前总统唐纳德·特朗普预计将获得两位数的胜利在周二新罕布什尔州的初选中，标志着向确保2024年共和党提名迈出了关键的第二步。
截至周二晚间，川普获得了超过73%的估计选票，川普以54%的得票率位居第一，前南卡罗莱纳州州长妮基·黑利以44%的得票率位居第二。
尽管海莉在投票结束后的一次演讲中强调了第二名的成绩——这引起了特朗普的蔑视——但鉴于新罕布什尔州的选民更多地反对特朗普，以及该州允许无党派人士参加初选的规定，她在竞选活动中一直把大部分精力放在赢得新罕布什尔州选民上。
民调显示，她在美国其他地区的支持率远低于特朗普10个百分点，包括下个月将在南卡罗来纳州进行对决的南卡罗来纳州。
在民主党方面，总统乔·拜登(Joe Biden)的书面竞选活动轻松赢得了他的竞选。在新罕布什尔州拒绝将竞选日期与民主党全国委员会(DNC)让南卡罗来纳州举行全国第一场初选的日程一致后，民主党全国代表大会没有批准这一竞选活动。
以下是周二晚上结果的三个要点。
特朗普的优势预计将保持在两位数
专家长期以来一直表示，新罕布什尔州有可能削弱特朗普的势头，并帮助他的一个主要竞争对手获得提振。
除其他外，该州的选民比特朗普上周在党团会议中轻松获胜的爱荷华州更温和。到周二，只剩下一个主要反对者海莉，这可能会让反特朗普的选民团结在她周围。
不过，最终特朗普再次获胜，粉碎了哈雷险胜或以接近第二名的希望，并进一步巩固了他在共和党中的声望。
接下来的两场比赛将在对特朗普明显更有利的地形上举行。
他将于2月初参加内华达州的党团会议，在那里的选民中大幅领先，而海莉甚至没有参加其中的竞争。南卡罗来纳州将于2月24日举行初选-尽管它是海利的家乡，但特朗普目前在538个平均民调中领先约36个百分点。
特朗普的盟友在这位前总统的强劲表现后屈服了，指出这些结果证明初选从一开始就没有竞争力。
“在特朗普总统今晚在新罕布什尔州大获全胜之后，人们会说这场初选已经结束了。事实是，今晚的结果证明它根本不存在。特朗普总统一直是我们的提名人。亚利桑那州共和党参议员候选人卡里·莱克(Kari Lake)在一份声明中表示:“现在是整个共和党团结在我们的提名人身后，在11月击败乔·拜登的时候了。”
支持川普的主要超级政治行动委员会负责人泰勒·布多维奇(Taylor Budowich)补充说:“是时候团结起来了，是时候向民主党发起战斗了。对妮基·黑利来说，是时候退出了。”
拜登的竞选团队并不反对对这场竞选的评估。
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“现在很明显，唐纳德·特朗普将成为共和党提名人。我向全国传达的信息是，赌注不能再高了，”他在一份声明中表示。
海莉暂时留在家里
海莉周二晚上淡化了她退出竞选的可能性。
她的竞选团队稳步降低了新罕布什尔州的预期，从预测获胜到表示将获得令人尊敬的第二名，并希望下个月在南卡罗来纳州取得更好的结果。
在对支持者的讲话中，海莉表示她计划在南卡罗来纳州的初选和3月5日的超级星期二之前继续竞选，那里的代表人数最多。
“在接下来的两个月里，20多个州的数百万选民将有自己的发言权。我们应该尊重他们并允许他们投票。你猜怎么着?在接下来的两个月里，乔·拜登不会变得更年轻或更好。我们将有足够的时间击败乔·拜登。她说:“当我们到达南卡罗来纳州时，唐纳德·特朗普将更难……攻击我。
“南卡罗来纳州选民不想举行加冕仪式。他们想要一次选举。我们会给他们一个，”她说。“因为我们才刚刚开始。”
海利还对特朗普进行了尖锐的抨击，表明他们之间的来回交锋有所升级，海利在竞选早期似乎不愿参与。
黑莉说:“(民主党人)知道唐纳德·特朗普是全国唯一能击败乔·拜登的共和党人。“如果你不能赢得选举，你就无法收拾残局。提名川普就是拜登的胜利和卡玛拉·哈里斯的总统任期。”
她还提到特朗普不愿意与她辩论，以及最近他把她和前众议院议长南希·佩洛西搞混的失态——同时她还重申了对老年政客进行智力测试的呼吁。
特朗普77岁，拜登81岁。
“大多数美国人不希望拜登和特朗普再次对决。第一个让80岁的候选人退休的政党将是赢得此次选举的政党。我认为应该是共和党赢得这次选举。所以，我们的战斗还没有结束，因为我们还要拯救一个国家，”她说。
拜登竞选团队轻松击败菲利普斯和威廉姆森
拜登盟友发起的书面竞选活动预计将轻松击败民主党挑战者众议员迪安·菲利普斯和作家玛丽安娜·威廉森。
虽然民主党初选在被民主党全国委员会否定后不会授予任何代表，但党内领导人担心，两位挑战者中的任何一位获胜或接近第二名都将标志着总统的一大尴尬，就像民主党试图平息对拜登年龄、经济处理和2024年大选早期民调中糟糕表现的焦虑一样。
不过最终，截至周二晚些时候，拜登的支持率为67%，菲利普斯的支持率徘徊在20%左右，威廉姆森的支持率未能突破5%，超过41%的选票已经清点。(威廉姆森的竞选经理卡洛斯·卡多纳很快就退出了，但他告诉ABC新闻，没有敌意，竞选活动计划继续进行。)
尽管如此，菲利普斯在周二的演讲中重申，他对拜登和特朗普的再次竞选感到担忧，并表示他将继续竞选，尽管他未能击败一位没有在新罕布什尔州参加竞选甚至没有出现在选票上的人。
