随着前总统唐纳德·特朗普(Donald Trump)和副总统卡玛拉·哈里斯(Donald Trump)在2024年大选的最后一段时间里在战场州进行游说，一个对比出现了:特朗普在9月份的竞选活动中单独超过了哈里斯和她的竞选伙伴明尼苏达州州长蒂姆·瓦尔兹(Tim Walz)，因为他没有表现出放缓的迹象——他的竞选活动正在采用这一策略来关注容易发生逆转的县。
9月，特朗普举行了21场公开竞选活动，包括演讲、集会、新闻发布会和市政厅。相比之下，哈里斯只有13次竞选活动;根据美国广播公司新闻回顾的竞选时间表，沃尔兹有七场竞选活动。特朗普的竞选日程排得满满的，除此之外，他的竞选搭档JD Vance在9月份单独举行了14场活动。
这些记录不包括短暂的竞选零售停留和没有评论的露面。
特朗普竞选日程的紧张程度一直持续到10月的第一周。从10月1日到10月6日，特朗普已经举行了八场竞选活动，相比之下，哈里斯举行了两场，根据美国广播公司新闻对他们日程的审查。
最近，哈里斯一直专注于她作为副总统的官方职责，接受联邦紧急事务管理局的简报，并调查飓风海伦在佐治亚州和北卡罗来纳州的破坏情况。特朗普同样访问了佐治亚州，调查风暴造成的损失，并听取了当地官员的简报。
哈里斯竞选顾问驳斥了哈里斯竞选不够努力的说法，指出她在整个月以副总统的正式身份参加了八场活动，包括前往南部边境以及处理飓风海伦的破坏。
哈里斯竞选发言人沙拉菲娜·奇蒂卡在一份声明中说，特朗普“被保守的媒体泡沫所笼罩”，并“限制了他在战场州的时间”，而哈里斯和瓦尔兹则“回答了棘手的问题，并在他们所在的地方会见了选民。”
奇蒂卡在声明中写道:“在最后阶段，唐纳德·特朗普在Mar-A-Lago露营避开选民后，正在加利福尼亚州、芝加哥和纽约市开展竞选活动。”
然而，最近几周，特朗普一直在多个战场州开展竞选活动，其中包括在威斯康星州、宾夕法尼亚州、密歇根州和北卡罗来纳州多次露面，因为他进入了竞选的关键阶段，并试图在选举日之前向选民进行最后一次游说。
“我去过很多地方，我们肯定比对手做得好。她会在三天内去一个地方。我说，‘为什么我不能这么做?’”特朗普上月底在佐治亚州萨凡纳的一次竞选活动中打趣道。
在这个选举周期的早些时候，特朗普在竞选活动的数量上落后于他在2016年选举期间不间断的集会。特朗普在初选中取得了早期胜利，但他在法律诉讼中的活动较少，这使他在一周的大部分时间里都被限制在法庭上。
但在选举前的最后几个月，他加快了步伐。
这位前总统过去一个月的大部分时间都在宾夕法尼亚州度过，9月份在那里举行了四场活动，因为民调显示，这是地图上两位候选人之间最接近的州。根据，哈里斯在宾夕法尼亚州仅领先特朗普0.4%538的平均投票率.
特朗普的活动一直集中在战场州的城市郊区，这些州在他的两次总统竞选之间翻转，因为他的竞选活动希望蚕食民主党的优势。
例如，上个月，特朗普在密歇根州沃克肯特县的一家制造厂发表了讲话，该县是乔·拜登总统在2020年从特朗普手中夺回的。当天晚些时候，特朗普在密歇根州沃伦市主持了一个市政厅，该市位于底特律市外，是前总统巴拉克·奥巴马(Barack Obama)在2008年和2012年赢得该县后，过去两个周期中三县区中唯一一个在2020年转向特朗普的县。
两周前，特朗普访问了威斯康星州克劳福德县的Prairie Du Chien，这是该州西南部的一个县，也是该地区几个从奥巴马转向特朗普的县之一。现在，特朗普正在努力赢回这些关键县的选民，此前他在2020年以21，000票的微弱优势输给了拜登。
上周，特朗普在八天内第四次访问威斯康星州，在密尔沃基和戴恩县举行了活动，这是民主党的两个据点。他周日继续在威斯康星州的朱诺号道奇县进行竞选活动，该县在过去几届总统选举中日益成为共和党的大本营。
哈里斯同样关注宾夕法尼亚州，在该州举办了五场比赛。她在宾夕法尼亚州西部和中部花了很多时间，吸引了倾向民主党的匹兹堡地区和在强烈和轻微的共和党倾向之间摇摆不定的农村县的人群。
这一日程对比出现之际，哈里斯竞选团队和之前的拜登竞选团队一直批评特朗普在这个周期早些时候的道路上步伐缓慢，认为他是在“他的乡村俱乐部地下室”进行竞选活动。
在8月的前几周，在拜登退出2024年大选后，特朗普在共和党安全的州只参加了少量活动，大部分时间都花在私人筹款活动上，并参加了在线采访，包括与科技企业家埃隆·马斯克和流媒体记者阿丁·罗斯的采访。
哈里斯开始向全国介绍自己，她在竞选的头几周举行了多场活动，并从这一势头中吸引了大量观众——特别是在8月的第二周，哈里斯-瓦尔兹在全国举行了五场联合集会——但此后未能跟上这一步伐。有时，哈里斯专注于她作为副总统的官方职责，或者根本没有公开竞选或副总统日程。
此外，哈里斯和瓦尔兹都因其谨慎的竞选方法而受到公众监督，他们都在很大程度上避免媒体在路上出现和坐下来接受采访，这是特朗普和他的竞选伙伴万斯参议员经常做的事情。
然而，最近，哈里斯-瓦尔兹竞选团队宣布了一系列媒体采访，包括哈里斯在“叫她爸爸”播客、美国广播公司“The View”、哥伦比亚广播公司新闻“60分钟”和“霍华德·斯特恩秀”上的亮相。本周，沃尔兹将接受“无智慧”播客和“吉米·基梅尔现场秀”的采访。
这来自538的最新平均投票显示哈里斯在全国范围内的势头越来越大，领先特朗普2.6%，但最近纽约时报/锡耶纳学院民意调查显示两位候选人在密歇根州和威斯康星州的登记选民中势均力敌。另一个纽约时报/锡耶纳学院民意调查一周前，特朗普在亚利桑那州和北卡罗来纳州领先。
随着特朗普进入竞选的最后阶段，他公开承认了竞选最后几周的重要性，经常告诉他的支持者，他没有想当然。特朗普的竞选团队表示，这位前总统在进入最后阶段时意识到了选举的利害关系，并希望他在移民和经济问题上的信息——这是选民在这次选举中的两个关键问题——能够引起共鸣。
特朗普曾表示，随着选举日的临近，他计划将一切留在场上。
特朗普上周在威斯康星州沃纳基的一次竞选活动中说:“我们不会让任何事情碰运气，我们会打败卡玛拉·哈里斯，我们会让美国再次伟大。”
哈里斯已经进入竞选的最后阶段，她强调自己在这场势均力敌的竞选中处于“劣势”。
“这是一场误差率竞赛。我们是失败者。我像失败者一样奔跑，因为在这场比赛中我是失败者。现在接力棒在我们手中，”哈里斯在9月底旧金山的一次资金筹集会上说。
