,特别是来自爱荷华州和新罕布什尔州的选民,他们说,‘谢谢你们尊重我们这些选民。’"

克里斯·克里斯蒂

前新泽西州长克里斯·克里斯蒂是唯一坚决反对川普的候选人,他在整个选举周期都没有来爱荷华州。

相反,在1月23日的初选之前,他选择将注意力集中在新罕布什尔州。

PHOTO: Florida Governor and U.S. Presidential candidate Ron DeSantis speaks during a rally, Nov. 6, 2023, in Des Moines, Iowa.

2023年11月6日,佛罗里达州州长、美国总统候选人罗恩·德桑蒂斯在爱荷华州得梅因的一次集会上发表讲话。

瑞秋·梅米/路透社

罗恩·德桑蒂斯

在过去几个月里通过爱荷华州的所有候选人中,佛罗里达州州长罗恩·德桑蒂斯在11月6日成功获得了爱荷华州州长金·雷诺兹的支持。周二,德桑蒂斯赢得了另一项支持,这一次是来自爱荷华州福音派领袖鲍勃·范德·普拉茨,家庭领袖的主席。

鉴于德桑蒂斯在基地的受欢迎程度,这位州长今年早些时候可能是特朗普最大的对手,但自那以来,他的民调数字一直在下降——尽管在爱荷华州的强劲结果可能有助于扭转这一局面。

通过他的竞选团队主办的活动,德桑蒂斯现在已经访问了爱荷华州99个县中的98个县,与德桑蒂斯结盟的超级政治行动委员会也从未退缩。

“我们很高兴能够四处传播这一信息,”他在爱荷华州普莱恩菲尔德对一群选民说,取笑他所在的第99个县附近的一场大型竞选活动。

妮基·黑利

虽然她的竞选活动只在该州举行了大约30场活动,但前南卡罗莱纳州州长、前驻联合国大使妮基·黑利获得了一些显著的支持。周五,她得到了Marlys Popma的支持,Marlys pop ma是共和党的资深成员,也是2008年麦凯恩总统竞选的顾问。

根据538的平均投票率在加州,海莉的支持率一直在上升,她几乎与德桑蒂斯并列第二。特朗普领先两人超过25%。

哈利上周告诉福克斯新闻频道,她的“势头是真实的。”

“我们将继续努力赢得每一位爱荷华州人的选票。我们不会放弃爱荷华,我们会为新罕布什尔努力奋斗。我们将为南卡罗来纳州而努力奋斗,然后我们将继续前进,”她说。

阿萨·哈钦森

前阿肯色州州长阿萨·哈钦森(Asa Hutchinson)上周在爱荷华州举行了十多场活动,他的竞选团队承诺在第二和第三阶段辩论失败后继续前进。

他自己设定了感恩节的最后期限,要在早期的州将他的民调数字提高到4%,但他还没有达到这一目标。

“其他主要候选人已经退出,范围已经缩小。这拓宽了我的道路,改变了比赛的动态,”他在周三对美国广播公司新闻的一份声明中争辩道。

在本月早些时候接受美国全国广播公司采访时,他谈到了他试图在爱荷华州赢得更多支持的策略。

“能够将你的零售政治、你拥有的信息与一些正面的媒体广告结合起来,这很重要,这些广告将使你脱颖而出,因为现在其他人都在互相诽谤,”他说。

维韦克·拉马斯瓦米

据他的竞选团队称,商人兼评论员Vivek Ramaswamy已经在该州举办了150多场活动,并表示他计划在未来几周内再举办200场活动,因为他、他的家人和他的团队将从俄亥俄州搬迁,以巩固他在该州的存在。

他的妻子Apoorva Ramaswamy博士于周六在该州举行了她的首次个人活动。

爱荷华州的助手将Vivek Ramaswamy称为“没有分心的特朗普”。这一说法似乎引起了丹尼斯·阿斯贝里(Denise Asberry)等选民的共鸣,她告诉美国广播公司新闻(ABC News),她对政治进程不再抱有幻想,在投票给特朗普后,她不再投票。

然而,在康宁的一次竞选活动中,泪流满面的阿斯贝里告诉拉马斯瓦米,他“激励[她]去投票。”

在...之后对可能参加党团会议的人的民意调查Ramaswamy告诉记者,他“将把钱用在他的嘴巴上”,在该州吸引更多的广告购买,以获得更多的观众。

唐纳德·特朗普

特朗普竞选团队相信,这位前总统将赢得艾奥瓦州,花很少时间积极竞选,但偶尔会来该州举行“承诺党团”活动。

对于已经在该州获得压倒性民调领先的特朗普来说,他竞选的主要目标似乎不是获得支持,而是确保这些支持者在1月份出现在党团会议网站上。

特朗普周六在道奇堡发表讲话,标志着他本周期第14次访问该州,敦促选民参加党团会议,让他向共和党初选的其他人发出“巨大信号”,让他们退出。

Republican candidates push to topple Trump in Iowa in final weeks before caucus

There's less than two months to go until the Iowa caucus, Republicans' first race in the 2024 primary, and most of the remaining presidential candidates have been increasingly focusing their attention, time, money and staff on the state.

The notable exception is Donald Trump, who remains the front-runnerin polling, despite his many legal troubles -- all of which he denies -- leaving the rest of the field pushing to prove GOP voters want someone other than Trump as their nominee.