“乔·拜登是个好人。他是个好人。是的，他是所有人，他是我们的总统，但我要告诉你们，所有人，他赢不了。菲利普斯说:“民调显示他不可能赢，他的支持率显示你不可能赢，而一位来自明尼苏达州的不知名议员在选举前两周表示，我将来到这里竞选总统，但他的支持率只有21%，这说明了一些问题。”
“我们将去南卡罗来纳州，然后去密歇根州，然后去所有超级星期二的州，”他补充说。
Trump fends off Haley with double-digit win and other takeaways from New Hampshire's primary
Former President Donald Trump is projected to score a double-digit victory in New Hampshire's primary on Tuesday, marking a second and crucial step toward securing the 2024 Republican nomination.
With more than 73% of the estimated vote in as of late Tuesday, Trump was in first with 54% and former South Carolina Gov. Nikki Haley was in second with 44%.
Though Haley played up that second-place finish in a speech after polls closed -- drawing Trump's scorn -- she had staked much of her campaign on winning over New Hampshire voters given the state's more anti-Trump electorate and its rules allowing independents to participate in the primary.
Polls show she is much further behind Trump than 10 points in various other parts of the country, including South Carolina, where they will next face off next month.
On the Democratic side, a write-in campaign for President Joe Biden handily won his race, which was unsanctioned by the Democratic National Convention after New Hampshire refused to move the race's date to jive with the DNC's calendar of having South Carolina hold the nation's first primary.
Trump margin expected to stay in double digits
Experts have long said that New Hampshire had the makings of the kind of state that could blunt Trump's momentum and help boost one of his primary rivals.
Among other things, the state boasts an electorate more moderate than that of Iowa, where Trump romped in the caucuses last week. And by Tuesday, only one major opponent remained, Haley, which could have allowed anti-Trump voters to coalesce around her.
In the end, though, Trump again emerged victorious, dashing Haley's hopes of a narrow win or a truly close second-place finish and cementing even further his popularity in the GOP.
The next two contests are set to be held on significantly more friendly terrain for Trump.