虽然在正式的竞选言论中落后于特朗普，但哈里斯竞选团队在两位候选人的日程中都安排了零售竞选活动，看到了培养候选人与选民有更多面对面时间的环境的价值，以及使他们能够消除特朗普今年早些时候竞选资金优势的筹款活动。
Trump outpaces Harris and Walz in campaign events in run-up to final stretch of 2024 election cycle
As former President Donald Trump and Vice President Kamala Harris spend the run-up to the last stretch of the 2024 election barnstorming through battleground states, a contrast has emerged: Trump has single-handedly outpaced both Harris and her running mate, Minnesota Gov. Tim Walz, in campaign events for the month of September as he shows no signs of slowing down -- a strategy his campaign is employing to focus on counties vulnerable to flipping.
In September, Trump held 21 public campaign events including remarks, rallies, press conferences and town halls. That's compared to Harris' 13 campaign events; Walz had seven campaign events, according to campaign schedules ABC News has reviewed. On top of Trump's jam-packed campaign schedule, his running mate, Sen. JD Vance, alone held 14 events in the month of September.
These tallies do not include brief campaign retail stops and appearances without remarks.
The intensity in Trump's campaign schedule has continued into the first week of October. From Oct. 1 through Oct. 6, Trump has already held eight campaign events compared to Harris, who has held two, according to an ABC News review of their schedules.
Recently Harris has spent her days focused on her official duties as vice president receiving Federal Emergency Management Agency briefings and surveying Hurricane Helene's damage in Georgia and North Carolina. Trump similarly visited Georgia to survey the storm damage and received his own briefings from local officials.
Harris campaign advisers have dismissed arguments that Harris isn't campaigning hard enough, pointing to the eight events she had done throughout the month in her official capacity as vice president including a trip down to the southern border along with dealing with the devastation from Hurricane Helene.
Harris campaign spokesperson Sarafina Chitika said in a statement that Trump is "cocooned in a conservative media bubble" and "limiting his time in battleground states," while Harris and Walz are "taking tough questions and meeting voters where they are."
"In the home stretch, Donald Trump is campaigning in California, Chicago, and New York City, after camping out at Mar-A-Lago avoiding voters," Chitika wrote in the statement.
However, in recent weeks, Trump has been campaigning across multiple battleground states, which have included multiple appearances in Wisconsin, Pennsylvania, Michigan and North Carolina, as he enters a crucial phase of his campaign and vies to make a final pitch to voters ahead of Election Day.