While Iowa Republican Chairman Jeff Kaufmann recently said that "Iowa is not supposed to pick the next president," the caucus, along with New Hampshire's primary, historically receive outsized attention from the public and from the news media because they offer the first look at who voters want to run in the next presidential election.

Here's how the Republican hopefuls, including lesser popular candidates like Ryan Binkley and former Arkansas Gov. Asa Hutchinson, have been campaigning in Iowa in the final weeks before the vote.

Ryan Binkley

Texas pastor Ryan Binkley, running on a message of "faith in God, freedom, and each other," became the first candidate to accomplish the "Full Grassley Tour" this cycle, a tradition of reaching all 99 counties in Iowa, named after the state's senior senator, his campaign said.

Though he established a presence in Iowa early on in the race, Binkley acknowledged to ABC News in October that a lack of name recognition remains a hurdle.

"Nobody really knows who I am just yet," Binkley said six months into his presidential campaign. "And so now it's time for us to start sharing the message all the more."

Doug Burgum

Though North Dakota Gov. Doug Burgum did not qualify for the most recent primary debate as his donor and polling numbers stall, he says he is not dropping out anytime soon, telling ABC News last week that he's still encouraged.

Burgum, who has focused on the economy, energy and national security, maintained that "we're getting great reception and great encouragement, specifically from voters in Iowa and New Hampshire that are saying, 'Thank you for respecting us as the voters.'"

Chris Christie

Former New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie, the only firmly anti-Trump candidate, has not come to Iowa at all this election cycle.

Instead, he's chosen to focus his attention on New Hampshire ahead of its primary on Jan. 23.

Ron DeSantis

Of all the candidates to pass through Iowa over the past several months, it was Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis who managed to secure Iowa Gov. Kim Reynolds endorsement on Nov. 6. And on Tuesday, DeSantis earned yet another endorsement, this time from Iowa evangelical leader Bob Vander Plaats, president of the Family Leader.

The governor entered the primary earlier this year as perhaps Trump's biggest opponent, given DeSantis' popularity with the base, but his poll numbers have only declined since then -- though a strong result in Iowa could help reverse that.

DeSantis has now visited 98 of 99 counties in Iowa through events hosted by his campaign and the very involved DeSantis-aligned super PAC Never Back Down.

"We're excited about being able to go around and spread the message," he said to a group of voters in Plainfield, Iowa, teasing a big campaign event around his 99th county.

Nikki Haley

While her campaign has only held about 30 events in the state, Nikki Haley, a former South Carolina governor and former ambassador to the U.N., has drawn some notable support. On Friday, she was endorsed by Marlys Popma, a longtime GOP operative and adviser on the 2008 McCain presidential campaign.

According to538's polling average, Haley's numbers have been rising in the state and she is nearly tied for second with DeSantis. Trump is ahead of both by more than 25%.

Haley told Fox News last week that her "momentum is real."

"We're going to keep working hard to earn every Iowans vote. We're not going to give up on Iowa, we're going to fight hard for New Hampshire. We're gonna fight hard for South Carolina and then we're going to keep on going," she said.

Asa Hutchinson

Former Arkansas Gov. Asa Hutchinson held more than a dozen events in Iowa this past week as his campaign commits to keep moving forward after failing to make the second and third debate stages.

He had self-imposed a Thanksgiving deadline to up his polling numbers to 4% in an early state -- a marker he has not reached.

"Other major candidates have dropped out and the field has narrowed. This widens my lane and changes the dynamics of the race," he contended in a statement to ABC News on Wednesday.

In an interview with NBC News earlier this month, he talked about his strategy to try and win more support in Iowa.

"That is important to be able to combine your retail politics, the message that you have, with some positive media ads which will distinguish yourself because everybody else is just slinging mud at each other right now," he said.

Vivek Ramaswamy

Businessman and commentator Vivek Ramaswamy has held more than 150 events in the state already, according to his campaign, and says he plans to hold 200 more over the coming weeks as he, his family and his team relocate from Ohio to solidify his presence in the state.

His wife, Dr. Apoorva Ramaswamy, held her first solo event in the state on Saturday.

Iowa aides market Vivek Ramaswamy as "Trump without the distractions." It's a pitch that seems to resonate with voters like Denise Asberry, who told ABC News she was disenchanted with the political process and dissuaded from voting altogether after casting her ballot for Trump.

At a campaign event in Corning, however, a tearful Asberry told Ramaswamy that he "inspired [her] to vote."

Aftera poll of likely caucusgoersfrom The Des Moines Register/NBC News/Mediacom in late-October placed him at 4%, tied with Christie who hasn't stepped foot in Iowa this cycle, Ramaswamy told reporters he was "going to put [his] money where his [mouth] is" teasing larger ad buys in the state to reach a larger audience.

Donald Trump

The Trump campaign is confident that the former president will win Iowa, spending little time actively campaigning but coming through the state occasionally to hold "Commit to Caucus" events.

For Trump, who already has an overwhelming polling lead in the state, his campaign's main goals appears to not be garnering support but ensuring those supporters show up to caucus sites in January.

Trump marked his 14th visit to the state this cycle speaking in Fort Dodge on Saturday, urging voters to caucus for him to send a "great signal" to the rest of the Republican primary field to drop out.

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