He'll enter Nevada's caucuses in early February with a huge lead with voters there, per polling, and Haley isn't even competing in them. South Carolina will hold its primary on Feb. 24 -- and even though it's Haley's home state, Trump currently leads by about 36 points in 538's polling average.
Trump's allies flexed after the former president's strong showing, pointing to the results as evidence that the primary was never competitive in the first place.
"After President Trump's resounding victory in New Hampshire tonight people will say this primary is over. The truth is, tonight's result proves it never existed at all. President Trump has been our nominee all along. It's now time for the entire Republican Party to unite behind our nominee to defeat Joe Biden in November," Kari Lake, the Arizona GOP Senate candidate rumored to also be a possible vice-presidential pick for Trump, said in a statement.
"It's time for unity, it's time to take the fight to the Democrats, and for Nikki Haley: it's time to drop out," added Taylor Budowich, who heads the main pro-Trump super PAC.
Biden's campaign didn't disagree with that assessment of the race.
"It is now clear that Donald Trump will be the Republican nominee. And my message to the country is the stakes could not be higher," he said in a statement.
Haley stays in, for now
Haley on Tuesday night played down any possibility she'd be exiting the race.
Her campaign had steadily lowered expectations in New Hampshire from projecting a victory to saying it would settle for a respectable second place and hope for a better result in South Carolina next month.
In a speech to supporters, Haley indicated she plans on staying in the race through South Carolina's primary and Super Tuesday on March 5, where the lion's share of delegates is up for grabs.
"In the next two months, millions of voters in over 20 states will have their say. We should honor them and allow them to vote. And guess what? In the next two months, Joe Biden isn't going to get any younger or any better. We'll have all the time we need to defeat Joe Biden. When we get to South Carolina, Donald Trump's going to have a harder time … attacking me," she said.
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"South Carolina voters don't want a coronation. They want an election. And we're going to give them one," she said. "Because we are just getting started."
Haley also took pointed swipes at Trump, indicating an escalation of their back-and-forth that Haley had appeared reticent to engage in early in the campaign.
"[Democrats] know Donald Trump is the only Republican in the country who Joe Biden can beat," Haley said. "You can't fix the mess if you can't win the election. A Trump nomination is a Biden win and a Kamala Harris presidency."
She also noted Trump's reluctance to debate her and a recent gaffe when he confused her with former House Speaker Nancy Pelosi -- while also reiterating her call for mental competency tests for elderly politicians.
Trump is 77, and Biden is 81.
"Most Americans do not want a rematch between Biden and Trump. The first party to retire its 80-year-old candidate is going to be the party that wins this election. And I think it should be the Republicans that win this election. So, our fight is not over because we have a country to save," she said.
Biden write-in campaign handily defeats Phillips, Williamson
The write-in campaign set up by Biden allies is projected to have easily dispatched Democratic challengers Rep. Dean Phillips and author Marianne Williamson.
While the Democratic primary will not award any delegates after being disavowed by the DNC, party leaders were concerned that a victory or near-second by either of the two challengers would mark a major embarrassment for the president, just as Democrats try to quell hand-wringing over Biden's age, handling of the economy and poor standing in early polls of the 2024 race.
In the end, though, Biden was at 67% with write-ins while Phillips hovered around 20% and Williamson failed to break 5% as of late Tuesday, with more than 41% of the vote counted. (Williamson's campaign manager, Carlos Cardona, soon quit but told ABC News that there was no bad blood and the campaign planned to keep going.)
Still, Phillips reiterated in a speech on Tuesday that he has concerns about a Biden-Trump rematch and said he will stay in the race, despite failing to beat a man who didn't compete in New Hampshire or even appear on the ballot.
"Joe Biden is a good man. He's a fine man. Yes, he is everybody, he's our president, but I gotta tell you, everyone, he cannot win. The polls are saying he cannot win, his approval numbers are saying you can't win, and the fact that an unknown congressman from Minnesota two weeks before the election said I'm going to come out here and run for president just got 21%, that says something," Phillips said.
"We're going to go to South Carolina, and then we are going to go to Michigan, and then we are going to go to all the Super Tuesday states," he added.