"I go to a lot of places, we're definitely outworking the opposition. She'll go to one place in three days. I say, 'Why can't I do that?'" Trump quipped at a campaign stop in Savannah, Georgia, late last month.
Earlier this election cycle, Trump was falling behind in the number of campaign events compared to his nonstop rallying during the 2016 election. Trump, who had early victories in primary races, had fewer events amid his legal battles, which kept him confined in a courtroom most days of the week.
But he has picked up the pace in the final months ahead of the election.
The former president has spent most of his time in the past month in the commonwealth of Pennsylvania, holding four events in September there as polling shows it's the closest state on the map between the two candidates. Harris only has a 0.4% lead over Trump in Pennsylvania, according to538's polling average.
Trump's events have been concentrated in urban-suburban areas in battleground states that flipped between his two presidential runs as his campaign hopes to eat away at Democratic margins.
For example, last month, Trump gave remarks at a manufacturing plant in Walker, Michigan, in Kent County -- a county that President Joe Biden flipped from Trump in 2020. Later in the day, Trump hosted a town hall in Warren, Michigan, which sits just outside of Detroit and was the only county in 2020 in the tri-county region that flipped to Trump in the past two cycles after former President Barack Obama won the county in 2008 and 2012.
Two weeks ago, Trump visited Prairie Du Chien in Crawford County, Wisconsin -- a southwest county in the state that is among several in the region that flipped from Obama to Trump. Now, Trump is trying to win back voters in these pivotal counties after he narrowly lost the state to Biden by 21,000 votes in 2020.
Last week, Trump marked his fourth visit to Wisconsin in eight days with events in Milwaukee and Dane counties -- two Democratic strongholds. He went on to campaign on Sunday in Juneau, Wisconsin, in Dodge County -- a county that has increasingly been turning into a Republican stronghold over the last few presidential elections.
Harris has similarly focused on Pennsylvania, holding five events in the commonwealth. She has spent much of her time in Western and central Pennsylvania, drawing crowds from both the Democratic-leaning Pittsburgh area as well as rural counties that have been wavering between strong and slight Republican leanings.
The schedule contrast comes as the Harris campaign, and previously Biden's, have been critical of Trump's slow pace on the road earlier in the cycle, arguing he was campaigning from "his country club basement."
In the early weeks of August, on the heels of Biden's withdrawal from the 2024 election, Trump only had a smattering of events in Republican-safe states, spending most of his time at private fundraisers and participating in online interviews including with tech entrepreneur Elon Musk and streamer Adin Ross.
Harris began introducing herself to the nation by holding multiple events in the beginning weeks of her campaign and drawing big crowds from that momentum -- especially in the second week of August when the Harris-Walz ticket held five joint rallies across the country -- but has since failed to keep up with that pace. At times, Harris has focused on her official duties as vice president instead or simply had no public campaign or vice presidential schedules announced.
Additionally, Harris and Walz have both received public scrutiny for their careful campaigning methods, both largely avoiding media availability on the road and sit-down interviews, something the Trump and his running mate, Sen. JD Vance both routinely do.
Recently, however, the Harris-Walz campaign has announced a series of media interviews including appearances on the "Call Her Daddy" podcast, ABC's "The View," CBS News' "60 Minutes," and the "Howard Stern Show" for Harris. Walz is set to do interviews on the "Smartless" podcast and "Jimmy Kimmel Live" this week.
Thelatest polling average from 538shows Harris is gaining momentum nationally, leading Trump by 2.6%, but a recentNew York Times/Siena College pollshows a tighter race with the two candidates neck-and-neck among registered voters in Michigan and Wisconsin. AnotherNew York Times/Siena College polla week prior showed Trump leading in the battleground states of Arizona and North Carolina.
As he enters the final stages of the campaign, Trump has publicly acknowledged the importance of the last weeks of his campaign, often telling his supporters that he isn't taking anything for granted. Trump's campaign has said the former president is aware of the stakes of the election as he enters the final stages and hopes his message on immigration and economy -- two key issues for voters this election -- resonate.
Trump has said he plans to leave everything on the field as Election Day draws near.
"We're going to leave nothing to chance and everything on the field … and we're going to defeat Kamala Harris, and we're going to make America great again," Trump said at a campaign stop in Waunakee, Wisconsin, last week.
Harris, going into the final stretch of the election, has stressed that she's running as an "underdog" in what's shaping up to be a close race.
"This is a margin-of-error race. We are the underdog. And I am running like the underdog because I am the underdog in this race. The baton is now in our hands," Harris said at a fundraiser in San Francisco in late September.
While falling behind Trump in formal campaign remarks, the Harris campaign has filled their schedule for both candidates with retail campaign stops, seeing value in fostering environments where their candidates can have more face time with voters, as well as fundraisers that has allowed them to wipe out Trump's campaign money edge from earlier this year.
